Alert archive / Kentucky / Mesoscale Discussions in 2003

Mesoscale Discussion 520

April 20, 200349 counties in Kentucky; 8 counties in Tennessee

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Apr 20, 2003, 3:29 PM CDT for 49 counties in Kentucky; 8 counties in Tennessee. It was in force for 2 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 20, 2003, 3:29 PM CDT (20:29 UTC)
Expired
Apr 20, 2003, 5:30 PM CDT
In force
2 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 57 counties

Adair County, KY, Allen County, KY, Anderson County, KY, Barren County, KY, Bath County, KY, Bourbon County, KY, Boyle County, KY, Bullitt County, KY, Casey County, KY, Clark County, KY, Clinton County, KY, Cumberland County, KY, Edmonson County, KY, Estill County, KY, Fayette County, KY, Franklin County, KY, Garrard County, KY, Green County, KY, Hardin County, KY, Harrison County, KY, Hart County, KY, Henry County, KY, Jackson County, KY, Jefferson County, KY, Jessamine County, KY, Larue County, KY, Lincoln County, KY, Madison County, KY, Marion County, KY, Mercer County, KY, Metcalfe County, KY, Monroe County, KY, Montgomery County, KY, Nelson County, KY, Nicholas County, KY, Oldham County, KY, Owen County, KY, Powell County, KY, Pulaski County, KY, Rockcastle County, KY, Russell County, KY, Scott County, KY, Shelby County, KY, Simpson County, KY, Spencer County, KY, Taylor County, KY, Warren County, KY, Washington County, KY, Woodford County, KY, Clay County, TN, Davidson County, TN, Macon County, TN, Smith County, TN, Sumner County, TN, Trousdale County, TN, Williamson County, TN, Wilson County, TN

The radar

The Louisville radar (KLVX), 79 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:32 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 12:00Z, 8.5 hours before the alert went out and 208 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Nashville Metro, TN at 12:00Z on 2003-04-20Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Nashville Metro, TN at 12:00Z on 2003-04-20The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 255 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
706 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
37 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
255 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
229 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

022 
ACUS11 KWNS 202030
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 202029 
KYZ000-TNZ000-INZ000-202230-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0520
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0329 PM CDT SUN APR 20 2003

AREAS AFFECTED...WRN/CENTRAL KY...WRN/MIDDLE TN...EXTREME SERN IL

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 139...

VALID 202029Z - 202230Z

CONVECTION WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE/INTENSITY IN
PREFRONTAL REGIME...MOVING NEWD ACROSS MUCH OF WW 138.	AIR MASS
E OF WW HAS DESTABILIZED SUFFICIENTLY TO SUPPORT SEVERE POTENTIAL
ONCE ACTIVITY MOVES INTO THAT REGION...THEREFORE ANOTHER WW MAY
BE REQUIRED...PARTICULARLY FOR CENTRAL KY S OF WW 141.

CONVECTION IN EXTREME SERN IL WILL MOVE EWD/NEWD INTO WRN KY AND
SWRN INDIANA...ACROSS NRN WW 139 AND SRN WW 138.  MODIFIED RAOBS
AND RUC FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOW 1000-1500 J/KG MLCAPE AIDED BY
LOW-MID 60S SFC DEW POINTS.  VWP AND MODIFIED RUC FORECAST
HODOGRAPHS SHOW NEARLY UNIDIRECTIONAL DEEP-TROPOSPHERIC FLOW
PROFILES...WITH 45-60 KT 0-6 KM SHEAR.	A FEW BOWS MAY DEVELOP
WITH ENHANCED POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING WIND LOCALLY...AND
OCCASIONAL LOW-MID LEVEL ROTATION SHOULD AID HAIL POTENTIAL IN
SOME CELLS.

..EDWARDS.. 04/20/2003

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...JKL...ILN...LMK...OHX...

38468577 38648464 38218353 37378403 36668517 35508730

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 20, 11:52 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBallard, Caldwell, Calloway, Carlisle, Christian, Crittenden and 17 more2 hr
Apr 20, 12:20 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCMeade6 hr
Apr 20, 1:00 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBallard, Breckinridge, Butler, Caldwell, Calloway, Carlisle and 24 more3 hr
Apr 20, 1:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBallard, Breckinridge, Butler, Caldwell, Calloway, Carlisle and 22 more5 hr
Apr 20, 3:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBoone, Bracken, Campbell, Carroll, Gallatin, Grant and 8 more6 hr
Apr 20, 4:35 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAdair, Allen, Anderson, Barren, Boyle, Breckinridge and 34 more5 hr
Apr 20, 5:31 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBoone, Bracken, Campbell, Gallatin, Greenup, Kenton and 1 more89 min
Apr 20, 6:04 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Anderson, Barren, Boyle, Breckinridge, Bullitt and 33 more116 min
Apr 20, 6:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAllen, Barren, Calloway, Christian, Graves, Logan and 5 more6 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Kentucky, 2003Mesoscale Discussions in Tennessee, 2003Every mesoscale discussion in 2003

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.