Alert archive / Missouri / Mesoscale Discussions in 2003

Mesoscale Discussion 52

February 6, 2003Cherokee County, Labette County, Kansas; 29 counties in Missouri; 7 counties in Oklahoma

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Feb 6, 2003, 10:50 AM CST for Cherokee County, Labette County, Kansas; 29 counties in Missouri; 7 counties in Oklahoma. It was in force for 4 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Feb 6, 2003, 10:50 AM CST (16:50 UTC)
Expired
Feb 6, 2003, 2:45 PM CST
In force
4 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 38 counties

Cherokee County, KS, Labette County, KS, Barry County, MO, Barton County, MO, Camden County, MO, Cedar County, MO, Christian County, MO, Cole County, MO, Crawford County, MO, Dade County, MO, Dallas County, MO, Dent County, MO, Douglas County, MO, Gasconade County, MO, Greene County, MO, Hickory County, MO, Jasper County, MO, Laclede County, MO, Lawrence County, MO, Maries County, MO, McDonald County, MO, Miller County, MO, Newton County, MO, Osage County, MO, Phelps County, MO, Polk County, MO, Pulaski County, MO, Stone County, MO, Texas County, MO, Webster County, MO, Wright County, MO, Craig County, OK, Nowata County, OK, Osage County, OK, Ottawa County, OK, Pawnee County, OK, Payne County, OK, Washington County, OK

The radar

The Tulsa radar (KINX), 101 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 16:49 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 12:00Z, 4.8 hours before the alert went out and 97 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2003-02-06Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2003-02-06The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 23 square meters per square second.1939587897117136Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
484 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
67 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
23 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
70 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

591 
ACUS11 KWNS 061651
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 061650 
OKZ000-KSZ000-MOZ000-062045-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0052
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1050 AM CST THU FEB 06 2003

AREAS AFFECTED...NRN/NERN OK...SERN KS....SWRN/SRN MO....

CONCERNING...HEAVY SNOW 

VALID 061650Z - 062045Z

EXPECT AREAS OF BRIEF HEAVY SNOWFALL RATES UP TO 1 IN/HR THRU THE
MID AFTERNOON HOURS FROM N CNTRL OK ENEWD INTO SWRN/CENTRAL MO.



VISIBLE/WV IMAGERY INDICATES VORTICITY LOBE ASSOCIATED WITH
COUPLED REGION OF THE MID-LVL JET TRANSLATING ENEWD THRU NWRN TX
INTO SWRN OK. WITH STRONG 150 KT 250MB JET STREAK EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE TO SPREAD ENEWD FROM THE SRN PLAINS ENEWD INTO THE MID
MS VALLEY REGION...EXPECT A 700-750MB FRONTOGENETICAL BAND TO
INTENSIFY ON THE CYCLONIC SIDE OF THE JET STREAK. MID-LVL DRYING
ASSOCIATED WITH THE IMPINGEMENT OF THE VORTICITY LOBE INTO THE
SRN PLAINS WILL AID IN THE OVERALL WEAKENING OF THE SNOWFALL
RATES ACROSS ERN OK...WHILE REGION OF 700MB FRONTOGENESIS FORCING
IS EXPECTED TO ENHANCE THE SNOWFALL RATES FROM N CENTRAL OK ENEWD
INTO SWRN/CENTRAL MO THRU 06/21Z.  

..NADEN/GOSS.. 02/06/2003

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

36139753 36439717 37089572 38749186 38359129 37189136
36639373 36419556 36019720

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 5, 11:25 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClark, Comanche9 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Missouri, 2003Mesoscale Discussions in Oklahoma, 2003Mesoscale Discussions in Kansas, 2003Every mesoscale discussion in 2003

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.