Alert archive / North Carolina / Mesoscale Discussions in 2003

Mesoscale Discussion 307

March 20, 200313 counties in North Carolina

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Mar 20, 2003, 12:52 PM EST for 13 counties in North Carolina. It was in force for 113 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 20, 2003, 12:52 PM EST (17:52 UTC)
Expired
Mar 20, 2003, 2:45 PM EST
In force
113 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center

Counties Beaufort County, NC, Bertie County, NC, Brunswick County, NC, Chowan County, NC, Craven County, NC, Jones County, NC, Martin County, NC, Onslow County, NC, Pender County, NC, Perquimans County, NC, Pitt County, NC, Tyrrell County, NC, Washington County, NC

The radar

The Morehead City radar (KMHX), 60 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:56 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Newport, NC (KMHX), launched 12:00Z, 5.9 hours before the alert went out and 60 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Newport, NC at 12:00Z on 2003-03-20Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 52 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Newport, NC at 12:00Z on 2003-03-20The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 262 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
52 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-94 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
707 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
65 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
262 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
396 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

651 
ACUS11 KWNS 201752
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 201752 
NCZ000-201945-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0307
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1152 AM CST THU MAR 20 2003

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN NC

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 66...

VALID 201752Z - 201945Z

STRONGER MID/UPPER FORCING FOR UPWARD VERTICAL MOTION IS SHIFTING
ACROSS EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA...ON TAIL END OF SHORT WAVE TROUGH
WHICH WILL CONTINUE TO LIFT INTO THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS DURING
THE NEXT FEW HOURS.  BROAD AREA OF RAIN DEVELOPING NORTH/
NORTHEASTWARD OF MOST INTENSE THUNDERSTORMS EMBEDDED WITHIN
CONVECTIVE SYSTEM HAS OVERSPREAD MUCH OF REMAINING VALID PORTION
OF WW 66.  RESULTANT STABILIZATION OF BOUNDARY LAYER IS
DIMINISHING THREAT FOR DAMAGING WINDS.	GUSTY WINDS STILL APPEAR
POSSIBLE ANOTHER HOUR OR TWO WITH BROAD CIRCULATION EVIDENT IN
RADAR DATA NORTH/NORTHEAST OF WILMINGTON...AS IT CONTINUES
MIGRATING INTO NORTHEASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.  SMALLER-SCALE
CIRCULATION EMBEDDED WITH BOWING LINE SEGMENT SOUTH OF WILMINGTON
SHOULD PROGRESS OFFSHORE WITHIN THE HOUR.



..KERR.. 03/20/2003

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...ILM...

33917836 34437808 35037765 35687735 36097703 36237612
36097568

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 20, 2:16 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBladen, Columbus, Pender119 min
Mar 20, 5:48 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBladen, Brunswick, Columbus117 min
Mar 20, 10:10 AM ESTTornado WatchSPCBeaufort, Bladen, Brunswick, Carteret, Columbus, Craven and 10 more5 hr
Mar 20, 10:40 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeaufort, Bladen, Columbus, Craven, Duplin, Greene and 10 more2 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in North Carolina, 2003Every mesoscale discussion in 2003

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.