Alert archive / Alabama / Mesoscale Discussions in 2003

Mesoscale Discussion 236

March 13, 200346 counties in Alabama; Escambia County, Okaloosa County, Santa Rosa County, Florida; 17 counties in Mississippi

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Mar 13, 2003, 9:39 AM CST for 46 counties in Alabama; Escambia County, Okaloosa County, Santa Rosa County, Florida; 17 counties in Mississippi. It was in force for 2 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 13, 2003, 9:39 AM CST (15:39 UTC)
Expired
Mar 13, 2003, 11:45 AM CST
In force
2 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 66 counties

Autauga County, AL, Baldwin County, AL, Bibb County, AL, Blount County, AL, Butler County, AL, Calhoun County, AL, Chilton County, AL, Choctaw County, AL, Clarke County, AL, Clay County, AL, Conecuh County, AL, Coosa County, AL, Covington County, AL, Crenshaw County, AL, Cullman County, AL, Dallas County, AL, Elmore County, AL, Escambia County, AL, Etowah County, AL, Fayette County, AL, Greene County, AL, Hale County, AL, Jefferson County, AL, Lamar County, AL, Lawrence County, AL, Lowndes County, AL, Macon County, AL, Marengo County, AL, Marion County, AL, Marshall County, AL, Mobile County, AL, Monroe County, AL, Montgomery County, AL, Morgan County, AL, Perry County, AL, Pickens County, AL, Shelby County, AL, St. Clair County, AL, Sumter County, AL, Talladega County, AL, Tallapoosa County, AL, Tuscaloosa County, AL, Walker County, AL, Washington County, AL, Wilcox County, AL, Winston County, AL, Escambia County, FL, Okaloosa County, FL, Santa Rosa County, FL, Clarke County, MS, Forrest County, MS, George County, MS, Greene County, MS, Hancock County, MS, Harrison County, MS, Jackson County, MS, Jasper County, MS, Jones County, MS, Kemper County, MS, Lamar County, MS, Lauderdale County, MS, Noxubee County, MS, Pearl River County, MS, Perry County, MS, Stone County, MS, Wayne County, MS

The radar

The Birmingham radar (KBMX), 116 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 15:42 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Birmingham, AL (KBMX), launched 12:00Z, 3.7 hours before the alert went out and 116 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Birmingham, AL at 12:00Z on 2003-03-13Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 428 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Birmingham, AL at 12:00Z on 2003-03-13The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 111 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
428 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-101 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
783 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
29 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
111 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
86 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

011 
ACUS11 KWNS 131540
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 131539 
ALZ000-FLZ000-MSZ000-LAZ000-131745-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0236
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0939 AM CST THU MAR 13 2003

AREAS AFFECTED...AL

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 131539Z - 131745Z

THE POTENTIAL FOR A DAMAGING WIND EVENT WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE
MORNING. WW WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED.



PARTIAL SUNSHINE WILL ALLOW FOR CONTINUED AIRMASS DESTABILIZATION
OVER AL THIS MORNING AHEAD OF STRONG/SVR SQUALL LINE IN PROGRESS
OVER WRN MS. POINT FORECAST SOUNDINGS FOR CNTRL/SRN AL FOR LATE
THIS MORNING INTO EARLY AFTERNOON INDICATE MLCAPES INCREASING TO
1000-2000 J/KG WITH UNIDIRECTIONAL SHEAR PROFILES. TSTM ACTIVITY
OVER MS WILL CONTINUE TO STRENGTHEN AS FORCING FOR LARGE SCALE
ASCENT SPREADS ACROSS THE AREA AHEAD OF SHORTWAVE TROUGH
EXTENDING FROM THE MID MS VALLEY INTO ERN TX.



ALTHOUGH DEEP-LAYER SHEAR WILL NOT BE PARTICULARLY
STRONG...HIGHER TEMPERATURE/DEWPOINT SPREADS AT THE SURFACE
SHOULD ENHANCE COLD POOL GENERATION. THUS IT APPEARS THAT THE
PRIMARY THREAT WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS WITH SEVERE HAIL ALSO
POSSIBLE.



A WW WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED IN THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS. 

..MEAD.. 03/13/2003

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...TAE...BMX...MOB...MEG...JAN...LIX...

32388894 33118857 33908820 34418784 34618724 34548628
34258583 33438544 32538561 31218623 30638649 29798743
29868893 30538971 31418945 32468890

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 13, 1:58 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCovington, Escambia, Geneva, Houston3 hr
Mar 13, 10:10 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAutauga, Bibb, Blount, Butler, Calhoun, Cherokee and 37 more6 hr
Mar 13, 12:59 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAutauga, Bibb, Blount, Butler, Calhoun, Chilton and 30 more2 hr
Mar 13, 2:15 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAutauga, Baldwin, Barbour, Bibb, Bullock, Butler and 35 more2 hr
Mar 13, 3:10 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBaldwin, Barbour, Bullock, Butler, Coffee, Conecuh and 12 more5 hr
Mar 13, 5:33 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCovington87 min
Mar 13, 5:55 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBarbour, Dale, Geneva, Henry, Houston, Russell5 hr
Mar 13, 8:39 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlachua, Baker, Bradford, Citrus, Clay, Columbia and 24 more2 hr
Mar 13, 8:55 AM CSTTornado WatchSPCAlachua, Baker, Bradford, Clay, Columbia, Dixie and 10 more6 hr
Mar 13, 8:50 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAdams, Amite, Attala, Bolivar, Calhoun, Carroll and 49 more5 hr
Mar 13, 10:45 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCHancock, Harrison5 hr
Mar 13, 11:29 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Amite, Attala, Calhoun, Carroll, Chickasaw and 39 more2 hr
Mar 13, 1:26 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCHancock2 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Alabama, 2003Mesoscale Discussions in Mississippi, 2003Mesoscale Discussions in Florida, 2003Every mesoscale discussion in 2003

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.