Alert archive / Minnesota / Mesoscale Discussions in 2003

Mesoscale Discussion 2249

August 25, 200311 counties in Minnesota; Grand Forks County, North Dakota

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Aug 25, 2003, 4:43 PM CDT for 11 counties in Minnesota; Grand Forks County, North Dakota. It was in force for 62 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 25, 2003, 4:43 PM CDT (21:43 UTC)
Expired
Aug 25, 2003, 5:45 PM CDT
In force
62 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center

Counties Beltrami County, MN, Clearwater County, MN, Itasca County, MN, Kittson County, MN, Koochiching County, MN, Lake of the Woods County, MN, Marshall County, MN, Pennington County, MN, Polk County, MN, Red Lake County, MN, Roseau County, MN, Grand Forks County, ND

The radar

The Fargo/Grand Forks radar (KMVX), 209 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:42 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

International Fa, MN (KINL), launched 12:00Z, 9.7 hours before the alert went out and 112 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, International Fa, MN at 12:00Z on 2003-08-25Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, International Fa, MN at 12:00Z on 2003-08-25The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 63 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
2330 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
45 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
63 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
90 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

820 
ACUS11 KWNS 252144
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 252143 
MNZ000-NDZ000-252245-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2249
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0443 PM CDT MON AUG 25 2003

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN ND...NRN MN

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 252143Z - 252245Z

...THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP SWWD INTO PORTIONS OF THE UPPER MS
VALLEY OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS.  ISOLATED SEVERE MAY BE POSSIBLE AND
WW MAY BE ISSUED...

THUNDERSTORMS ARE SLOWLY DEVELOPING SWWD ACROSS MANITOBA TOWARD THE
U.S./CANADIAN BORDER...NORTH OF GFK.  THIS ACTIVITY IS DEVELOPING
ALONG COLD FRONT THAT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO NWRN PORTIONS OF MN
OVER THE NEXT 3-6HRS.  IF CURRENT TRENDS CONTINUE...WW MAY BE
REQUIRED IN THE NEXT HOUR FROM PORTIONS OF ERN ND ACROSS NRN MN.

..DARROW.. 08/25/2003

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...DLH...FGF...

48269260 47469325 47719806 48919728 49059469

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 24, 8:16 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBlue Earth, Cottonwood, Faribault, Freeborn, Jackson, Martin and 8 more119 min
Aug 25, 11:33 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAitkin, Anoka, Benton, Carlton, Chisago, Crow Wing and 13 more117 min
Aug 25, 5:00 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBeltrami, Clearwater, Kittson, Lake of the Woods, Marshall, Pennington and 3 more5 hr
Aug 25, 5:20 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCFillmore, Freeborn, Houston, Mower6 hr
Aug 25, 6:21 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBig Stone, Lac qui Parle, Lincoln, Lyon, Traverse, Wilkin and 1 more54 min
Aug 25, 3:53 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarnes, Benson, Cass, Cavalier, Eddy, Foster and 12 more2 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Minnesota, 2003Mesoscale Discussions in North Dakota, 2003Every mesoscale discussion in 2003

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.