Alert archive / Kansas / Mesoscale Discussions in 2003
Mesoscale Discussion 2188
The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Aug 19, 2003, 1:05 PM MDT for 4 states. It was in force for 85 min.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Aug 19, 2003, 1:05 PM MDT (19:05 UTC)
- Expired
- Aug 19, 2003, 2:30 PM MDT
- In force
- 85 min
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
All 36 counties
Baca County, CO, Las Animas County, CO, Barton County, KS, Clark County, KS, Cloud County, KS, Comanche County, KS, Dickinson County, KS, Edwards County, KS, Ellsworth County, KS, Ford County, KS, Grant County, KS, Gray County, KS, Haskell County, KS, Hodgeman County, KS, Kiowa County, KS, Lincoln County, KS, McPherson County, KS, Meade County, KS, Mitchell County, KS, Morton County, KS, Ottawa County, KS, Pawnee County, KS, Pratt County, KS, Reno County, KS, Rice County, KS, Rush County, KS, Russell County, KS, Saline County, KS, Seward County, KS, Stafford County, KS, Stanton County, KS, Stevens County, KS, Beaver County, OK, Cimarron County, OK, Texas County, OK, Sherman County, TX
The radar
The Dodge City radar (KDDC), 53 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:08 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The watches that followed
Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.
The nearest sounding before it
Dodge City, (KDDC), launched 12:00Z, 7.1 hours before the alert went out and 59 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 594 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -233 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1940 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 20 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 113 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 209 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.2
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 ACUS11 KWNS 191906 SWOMCD SPC MCD 191905 KSZ000-OKZ000-TXZ000-COZ000-NMZ000-192030- MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2188 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0205 PM CDT TUE AUG 19 2003 AREAS AFFECTED...KS/SE CO/NE NM/OK PANHANDLE/NRN TX PANHANDLE CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL VALID 191905Z - 192030Z SCATTERED CONVECTION WILL CONTINUE DEVELOPING ALONG THE MTNS OF NE NM AND FAR SERN CO. ADDITIONAL STORMS WILL STRENGTHEN OVER SWRN KS. THE CONVECTION WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED LARGE HAIL AND/OR DAMAGING WIND GUSTS. A WW MAY BECOME NECESSARY OVER THE NEXT HOUR OR SO. CONVECTION IS DEVELOPING IN NE NM/SE CO...NORTHEAST OF A SFC LOW/CONVERGENCE ZONE EXTENDING DOWNSTREAM FROM UPPER IMPULSE MOVING EWD ACROSS SRN CO/NRN NM. MODERATE INSTABILITY IS PRESENT ACROSS THE REGION...WITH MLCAPE OF 1000 TO 1500 J/KG. OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS SHOWS 20 TO 25 KT OF DEEP LAYER SHEAR ACROSS THIS AREA SUGGESTING A POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE MULTICELL STORMS WILL EXIST. STEEP LAPSE RATES AROUND 9.0 C/KM WILL ENHANCE THE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE HAIL. A DAMAGING WIND THREAT WILL ALSO EXIST CONSIDERING SFC DEWPOINTS ARE IN THE 50S AND TEMPS HAVE REACHED THE 90 OVER MUCH OF THE AREA. ..BROYLES.. 08/19/2003 ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT... ATTN...WFO...TOP...ICT...OUN...GID...DDC...AMA...PUB...ABQ... 37950416 37590192 37910075 39599810 39409722 38789689 38229750 37529849 36300078 36230229 36750449
SPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 1:40 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Baca, Bent, Crowley, Kiowa, Las Animas, Otero and 1 more | 5 hr |
| Aug 19, 5:10 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Baca, Bent, Kiowa, Otero, Prowers | 95 min |
| Aug 19, 1:51 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Atchison, Brown, Clay, Cloud, Dickinson, Doniphan and 12 more | 84 min |
| Aug 19, 2:25 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Atchison, Brown, Clay, Cloud, Dickinson, Doniphan and 16 more | 6 hr |
| Aug 19, 5:37 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Decatur, Norton, Phillips | 113 min |
Nearby
Mesoscale Discussions in Kansas, 2003Mesoscale Discussions in Oklahoma, 2003Mesoscale Discussions in Colorado, 2003Every mesoscale discussion in 2003
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.