Alert archive / Montana / Mesoscale Discussions in 2003

Mesoscale Discussion 2121

August 7, 200313 counties in Montana

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Aug 7, 2003, 9:11 PM MDT for 13 counties in Montana. It was in force for 64 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 7, 2003, 9:11 PM MDT (03:11 UTC)
Expired
Aug 7, 2003, 10:15 PM MDT
In force
64 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center

Counties Blaine County, MT, Daniels County, MT, Dawson County, MT, Garfield County, MT, Hill County, MT, McCone County, MT, Phillips County, MT, Prairie County, MT, Richland County, MT, Roosevelt County, MT, Sheridan County, MT, Valley County, MT, Wibaux County, MT

The radar

The Glasgow radar (KGGW), 97 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 03:13 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Glasgow Intl Airport, MT (KGGW), launched 00:00Z, 3.2 hours before the alert went out and 99 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Glasgow Intl Airport, MT at 00:00Z on 2003-08-08Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2102 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Glasgow Intl Airport, MT at 00:00Z on 2003-08-08The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 18 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2102 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-86 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1972 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
38 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
18 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
75 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
4.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

704 
ACUS11 KWNS 080311
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 080311 
MTZ000-080415-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2121
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1011 PM CDT THU AUG 07 2003

AREAS AFFECTED...NERN MT

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 850...

VALID 080311Z - 080415Z

WS850 WILL EXPIRE AT 0400 UTC AND ANOTHER WW IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

TSTMS CROSSING NRN/NERN MT HAVE BEEN WEAKENING THE PAST COUPLE OF
HOURS WITH THE STRONGEST CELL MOVING THROUGH NRN ROSEBUD COUNTY. 
APPARENTLY...THE CAPPING NOTED ON THE 00 UTC GGW SOUNDING HAS
INCREASED AND HAS BEEN DETRIMENTAL IN SUSTAINING WIDESPREAD SEVERE
CONVECTION.  DEEP LAYER SHEAR REMAINS SUPPORTIVE OF SUPERCELLS AND
ONE OR TWO TSTMS MAY CONTINUE TO PRODUCE SEVERE WIND GUSTS AND HAIL
ACROSS EXTREME NERN MT.  HOWEVER...GIVEN THE DECREASE IN INTENSITY
AND COVERAGE OF THE SEVERE THREAT...WS850 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE
WITH ANOTHER WW NOT ANTICIPATED.

..RACY.. 08/08/2003

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...GGW...BYZ...TFX...

46430678 47200731 47840790 48210865 48500987 48611084
49001100 49000417 46350408

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 8, 1:48 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDawson, Richland, Roosevelt, Sheridan, Wibaux117 min
Aug 8, 3:40 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCDawson, Richland, Roosevelt, Sheridan, Wibaux6 hr
Aug 8, 4:35 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCFergus, Garfield, Golden Valley, McCone, Musselshell, Petroleum and 1 more5 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Montana, 2003Every mesoscale discussion in 2003

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.