Alert archive / Missouri / Mesoscale Discussions in 2003

Mesoscale Discussion 2103

August 5, 200312 counties in Kansas; 27 counties in Missouri; 4 counties in Oklahoma

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Aug 5, 2003, 9:30 PM CDT for 12 counties in Kansas; 27 counties in Missouri; 4 counties in Oklahoma. It was in force for 90 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 5, 2003, 9:30 PM CDT (02:30 UTC)
Expired
Aug 5, 2003, 11:00 PM CDT
In force
90 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 43 counties

Allen County, KS, Bourbon County, KS, Chautauqua County, KS, Cherokee County, KS, Crawford County, KS, Elk County, KS, Greenwood County, KS, Labette County, KS, Montgomery County, KS, Neosho County, KS, Wilson County, KS, Woodson County, KS, Barry County, MO, Barton County, MO, Camden County, MO, Cedar County, MO, Christian County, MO, Dade County, MO, Dallas County, MO, Douglas County, MO, Greene County, MO, Hickory County, MO, Howell County, MO, Jasper County, MO, Laclede County, MO, Lawrence County, MO, McDonald County, MO, Newton County, MO, Ozark County, MO, Phelps County, MO, Polk County, MO, Pulaski County, MO, St. Clair County, MO, Stone County, MO, Taney County, MO, Texas County, MO, Vernon County, MO, Webster County, MO, Wright County, MO, Craig County, OK, Nowata County, OK, Ottawa County, OK, Washington County, OK

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 00:00Z, 2.5 hours before the alert went out and 62 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 00:00Z on 2003-08-06Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2285 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 00:00Z on 2003-08-06The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -2 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2285 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-8 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1305 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
33 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-2 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
23 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.1
Supercell composite
1.5

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

894 
ACUS11 KWNS 060230
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 060230 
MOZ000-OKZ000-KSZ000-060400-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2103
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0930 PM CDT TUE AUG 05 2003

AREAS AFFECTED...SERN KS...SWRN MO...NERN OK.

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 844...

VALID 060230Z - 060400Z

A NUMBER OF INTENSE TSTMS...A FEW OF THEM SUPERCELLS...WERE MOVING
DUE SOUTH ACROSS THE WRN PORTION OF WW 844 AND WILL MOVE ACROSS
NOWATA...CRAIG...OTTAWA...AND DELAWARE COUNTIES OF NERN OK OVER THE
NEXT HOUR. TUL RADAR WAS SHOWING 25-30KT INBOUND RADIAL WINDS
ASSOCIATED WITH STORM OUTFLOWS MOVING INTO NERN OK ATTM WHILE STRONG
VIL CORES ON A FEW OF THE CELLS STILL INDICATE LARGE HAIL POTENTIAL

A COUPLE OF OTHER STORMS WILL MOVE SOUTH INTO WEBSTER AND WRIGHT
COUNTIES IN SCNTRL MO DURING THE NEXT HOUR.

DESPITE STRONG DOWNSTREAM INSTABILITY...EXPECIALLY ACROSS NERN
OK...DIURNAL BOUNDARY LAYER COOLING WAS LIKELY RESULTING IN
INCREASING CONVECTIVE INHIBITION TO THE SOUTH OF THE ONGOING
CONVECTION. IN ADDITION...WEAK LOW LEVEL FLOW AND MINIMAL LARGE
SCALE SUPPORT FOR ASCENT WOULD SUGGEST A GRADUAL DECREASE IN STORM
INTENSITY OVER THE NEXT TWO HOURS. WHILE A STRONG STORM OR TWO MAY
MOVE BEYOND THE SRN EDGE OF WW 844 AFTER 03Z...ANOTHER WATCH IS NOT
ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

..CARBIN.. 08/06/2003

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...SGF...EAX...TSA...TOP...ICT...

36559153 36509624 38069631 38079263 38069159

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 5, 8:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAllen, Bourbon, Chautauqua, Cherokee, Crawford, Elk and 6 more4 hr
Aug 6, 3:12 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCheyenne, Greeley, Hamilton, Kearny, Logan, Sherman and 3 more2 hr
Aug 6, 2:27 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDunklin, Pemiscot2 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Missouri, 2003Mesoscale Discussions in Kansas, 2003Mesoscale Discussions in Oklahoma, 2003Every mesoscale discussion in 2003

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.