Alert archive / Kansas / Mesoscale Discussions in 2003
Mesoscale Discussion 2039
The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Jul 31, 2003, 7:32 PM CDT for 28 counties in Kansas. It was in force for 88 min.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 31, 2003, 7:32 PM CDT (00:32 UTC)
- Expired
- Jul 31, 2003, 9:00 PM CDT
- In force
- 88 min
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
All 28 counties
Barton County, KS, Butler County, KS, Cowley County, KS, Edwards County, KS, Ellis County, KS, Ellsworth County, KS, Finney County, KS, Ford County, KS, Gove County, KS, Gray County, KS, Harvey County, KS, Hodgeman County, KS, Kingman County, KS, Kiowa County, KS, Lane County, KS, Logan County, KS, Marion County, KS, McPherson County, KS, Ness County, KS, Pawnee County, KS, Pratt County, KS, Reno County, KS, Rice County, KS, Rush County, KS, Scott County, KS, Sedgwick County, KS, Stafford County, KS, Trego County, KS
The radar
The Dodge City radar (KDDC), 61 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:32 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Dodge City, (KDDC), launched 00:00Z, 0.5 hours before the alert went out and 56 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 272 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -93 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 3330 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 40 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 63 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 205 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 1.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 ACUS11 KWNS 010033 SWOMCD SPC MCD 010032 KSZ000-010200- MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2039 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0732 PM CDT THU JUL 31 2003 AREAS AFFECTED...WRN...CNTRL AND SRN KS CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 819... VALID 010032Z - 010200Z A CLUSTER OF STRONG CONVECTION CONTINUES ACROSS THE CNTRL PORTION OF WW 819. THIS CONVECTION WILL HAVE A POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED LARGE HAIL AND/OR DAMAGING WINDS. SFC ANALYSIS SHOWS A BOUNDARY ACROSS SCNTRL KS WHICH CONVECTION IS MOVING SWD ACROSS. INSTABILITY IS MARGINAL IN THIS AREA WITH SFC DEWPOINTS IN THE MID 50S F. OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS SHOWS STRONG DEEP LAYER SHEAR WITH 0-6 KM SHEAR OF 40 TO 50 KT. THIS WILL CONTINUE A THREAT FOR ORGANIZED SEVERE STORMS ACROSS WW 819 WITH SUPERCELLS POSSIBLE. TEMP-DEWPOINT SPREADS AROUND 40 DEGREES WILL ENHANCE A POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING WIND GUSTS. A PLUME OF STEEP LAPSE RATES ACROSS WRN AND CNTRL KS WITH LAPSE RATES AROUND 8.0 C/KM WILL MAKE LARGE HAIL ALSO POSSIBLE. ..BROYLES.. 08/01/2003 ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT... ATTN...WFO...TOP...ICT...DDC...GLD... 37840128 39250123 38479661 37129670 ACUS11 KWNS 010033 SWOMCD SPC MCD 010032 KSZ000-010200- MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2039 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0732 PM CDT THU JUL 31 2003 AREAS AFFECTED...WRN...CNTRL AND SRN KS CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 819... VALID 010032Z - 010200Z A CLUSTER OF STRONG CONVECTION CONTINUES ACROSS THE CNTRL PORTION OF WW 819. THIS CONVECTION WILL HAVE A POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED LARGE HAIL AND/OR DAMAGING WINDS. SFC ANALYSIS SHOWS A BOUNDARY ACROSS SCNTRL KS WHICH CONVECTION IS MOVING SWD ACROSS. INSTABILITY IS MARGINAL IN THIS AREA WITH SFC DEWPOINTS IN THE MID 50S F. OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS SHOWS STRONG DEEP LAYER SHEAR WITH 0-6 KM SHEAR OF 40 TO 50 KT. THIS WILL CONTINUE A THREAT FOR ORGANIZED SEVERE STORMS ACROSS WW 819 WITH SUPERCELLS POSSIBLE. TEMP-DEWPOINT SPREADS AROUND 40 DEGREES WILL ENHANCE A POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING WIND GUSTS. A PLUME OF STEEP LAPSE RATES ACROSS WRN AND CNTRL KS WITH LAPSE RATES AROUND 8.0 C/KM WILL MAKE LARGE HAIL ALSO POSSIBLE. ..BROYLES.. 08/01/2003 ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT... ATTN...WFO...TOP...ICT...DDC...GLD... 37840128 39250123 38479661 37129670
SPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 31, 7:12 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bourbon, Cherokee, Crawford | 93 min |
| Jul 31, 7:55 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Cheyenne, Decatur, Graham, Norton, Rawlins, Sheridan and 2 more | 5 hr |
| Aug 1, 10:35 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Allen, Anderson, Bourbon, Butler, Chase, Chautauqua and 20 more | 2 hr |
| Aug 1, 2:20 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Allen, Bourbon, Butler, Chautauqua, Cherokee, Cowley and 11 more | 6 hr |
| Aug 1, 6:08 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Allen, Bourbon, Butler, Chautauqua, Cherokee, Cowley and 8 more | 2 hr |
| Aug 1, 6:45 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Cheyenne, Logan, Sherman, Thomas, Wallace | 5 hr |
Nearby
Mesoscale Discussions in Kansas, 2003Every mesoscale discussion in 2003
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.