Alert archive / North Carolina / Mesoscale Discussions in 2003

Mesoscale Discussion 2016

July 29, 200336 counties in North Carolina; 20 counties in South Carolina

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Jul 29, 2003, 4:51 PM EDT for 36 counties in North Carolina; 20 counties in South Carolina. It was in force for 114 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 29, 2003, 4:51 PM EDT (20:51 UTC)
Expired
Jul 29, 2003, 6:45 PM EDT
In force
114 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 56 counties

Alamance County, NC, Anson County, NC, Cabarrus County, NC, Catawba County, NC, Chatham County, NC, Cleveland County, NC, Cumberland County, NC, Davidson County, NC, Davie County, NC, Durham County, NC, Edgecombe County, NC, Forsyth County, NC, Franklin County, NC, Gaston County, NC, Guilford County, NC, Harnett County, NC, Hoke County, NC, Iredell County, NC, Johnston County, NC, Lee County, NC, Lincoln County, NC, Mecklenburg County, NC, Montgomery County, NC, Moore County, NC, Nash County, NC, Orange County, NC, Randolph County, NC, Richmond County, NC, Robeson County, NC, Rowan County, NC, Scotland County, NC, Stanly County, NC, Union County, NC, Wake County, NC, Wilson County, NC, Yadkin County, NC, Cherokee County, SC, Chester County, SC, Chesterfield County, SC, Darlington County, SC, Dillon County, SC, Fairfield County, SC, Florence County, SC, Greenwood County, SC, Kershaw County, SC, Lancaster County, SC, Laurens County, SC, Lee County, SC, Lexington County, SC, Marlboro County, SC, Newberry County, SC, Richland County, SC, Saluda County, SC, Spartanburg County, SC, Union County, SC, York County, SC

The radar

The Columbia radar (KCAE), 131 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:52 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC (KGSO), launched 12:00Z, 8.9 hours before the alert went out and 133 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 12:00Z on 2003-07-29Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 681 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 12:00Z on 2003-07-29The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -3 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
681 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-58 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1045 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
32 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-3 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
54 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.1
Supercell composite
0.4

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

388 
ACUS11 KWNS 292052
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 292051 
NCZ000-SCZ000-292245-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2016
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0351 PM CDT TUE JUL 29 2003

AREAS AFFECTED...NC  / SC

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 812...

VALID 292051Z - 292245Z

LINE OF STORMS IS INCREASING IN INTENSITY AHEAD OF REMNANT MCV AS IT
ENTERS INTO STRONGER INSTABILITY.  WIND DAMAGE THREAT WILL BE
HIGHEST WITH THIS LINE GIVEN ORGANIZED OUTFLOW.  ISOLATED CELLS
AHEAD OF THIS LINE HAVE SHOWN STRONG OUTFLOW CHARACTERISTICS ON
VISIBLE IMAGERY AS WELL AND WILL HAVE A CONTINUED THREAT OF ISOLATED
DAMAGING WINDS.

..JEWELL.. 07/29/2003

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...RAH...ILM...RNK...CAE...GSP...

35138218 36328064 36097712 33967979 33848227

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 29, 2:14 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlamance, Alexander, Anson, Buncombe, Burke, Cabarrus and 30 more2 hr
Jul 29, 3:00 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAlexander, Anson, Bladen, Burke, Cabarrus, Caldwell and 31 more6 hr
Jul 29, 7:42 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnson, Beaufort, Bladen, Chatham, Columbus, Craven and 25 more93 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in North Carolina, 2003Mesoscale Discussions in South Carolina, 2003Every mesoscale discussion in 2003

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.