Alert archive / Nebraska / Mesoscale Discussions in 2003

Mesoscale Discussion 1990

July 26, 2003Sedgwick County, Colorado; 11 counties in Nebraska; Goshen County, Laramie County, Platte County, Wyoming

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Jul 26, 2003, 4:36 PM MDT for Sedgwick County, Colorado; 11 counties in Nebraska; Goshen County, Laramie County, Platte County, Wyoming. It was in force for 114 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 26, 2003, 4:36 PM MDT (22:36 UTC)
Expired
Jul 26, 2003, 6:30 PM MDT
In force
114 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center

Counties Sedgwick County, CO, Banner County, NE, Box Butte County, NE, Cheyenne County, NE, Deuel County, NE, Garden County, NE, Grant County, NE, Kimball County, NE, Morrill County, NE, Scotts Bluff County, NE, Sheridan County, NE, Sioux County, NE, Goshen County, WY, Laramie County, WY, Platte County, WY

The radar

The Cheyenne radar (KCYS), 113 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:36 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Denver, CO (KDNR), launched 12:00Z, 10.6 hours before the alert went out and 193 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Denver, CO at 12:00Z on 2003-07-26Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 35 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Denver, CO at 12:00Z on 2003-07-26The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -1 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
35 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-383 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
2662 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
17 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-1 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
13 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

146 
ACUS11 KWNS 262236
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 262236 
NEZ000-COZ000-WYZ000-270030-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1990
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0536 PM CDT SAT JUL 26 2003

AREAS AFFECTED...SERN WY...NEB PANHANDLE AND FAR NERN CO

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 262236Z - 270030Z

CONVECTION ORGANIZING JUST EAST OF THE LARAMIE RANGE IN SERN WY MAY
CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AND POSE A LONGER DURATION SEVERE THREAT INTO
FAR NERN CO/NEB PANHANDLE OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS. A WW MAY BE
NEEDED IN THIS AREA IN THE NEXT 1-2 HOURS IF MORE ORGANIZATION IS
OBSERVED.

RECENT OBSERVATIONS OVER SERN WY/WRN NEBRASKA PANHANDLE INDICATED A
MODERATE PRESSURE/FALL RISE COUPLET WITH 2 MB/HR RISES NOTED AT LAR
AND 0.5-1.0 MB FALLS OVER THE WRN NEB PANHANDLE. 30 KT MID LEVEL
SPEED MAX ASSOCIATED WITH VORT MAX MOVING OVER SRN WY WILL SUPPORT
SOME STORM ORGANIZATION. MODERATE E-W ORIENTED INSTABILITY AXIS WITH
MLCAPES FROM 1500-2000 J/KG EXTENDED FROM THE DEVELOPING CONVECTION
INTO THE NEB PANHANDLE. WEAK CONVECTIVE INHIBITION OVER THIS AREA
SUGGESTS THAT IF CONVECTION CAN CONTINUE TO ORGANIZE A STRATIFORM
PRECIP AREA...THAT COMBINED WITH 20 KT ELY BOUNDARY LAYER WINDS...A
FORWARD PROPAGATING MCS MAY DEVELOP ALLOWING FOR A SEVERE THREAT TO
BE MAINTAINED INTO THE NEB PANHANDLE.

..CROSBIE.. 07/26/2003

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LBF...BOU...CYS...

40800380 41010497 41590558 42620451 42740256 42360143
40770205

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 26, 12:33 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBoulder, Chaffee, Clear Creek, Eagle, Fremont, Gilpin and 12 more2 hr
Jul 26, 2:08 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAntelope, Blaine, Boyd, Brown, Cedar, Cuming and 14 more3 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Nebraska, 2003Mesoscale Discussions in Wyoming, 2003Mesoscale Discussions in Colorado, 2003Every mesoscale discussion in 2003

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.