Alert archive / Kansas / Mesoscale Discussions in 2003

Mesoscale Discussion 1949

July 21, 200316 counties in Kansas; Franklin County, Harlan County, Webster County, Nebraska

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Jul 21, 2003, 8:21 PM CDT for 16 counties in Kansas; Franklin County, Harlan County, Webster County, Nebraska. It was in force for 54 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 21, 2003, 8:21 PM CDT (01:21 UTC)
Expired
Jul 21, 2003, 9:15 PM CDT
In force
54 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center

Counties Barton County, KS, Ellis County, KS, Ellsworth County, KS, Graham County, KS, Lincoln County, KS, Mitchell County, KS, Ness County, KS, Osborne County, KS, Pawnee County, KS, Phillips County, KS, Rice County, KS, Rooks County, KS, Rush County, KS, Russell County, KS, Smith County, KS, Trego County, KS, Franklin County, NE, Harlan County, NE, Webster County, NE

The radar

The Grand Island radar (KUEX), 142 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:24 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Dodge City, (KDDC), launched 00:00Z, 1.4 hours before the alert went out and 168 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Dodge City, at 00:00Z on 2003-07-22Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1021 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Dodge City, at 00:00Z on 2003-07-22The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 44 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1021 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-52 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
2845 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
33 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
44 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
100 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
1.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

026 
ACUS11 KWNS 220121
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 220121 
KSZ000-NEZ000-220215-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1949
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0821 PM CDT MON JUL 21 2003

AREAS AFFECTED...S CNTRL NEB AND N CNTRL KS

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 220121Z - 220215Z

THREAT FOR ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND AND HAIL MAY PERSIST INTO S CNTRL
NEB AND N CNTRL KS AS STORMS DEVELOP SEWD OUT OF WRN NEB AND KS.
AREA IS BEING MONITORED FOR POSSIBLE WW.

STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DEVELOPING SEWD ALONG INSTABILITY
GRADIENT AND JUST N OF BAROCLINIC ZONE THAT CURRENTLY EXTENDS FROM
CNTRL KS NWWD THROUGH WRN NEB. GIVEN RELATIVELY HIGH DEWPOINT
SPREADS ACROSS W CNTRL KS...STORMS MAY BECOME OUTFLOW DOMINANT WITH
INCREASING THREAT FOR DAMAGING WIND AS THEY DEVELOP SEWD.

..DIAL.. 07/22/2003

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...TOP...ICT...GID...DDC...GLD...

38979998 40529967 40319857 39009772 38299821 38099990

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 21, 7:53 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCheyenne, Decatur, Graham, Norton, Rawlins, Sheridan and 2 more97 min
Jul 21, 11:39 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Anderson, Bourbon, Butler, Chautauqua, Cherokee and 12 more2 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Kansas, 2003Mesoscale Discussions in Nebraska, 2003Every mesoscale discussion in 2003

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.