Alert archive / Michigan / Mesoscale Discussions in 2003

Mesoscale Discussion 1531

June 28, 20034 counties in Indiana; 35 counties in Michigan

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Jun 28, 2003, 11:19 AM EST for 4 counties in Indiana; 35 counties in Michigan. It was in force for 2 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 28, 2003, 11:19 AM EST (16:19 UTC)
Expired
Jun 28, 2003, 1:45 PM EST
In force
2 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 39 counties

Elkhart County, IN, LaGrange County, IN, Saint Joseph County, IN, Steuben County, IN, Allegan County, MI, Barry County, MI, Bay County, MI, Berrien County, MI, Branch County, MI, Calhoun County, MI, Cass County, MI, Clare County, MI, Clinton County, MI, Eaton County, MI, Gladwin County, MI, Gratiot County, MI, Ingham County, MI, Ionia County, MI, Isabella County, MI, Kalamazoo County, MI, Kent County, MI, Lake County, MI, Mason County, MI, Mecosta County, MI, Midland County, MI, Missaukee County, MI, Montcalm County, MI, Muskegon County, MI, Newaygo County, MI, Oceana County, MI, Ogemaw County, MI, Osceola County, MI, Ottawa County, MI, Roscommon County, MI, Saginaw County, MI, Saint Joseph County, MI, Shiawassee County, MI, Van Buren County, MI, Wexford County, MI

The radar

The Grand Rapids radar (KGRR), 21 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 16:21 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Detroit, MI (KDTX), launched 12:00Z, 4.3 hours before the alert went out and 193 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Detroit, MI at 12:00Z on 2003-06-28Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 70 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Detroit, MI at 12:00Z on 2003-06-28The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 63 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
70 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-119 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1302 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
20 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
63 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
96 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 28, 1:36 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCElkhart, Fulton, Jasper, Kosciusko, LaGrange, Lake and 9 more2 hr
Jun 28, 11:40 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAllegan, Arenac, Barry, Bay, Calhoun, Clare and 31 more6 hr
Jun 28, 2:18 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllegan, Arenac, Barry, Bay, Calhoun, Clare and 31 more117 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Michigan, 2003Mesoscale Discussions in Indiana, 2003Every mesoscale discussion in 2003

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.