Alert archive / Colorado / Mesoscale Discussions in 2003
Mesoscale Discussion 1213
The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Jun 2, 2003, 7:31 PM MDT for 4 states. It was in force for 89 min.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jun 2, 2003, 7:31 PM MDT (01:31 UTC)
- Expired
- Jun 2, 2003, 9:00 PM MDT
- In force
- 89 min
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
All 22 counties
Baca County, CO, Bent County, CO, Cheyenne County, CO, Crowley County, CO, El Paso County, CO, Kiowa County, CO, Las Animas County, CO, Lincoln County, CO, Otero County, CO, Prowers County, CO, Pueblo County, CO, Colfax County, NM, Harding County, NM, Mora County, NM, Quay County, NM, San Miguel County, NM, Union County, NM, Cimarron County, OK, Dallam County, TX, Deaf Smith County, TX, Hartley County, TX, Oldham County, TX
The watches that followed
Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.
The nearest sounding before it
Amarillo Airport, TX (KAMA), launched 00:00Z, 1.5 hours before the alert went out and 206 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 127 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -156 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 2378 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 36 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 16 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 123 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 ACUS11 KWNS 030131 SWOMCD SPC MCD 030131 TXZ000-OKZ000-COZ000-NMZ000-030300- MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1213 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0831 PM CDT MON JUN 02 2003 AREAS AFFECTED...SERN CO/NERN NM/WRN OK PANHANDLE/NWRN TX PANHANDLE CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 467... VALID 030131Z - 030300Z SEVERAL SEVERE TSTMS CONTINUE IN PARTS OF WW #467. EXPECT THIS ACTIVITY TO CONTINUE TO SPREAD ESEWD THRU THE EVENING HOURS...HENCE WW WILL LIKELY REMAIN IN EFFECT THRU EXPIRATION. RECENT SFC ANALYSIS DEPICTS WEAK SFC LOW NEAR RTN WITH NOTICEABLE BOUNDARY LAYER CONVERGENCE SSWWD TOWARDS TRUTH AND CONSEQUENCES AS WELL AS NWWD FROM THE RTN AREA INTO SRN CO. AREA OF CONCERN HAS SURFACE TEMPERATURES FROM THE UPPER 70S INTO THE LOW 90S WITH DEWPOINT VALUES FROM THE MID 40S INTO THE LOW 50S...WHICH YIELDS 100MB MIXED CAPE VALUES FROM 500-1000 J/KG. A SIGNIFICANT PRESSURE FALL AXIS EXISTS FROM AROUND RTN SSEWD INTO THE NWRN TX PANHANDLE BETWEEN DHT AND LBB. BOTH RECENT ETA40/RUC40 MODELS SUGGEST 850MB FLOW WILL INCREASE FROM THE SSE AT 25-35 KTS IN THE NEXT 3-6 HOURS AND WILL COMBINE WITH INCREASING MID-LVL FLOW ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK ESEWD MOVING SHORTWAVE TROUGH TO ALLOW STORMS TO CONTINUE SEWD INTO THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD. AN INSPECTION OF THE UPSTREAM AMA RAOB REVEALS 7 C/KM 700-500MB LAPSE RATES...PW VALUES AROUND 0.75...LITTLE CINH...AND RATHER LOW WBZ LEVELS. EXPECT ACTIVITY TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE ESEWD BY OUTFLOW INTERACTION AND INCREASING ISENTROPIC UPGLIDE INTO SWRN KS/OK PANHANDLE/AND THE NWRN TX PANHANDLE WITH A PRIMARY THREAT OF LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS GUSTS. ..NADEN.. 06/03/2003 ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT... ATTN...WFO...GLD...AMA...PUB...BOU...ABQ... 34620374 35250543 39180463 38860206 34950203
SPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 2, 10:05 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Baca, Bent, Crowley, Kiowa, Las Animas, Otero and 2 more | 5 hr |
| Jun 3, 12:06 AM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Baca | 114 min |
| Jun 3, 12:34 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Curry, Harding, Mora, Quay, Roosevelt | 116 min |
| Jun 3, 2:20 PM MDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Curry, Harding, Quay, Roosevelt | 6 hr |
| Jun 3, 2:55 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Lea | 5 hr |
| Jun 2, 6:02 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Atascosa, Brazoria, Chambers, Colorado, DeWitt, Fort Bend and 12 more | 118 min |
| Jun 3, 4:48 AM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Armstrong, Briscoe, Carson, Cottle, Crosby, Dickens and 11 more | 117 min |
| Jun 3, 12:02 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bandera, Blanco, Comal, Edwards, Gillespie, Hays and 8 more | 118 min |
| Jun 3, 12:25 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Atascosa, Bandera, Bastrop, Bexar, Blanco, Caldwell and 18 more | 6 hr |
| Jun 3, 3:40 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Bee, Brooks, Cameron, Dimmit, Duval, Hidalgo and 13 more | 5 hr |
| Jun 3, 4:43 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Atascosa, Bandera, Bastrop, Bexar, Blanco, Caldwell and 15 more | 62 min |
Nearby
Mesoscale Discussions in Colorado, 2003Mesoscale Discussions in New Mexico, 2003Mesoscale Discussions in Texas, 2003Every mesoscale discussion in 2003
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.