Alert archive / Kansas / Mesoscale Discussions in 2003

Mesoscale Discussion 1102

May 24, 20034 counties in Colorado; 22 counties in Kansas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at May 24, 2003, 2:43 PM MDT for 4 counties in Colorado; 22 counties in Kansas. It was in force for 92 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: May 24, 2003, 2:43 PM MDT (20:43 UTC)
Expired: May 24, 2003, 4:15 PM MDT
In force: 92 min
Issued by: the Storm Prediction Center

All 26 counties

Cheyenne County, CO, Kit Carson County, CO, Washington County, CO, Yuma County, CO, Cheyenne County, KS, Edwards County, KS, Finney County, KS, Ford County, KS, Gove County, KS, Gray County, KS, Greeley County, KS, Hamilton County, KS, Hodgeman County, KS, Kearny County, KS, Lane County, KS, Logan County, KS, Ness County, KS, Pawnee County, KS, Rush County, KS, Scott County, KS, Sheridan County, KS, Sherman County, KS, Thomas County, KS, Trego County, KS, Wallace County, KS, Wichita County, KS

The nearest sounding before it

Dodge City, (KDDC), launched 12:00Z, 8.7 hours before the alert went out and 142 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 61 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -286 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1542 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 39 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 12 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 66 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

197 
ACUS11 KWNS 242043
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 242043 
KSZ000-NEZ000-COZ000-242215-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1102
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0343 PM CDT SAT MAY 24 2003

AREAS AFFECTED...WRN KS/ERN CO

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 242043Z - 242215Z

SCATTERED TSTMS CONTINUE IN PORTIONS OF WRN KS INTO EXTREME ERN CO.
ALTHOUGH A WW ISSUANCE IS NOT BEING CONSIDERED ATTM...CONTINUE TO
WATCH THESE AREAS FOR SURFACE BASED DEVELOPMENT. 

VISIBLE IMAGERY INDICATES LEFTOVER OUTFLOW BOUNDARY FROM THIS PAST
MRNGS CONVECTION HAS SURGED WWD INTO EXTREME ERN CO WITH ELEVATED
CONVECTION DEVELOPING ESEWD INTO WRN/WCNTRL KS.  POCKETS OF 
DESTABILIZATION AS WELL AS DIFFERENTIAL HEATING OVER THE NEXT FEW
HOURS WILL CONTRIBUTE TO MORE SURFACE-BASED CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT.
RECENT SURFACE OBS REVEAL TEMPERATURES HAVE INCREASED INTO THE UPPER
70S WITH DEWPOINTS FROM THE UPPER 50S INTO THE LOW 60S...LEADING TO
100MB MIXED CAPES FROM 1000-2000 J/KG. GIVEN THE IMPINGEMENT OF
MID-UPPER LVL SHORTWAVE TROUGH / PER WATER VAPOR IMAGERY IN SD/ND / 
 OVER THE NRN/NCNTRL PLAINS OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS...EXPECT SOME
STORM ORGANIZATION TO OCCUR DESPITE RECENT 20-25 KT DEEP LAYER SHEAR
VALUES PER MCCOOK PROFILER. MAIN THREAT WILL BE STRONG DAMAGING
WINDS AND AREAS OF LARGE HAIL GIVEN NEARLY 20 DEGREE TEMP/DEWPT
SPREADS AND RATHER LOW WBZ LEVELS.

..NADEN.. 05/24/2003

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...ICT...DDC...GLD...PUB...BOU...

37500049 37740118 38020203 38610296 39810383 40210344
39990175 39230012 38709919 37879889 37489974

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
May 23, 6:08 PM MDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Adams, Arapahoe, Baca, Bent, Crowley, Denver and 13 more	67 min
May 23, 7:56 PM MDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Logan, Phillips, Sedgwick	94 min
May 24, 12:05 PM MDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Las Animas, Pueblo	2 hr
May 24, 2:05 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	Baca, Bent, Cheyenne, Crowley, Elbert, El Paso and 7 more	6 hr
May 24, 4:57 PM MDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Baca, Bent, Cheyenne, Crowley, Elbert, El Paso and 7 more	93 min
May 23, 10:18 PM MDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Barton, Ellis, Ellsworth, Harvey, Jewell, Lincoln and 13 more	117 min
May 23, 11:25 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	Barber, Barton, Clark, Comanche, Decatur, Edwards and 28 more	7 hr
May 24, 2:39 AM MDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Barber, Barton, Clark, Comanche, Edwards, Ellis and 19 more	2 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Kansas, 2003 Mesoscale Discussions in Colorado, 2003 Every mesoscale discussion in 2003

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.