Alert archive / Texas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2003

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 86, NWS San Angelo, TX

May 6, 2003Sutton County, Texas

NWS San Angelo, TX issued this severe thunderstorm warning at May 6, 2003, 9:47 AM CDT for Sutton County, Texas. It was in force for 43 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 6, 2003, 9:47 AM CDT (14:47 UTC)
Expired
May 6, 2003, 10:30 AM CDT
In force
43 min
Issued by
NWS San Angelo, TX
Area
Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Sutton County, TX

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
May 6, 9:10 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC6 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Del Rio, TX (KDRT), launched 12:00Z, 2.8 hours before the alert went out and 147 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Del Rio, TX at 12:00Z on 2003-05-06Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 5257 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Del Rio, TX at 12:00Z on 2003-05-06The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 136 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
5257 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-73 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
779 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
41 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
136 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
182 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
4.7
Supercell composite
20.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

293 
WUUS54 KSJT 061447
SVRSJT
TXC435-061530-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
946 AM CDT TUE MAY 6 2003

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN ANGELO HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  SUTTON COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST TEXAS

* UNTIL 1030 AM CDT

* AT 941 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM OVER NORTH CENTRAL SUTTON COUNTY...OR ABOUT 17
  MILES NORTHEAST OF SONORA...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

* THIS STORM WILL BE NEAR...
   HIGHWAY 864 ABOUT 15 MILES NORTHWEST OF SONORA AT 10 AM

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF NICKELS AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH CAN BE
EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM. FOR YOUR PROTECTION...MOVE TO AN INTERIOR
ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS.

LAT...LON 3068 10050 3053 10051 3052 10014 3071 10013

$$
08

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS San Angelo, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at May 6, 9:00 AM CDT, 47 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 6, 9:00 AM CDT, 47 minutes before
WEST CENTRAL TEXAS FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
900 AM CDT TUE MAY 6 2003

WILL BE SENDING UPDATE SHORTLY FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH THAT
WILL BE IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN COUNTIES. ELEVATED
SUPERCELL OVER SCHLEICHER COUNTY WILL CONTINUE WITH STRONG WARM
ADVECTION OVER THE DRYLINE IN COMBINATION WITH STRONG SHORTWAVE.

UPDATE TO COME OUT SOON.

27/BRAZZELL

.CURRENT...DRYLINE HAS RETREATED INTO THE HEARTLAND. JUNCTION SHOULD
SEE A DEWPOINT SPIKE SOON. QUITE A CONTRAST EITHER SIDE...WITH MID
30S AT JUNCTION AND ABILENE...AND LOWER 60S AT BROWNWOOD. MOISTURE
RATHER SHALLOW...FOR 850 MB PLOT VOID OF ANYTHING SUBSTANTIAL. PER
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...SUBTROPICAL JET SKIRTING THE NORTHWEST HILL
COUNTRY AND HEARTLAND.

.TODAY...00Z MESOETA BRINGS A WEAK SHORTWAVE...EMBEDDED WITHIN THE
SUBTROPICAL JET...ACROSS THE NORTHWEST HILL COUNTRY AND HEARTLAND.
DRYLINE WILL MAKE THE ITS USUAL EASTWARD PUSH...BUT PERHAPS NOT FAST
ENOUGH TO IGNORE THUNDER THREAT. COMBINATION OF CONVERGENCE ALONG
DRYLINE...WEAK UPPER SUPPORT...MODEST MOISTURE AND DECENT
INSTABILITY WARRANTS TOKEN POP ACROSS THE NORTHWEST HILL COUNTRY AND
HEARTLAND. NEW DAY1 OUTLOOK FROM SPC CONCURS. TEMPERATURES THE OTHER
WILD CARD...AS BONE DRIER AIRMASS ALLOWS THE WEST AND CENTRAL ZONES
TO REALLY HEAT UP. GUIDANCE REMINDS ME OF THE TEXAS LOTTERY...JUST
PICK A NUMBER...ANY NUMBER. RATHER THAN BITE ON INCONSISTENT
GUIDANCE...WE/LL LEAN TOWARD PERSISTENCE.

.WEDNESDAY-THURSDAY...DRYLINE TO MEANDER ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA...
JOGGING WESTWARD INTO THE CENTRAL COUNTIES BY NIGHT...THEN ADVANCING
EASTWARD TOWARD SAN SABA...BROWNWOOD AND MASON BY DAY. CANNOT RULE
OUT ISOLATED THUNDER ACROSS THE HEARTLAND AND NORTHWEST HILL
COUNTRY. PERHAPS ENOUGH CONVERGENCE ALONG THE DRYLINE...COUPLED WITH
WEAK DISTURBANCES IN SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT...TO POP A TOP OR TWO.

.FRIDAY-MONDAY...850 MB EQUIVALENT POTENTIAL TEMPERATURE RIDGE...
ANCHORED BY DEWPOINTS IN THE MID 60S...BACKS WESTWARD INTO THE
FORECAST AREA FRIDAY NIGHT. SURFACE DEWPOINTS LIKELY PUSHING 70 F.
MEANWHILE...STOUT UPPER LOW TO EJECT INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS...WITH
THE ASSOCIATED PACIFIC FRONT DRIVING THROUGH WEST CENTRAL TEXAS.
RAIN CHANCES LOOK PRETTY GOOD FRIDAY NIGHT WITH ABOVE SCENARIO...
ESPECIALLY WHEN CONSIDERING CONVERGENCE ALONG THE SURFACE-850 MB
PACIFIC FRONT. THINGS CAN CHANGE FOR THE WORST...SO INHERITED LOW
POP PRUDENT. WE/LL ALSO RETAIN SLIGHT CHANCE POPS SATURDAY THROUGH
MONDAY...FOR IT APPEARS THE MOISTURE WILL NOT GET SWEPT AWAY. UPPER
DISTURBANCES WILL CONTINUE TO INFRINGE UPON THE FORECAST AREA...
AIDING DEVELOPMENT.

PRELIMS...

ABI 096/061/095/067  0000
SJT 098/062/097/066  0000
JCT 095/064/095/069  1111

.SJT...NONE.

17
Hazardous weather outlook, May 6, 5:30 AM CDT, 4 hours 17 minutes before
TXZ049-054-064>066-071>073-076>078-098-099-113-114-127-128-139-140-
154-155-168>170-071030-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
530 AM CDT TUE MAY 6 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST CENTRAL TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...

A COUPLE OF THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE FURTHEST SOUTHEAST
COUNTIES THIS AFTERNOON. THERE IS ALSO A SLIM POSSIBILIY FOR THESE
TO BECOME SEVERE. HOWEVER SPOTTERS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...

A FEW STORMS MAY DEVELOP WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY IN THE SOUTHEAST.
HOWEVER THE BEST CHANCES FOR STORMS...ALBEIT STILL A SLIM
CHANCE...WILL BE FRIDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

24

In the hours before

Local storm report, May 6, 8:26 AM CDT, 1 hour 21 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT : CORRECTION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
0826 AM CDT TUE MAY 06 2003

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0812 PM    15 SE HASKELL             TX   FX TORNADO
05/03/03   HASKELL                        SPOTTERS REPORTED THE
                                          DEVELOPMENT OF A TORNADO
                                          WITH THE NEW MESOCYCLONE TO
                                          THE SOUTHEAST OF THE OLD
                                          ONE ASSOCIATED WITH THE
                                          LARGE TORNADO THAT MOVED
                                          OVER LAKE STAMFORD. FX
                                          MEANS THAT AN F-SCALE
                                          RATING HAS YET TO BE
                                          DETERMINED.

0810 PM    10 SE HASKELL             TX   FX TORNADO
05/03/03   HASKELL                        SPOTTERS REPORTED A LARGE
                                          TORNADO. FX MEANS THAT AN
                                          F-SCALE RATING HAS YET TO
                                          BE DETERMINED.

0725 PM    HASKELL                   TX   1.75 IN HAIL
05/03/03   HASKELL

0721 PM    7 S HASKELL               TX   4.25 IN HAIL
05/03/03   HASKELL                        SOFTBALL SIZE HAIL

0720 PM    5 S HASKELL               TX   2.75 IN HAIL
05/03/03   HASKELL                        BASEBALL SIZE HAIL

0720 PM    8 S HASKELL               TX   FX TORNADO
05/03/03   HASKELL                        MULTIPLE VORTEX TORNADO
                                          REPORTED SOUTH OF HASKELL.
                                          FX MEANS THAT AN F-SCALE
                                          RATING HAS YET TO BE
                                          DETERMINED.

0711 PM    2 S RULE                  TX   FX TORNADO
05/03/03   HASKELL                        POSSIBLE TORNADO. CAR
                                          DAMAGED BY FLYING DEBRIS.
                                          FX MEANS THAT AN F-SCALE
                                          HAS YET TO BE DETERMINED.

BRAZZELL

The office that day

Everything else NWS San Angelo, TX issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 6, 8:38 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTSchleicher52 min
May 6, 9:25 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTMenard, Schleicher65 min
May 6, 10:15 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTKimble45 min
May 6, 11:40 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTKimble50 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Texas, 2003Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2003

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.