Alert archive / Texas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2003

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 5, NWS San Angelo, TX

April 16, 2003Coleman County, Texas

NWS San Angelo, TX issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Apr 16, 2003, 12:58 AM CDT for Coleman County, Texas. It was in force for 32 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 16, 2003, 12:58 AM CDT (05:58 UTC)
Expired
Apr 16, 2003, 1:30 AM CDT
In force
32 min
Issued by
NWS San Angelo, TX
Area
Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Coleman County, TX

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Fort Worth, TX (KFWD), launched 00:00Z, 6.0 hours before the alert went out and 246 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Fort Worth, TX at 00:00Z on 2003-04-16Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 133 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Fort Worth, TX at 00:00Z on 2003-04-16The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 186 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
133 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-51 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1178 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
56 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
186 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
236 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.1
Supercell composite
2.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

217 
WUUS54 KSJT 160558
SVRSJT
TXC083-160630-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1257 AM CDT WED APR 16 2003

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN ANGELO HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  COLEMAN COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS

* UNTIL 130 AM CDT

* AT 1252 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM ENTERING SOUTHWESTERN COLEMAN COUNTY 3 MILES   
  SOUTHWEST OF VOSS...OR ABOUT 19 MILES SOUTHWEST OF                 
  COLEMAN...MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
   SANTA ANNA AT 115 AM CDT
   TRICKHAM AT 120 AM CDT

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...DANGEROUS
LIGHTNING...AND VERY HEAVY RAINFALL. FOR YOUR PROTECTION...MOVE TO AN
INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS.

LAT...LON 3171 9969 3154 9967 3151 9923 3176 9923

$$

19

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS San Angelo, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Apr 15, 9:40 PM CDT, 3 hours 18 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 15, 9:40 PM CDT, 3 hours 18 minutes before
WEST CENTRAL TEXAS FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
940 PM CDT TUE APR 15 2003

ANOTHER QUICK UPDATE TO CANCEL MOST OF THE TORNADO WATCH. DRYLINE
CONTINUES TO PUSH EAST...AND IS NOW SKIRTING MY WESTERN COUNTIES.
CAP HAS HELD FURTHER SOUTH AND THE FEW SHOWERS THAT TRIED TO DEVELOP
DISSIPATED FAIRLY QUICKLY. AFTER COORDINATION WITH SPC...HAVE OPTED
TO CANCEL THE TORNADO WATCH FOR ALL BUT HASKELL AND THROCKMORTON
COUNTIES. GIVEN THAT THE DRYLINE WILL NOT CLEAR THE EASTERN COUNTIES
UNTIL AFTER MIDNIGHT...HAVE OPTED TO LEAVE SMALL POPS IN FOR THE
NORTHERN AND EASTERN COUNTIES.

07

CURRENT...SATELLITE AND WSR-88D DATA INDICATING SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS HAVE MOVED INTO OUR WESTERN COUNTIES. SURFACE
DEWPOINTS ACROSS WEST CENTRAL TEXAS CONTINUE AROUND 60. IN
ADDITION...VIS SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATING LOTS OF BLOWING DUST OR
SAND ACROSS FAR WEST TEXAS AND SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO.

DAYS 1-3...MODELS PUSH SURFACE COLD FRONT THROUGH WEST CENTRAL TEXAS
OVERNIGHT TONIGHT. ALTHOUGH BEST UPPER SUPPORT WILL BE NORTH OF OUR
CWFA...BELIEVE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS WEST
CENTRAL TEXAS THIS EVENING AS THE SURFACE BOUNDARY...FRONT OR
DRYLINE...MOVES EAST. BEST POPS WILL BE OVER THE BIG COUNTRY WHICH
IS CLOSER TO THE BEST UPPER DYNAMICS. POPS WILL END OVERNIGHT
TONIGHT ACROSS WEST CENTRAL TEXAS. ANOTHER UPPER-LEVEL SYSTEM WILL
PUSH INTO TEXAS LATER THIS WEEK. THUS...WILL CONTINUE LOW POPS FOR
THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY. HOWEVER...MODELS DO NOT AGREE VERY WELL
HERE. THUS...CONFIDENCE IS LOW. COOLER TEMPERATURES WILL DOMINATE
ACROSS WEST CENTRAL TEXAS THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK...AND NUMBERS
CLOSE TO MAV MOS LOOK BEST. AS FOR WINDS...CURRENT METAR DATA AND
MODEL DATA SUGGEST WINDS WILL INCREASE THIS EVENING AS THE SURFACE
BOUNDARY PUSHES ACROSS WEST CENTRAL TEXAS. THUS...WILL ISSUE A WIND
ADVISORY FOR ALL ZONES FOR TONIGHT. FOR TOMORROW...MODEL DATA
INDICATE WEST WINDS WILL BE IN THE BREEZY RANGE.

DAYS 1-4...NEXT SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL PUSH ACROSS WEST CENTRAL
TEXAS SATURDAY. WILL CONTINUE SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SATURDAY.
HOWEVER...BEST DYNAMICS WILL BE MAINLY NORTH. SO...CONFIDENCE
REMAINS LOW FOR MEASURABLE RAIN SATURDAY. FOR SUNDAY THROUGH THE
START OF NEXT WEEK...COOLER TEMPERATURES WILL DOMINATE.

CCF PRELIMS...

ABI 055/085/050/078/055 5000
SJT 055/085/050/083/058 3000
JCT 058/088/050/085/058 2000

.SJT...WIND ADVISORY ALL ZONES TONIGHT.

23/HUBER
Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 15, 2:41 PM CDT, 10 hours 17 minutes before
TXZ049-054-064>066-071>073-076>078-098-099-113-114-127-128-139-140-
154-155-168>170-161030-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
241 PM CDT TUE APR 15 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST CENTRAL TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY ACROSS THE
BIG COUNTRY AND NORTHERN HALF OF THE CONCHO VALLEY THIS EVENING. THE
SLIGHT RISK AREA IS NORTH OF A LINE FROM STERLING CITY TO SAN ANGELO
TO BALLINGER AND CROSS PLAINS. A POTENT UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL
MOVE OUT OF THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES TOWARD THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL
PLAINS THIS EVENING AS A DRYLINE ADVANCES EASTWARD TOWARD WEST
CENTRAL TEXAS.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG THE DRYLINE
AND MAY BEGIN TO IMPACT THE BIG COUNTRY FROM ROTAN TO SWEETWATER AND
STERLING CITY BY 600 PM.  VERTICAL WIND SHEAR PROFILES WILL BE
SUPPORTIVE OF SUPERCELL SEVERE STORMS. THE PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER
THREATS WILL BE LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS...BUT ISOLATED
TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE.  THE STORMS MAY ORGANIZE INTO A SQUALL
LINE AND THEN PUSH EASTWARD ACROSS WEST CENTRAL TEXAS LATER
TONIGHT...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE BIG COUNTRY.

IN ADDITION...EXPECT STRONG WINDS OF 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO NEAR 40
COULD DEVELOP BEHIND THE DRYLINE...AND A WIND ADVISORY MAY BE
REQUIRED THIS EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...

A DRYLINE AND UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL BRING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS TO WEST CENTRAL TEXAS FRIDAY AND SATURDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED THIS EVENING.

GUERRERO

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Apr 15, 8:20 PM CDT, 4 hours 38 minutes before
TXZ049-054-064-065-071-072-098-099-113-114-127-160315-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
820 PM CDT TUE APR 15 2003

...TORNADO WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT...
...STRONG WINDS GUSTING TO AROUND 55 MPH POSSIBLE THIS EVENING...

AT 830 PM CDT...A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXTENED FROM 25 MILES
NORTHWEST OF HASKELL AND CONTINUED NORTH TOWARDS THE RED RIVER.
THIS LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS WAS MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING MAY BE REQUIRED FOR HASKELL COUNTY.

IN ADDITION...VERY STRONG WIND GUSTS TO AROUND 55 MPH WITH SOME DUST
ARE POSSIBLE IMMEDIATELY BEHIND THE LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS.

THESE STRONG WIND GUSTS WILL LIKELY AFFECT THE AREA FROM HASKELL TO
ROBY...TO SWEETWATER...TO STERLING CITY BETWEEN 830 AND 930 PM CDT.
Special weather statement, Apr 15, 9:20 PM CDT, 3 hours 38 minutes before
TXZ049-054-064>066-071>073-098-099-113-114-127-128-139-140-154-
160230-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
920 PM CDT TUE APR 15 2003

THE TORNADO WATCH HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN
WEST CENTRAL TEXAS...

FISHER...JONES...SHACKELFORD...NOLAN...TAYLOR...CALLAHAN...STERLING
...COKE...RUNNELS...COLEMAN...BROWN...IRION...TOM
GREEN...CONCHO...AND MCCULLOCH.

...THE TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM CDT...FOR THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN WEST CENTRAL TEXAS...HASKELL...AND
THROCKMORTON.

GUERRERO

The office that day

Everything else NWS San Angelo, TX issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 15, 8:56 PM CDTTornado WarningSJTHaskell34 min
Apr 16, 1:30 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTBrown30 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Texas, 2003Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2003

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.