Severe Thunderstorm Warning 260, NWS San Angelo, TX

WEST CENTRAL TEXAS FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
214 PM CDT WED JUL 23 2003

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS OCCURING ALONG SOUTHWARD MOVING WEAK COLD
FRONT IN OUR SOUTHERN COUNTIES. EXPECT THESE TO CONTINUE A SOUTHWARD
MOVEMENT OUT OF OUR COUNTIES DURING THE EVENING BEFORE DISSIPATING
WITH LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING. WILL MONITOR RADAR TRENDS FOR POP AND
RAIN CHANCE WORDING THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT. AT THE MOMENT LEANING
TOWARD A 20 POP FOR SOUTHERN COUNTIES. TAIL END OF WEAK FRONT SHOULD
STALL OVER SOUTH-CENTRAL TX TONIGHT...THEN DISSOLVE WITH SOUTHERLY
LOW LEVEL FLOW DEVELOPING.

UPPER HIGH TO REMAIN CENTERED OVER FOUR CORNERS REGION INTO LATE
WEEK...BEFORE EXPANDING EASTWARD ACROSS CENTRAL PLAINS OVER THE
WEEKEND. THE 850 MILLIBAR TEMPERATURE PATTERN INDICATES THAT THE
HOTTER DAYTIME TEMPERATURES WILL OCCUR IN THE TX PANHANDLE AND HIGH
PLAINS...WITH MID TO UPPER 90S EXPECTED IN WEST CENTRAL TX.

FOR SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...PLAN TO KEEP A DRY FORECAST IN THE
ZONES. AT THIS TIME...THINKING IS THAT LACK OF SUBSTANTIVE UPPER OR
SURFACE SUPPORT ALONG WITH QUESTIONABLE MOISTURE YIELD LOW
CONFIDENCE IN RAIN CHANCES FOR WEST CENTRAL TX. WILL CARRY A LESS
THAN 10 POP IN THE GRIDS. WILL GO WITH PERSISTENCE FOR
TEMPERATURES.

ABI 069/095/070/095/073 00000
SJT 069/096/070/096/071 00000
JCT 070/095/071/095/072 20000

.SJT...NONE.

19

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