Alert archive / Texas / Flash Flood Warnings in 2003
Flash Flood Warning 84, NWS San Angelo, TX
NWS San Angelo, TX issued this flash flood warning at Oct 9, 2003, 9:15 AM CDT for Brown County, Texas. It was in force for 2 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Oct 9, 2003, 9:15 AM CDT (14:15 UTC)
- Expired
- Oct 9, 2003, 11:15 AM CDT
- In force
- 2 hr
- Issued by
- NWS San Angelo, TX
- Area
- Counties, with a storm outline in the text
County Brown County, TX
Did it verify
Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this flash flood warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.
Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.
The nearest sounding before it
Fort Worth, TX (KFWD), launched 12:00Z, 2.3 hours before the alert went out and 197 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 871 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 40 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 112 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 157 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 WGUS54 KSJT 091414 FFWSJT TXC049-091615- BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED FLASH FLOOD WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX 915 AM CDT THU OCT 9 2003 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN ANGELO HAS ISSUED A * FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR... BROWN COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS * UNTIL 1115 AM CDT * AT 902 AM CDT...LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICERS REPORTED ROADS CLOSED ACROSS THE CITY OF BROWNWOOD...INCLUDING SECTIONS OF HIGHWAY 377 AND HIGHWAY 183. MANY LOCAL STREETS ARE FLOODED AND IMPASSABLE ...ESPECIALLY NEAR ADAMS BRANCH AND WILLIS CREEK. * RAINFALL TOTALING 3 TO 5 INCHES HAS FALLEN IN THE WARNED AREA SINCE WEDNESDAY EVENING...WITH ADDITIONAL MODERATE RAINFALL OF ONE HALF TO ONE INCH EXPECTED THROUGH 11 AM CDT. ALTHOUGH THE HEAVIEST RAIN HAS PASSED...ANY ADDITIONAL RAINFALL WILL ONLY RUNOFF INTO ALREADY FLOODED CREEKS...STREAMS...AND LOW LYING ROADWAYS. TURN AROUND DONT DROWN DO NOT DRIVE INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW SAFE PASSAGE. REMEMBER...MOST FLASH FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN VEHICLES. LAT...LON 3196 9915 3164 9915 3165 9882 3203 9892 $$ 07
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS San Angelo, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Oct 9, 3:15 AM CDT, 6 hours earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Oct 9, 3:15 AM CDT, 6 hours before
WEST CENTRAL TEXAS FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX 315 AM CDT THU OCT 9 2003 LOTS OF NICE SOAKING RAINS OVER MUCH OF WESTCENTRAL TEXAS. UNFORTUNATELY MOST OF THE RAIN WILL END THIS MORNING. THE NEARLY STATIONARY UPPER LOW OVER BAJA CALIFORNIA THAT BROUGHT THE RAINS UP FROM MEXICO WILL MOVE SLOWLY NORTHWARD THIS WEEKEND. MEANWHILE...A SHORTWAVE MOVING THROUGH THE CENTRAL PLAINS THIS MORNING WILL BRING DRIER AIR INTO THE REGION FROM NORTH TO SOUTH...AS UPPER RIDGING BUILDS IN BEHIND IT. ETA AND AVN MODELS INDICATE MOST OF THE LIFT GONE BY 12Z (7 AM) TODAY. EXPECT NUMEROUS/SCATTERED SHOWERS TO DIMINISH QUICKLY THIS MORNING...AND MAY NEED A MID MORNING UPDATE TO ACCOUNT FOR LOWER RAIN CHANCES. BY 7 PM THIS EVENING...MOST OF THE MOISTURE CONFINED FROM 850 MB AND BELOW. WITH THE RECENT RAINS AND FAIRLY LIGHT WINDS...AREAS THAT CLEAR TONIGHT MAY SEE PATCHY DENSE FOG BY FRIDAY MORNING. THE BEST AREA I THINK IT WOULD HAPPEN...WOULD BE IN THE BIG COUNTRY. WILL MENTION PATCHY FOG EVERYWHERE THOUGH. MAY SEE AN INCREASE IN HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY...AND INTO THE FIRST PART OF NEXT WEEK...AS SOME MOISTURE FROM THE BAJA LOW IS MOVED NORTHWARD INTO WEST TEXAS...NEW MEXICO AND ARIZONA. NOT SURE ON EXTENT OF IT...AS THERE IS A UNCERTAINTY IN THE MOVEMENT OF THE UPPER LOW. YESTERDAYS 00Z RUN HAD IT MOVING INTO SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA EARLY NEXT WEEK...TODAYS INDICATES IT WILL BE FURTHER EAST ALONG THE SOUTHERN ARIZONA/NEW MEXICO STATE LINES. A COLD FRONT OTHERWISE REINFORCES WEAK SURFACE RIDGING OVER THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY. WHILE A FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS POSSIBLE...WONT INCLUDE AT THIS TIME AS LIFT/UPPER DYNAMICS LACKING. CCF PRELIMS... ABI 080/060 080/060 080 710-1 SJT 080/061 080/060 080 410-1 JCT 079/063 080/060 081 520-- .SJT...NONE. 04
Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 9, 5:20 AM CDT, 3 hours 55 minutes before
TXZ054-064>066-071>073-076>078-098-099-113-114-127-128-139-140-154- 155-168>170-101015- HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX 520 AM CDT THU OCT 9 2003 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST CENTRAL TEXAS. .DAY ONE... A LARGE AREA OF RAIN WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH EAST AND OUT OF THE AREA BY MID MORNING. HOWEVER...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN... WITH A WET GROUND AND CLEARING SKIES...PATCHY DENSE FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE FRIDAY MORNING...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE BIG COUNTRY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED. 07
Nearby
Flash Flood Warnings in Texas, 2003Every flash flood warning in 2003
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.