Alert archive / Texas / Flash Flood Warnings in 2003

Flash Flood Warning 10, NWS San Angelo, TX

May 27, 2003Schleicher County, Sutton County, Texas

NWS San Angelo, TX issued this flash flood warning at May 27, 2003, 4:18 AM CDT for Schleicher County, Sutton County, Texas. It was in force for 4 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 27, 2003, 4:18 AM CDT (09:18 UTC)
Expired
May 27, 2003, 8:15 AM CDT
In force
4 hr
Issued by
NWS San Angelo, TX
Area
Counties, with a storm outline in the text

Counties Schleicher County, TX, Sutton County, TX

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this flash flood warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Del Rio, TX (KDRT), launched 00:00Z, 9.3 hours before the alert went out and 158 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Del Rio, TX at 00:00Z on 2003-05-27Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 470 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Del Rio, TX at 00:00Z on 2003-05-27The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -31 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
470 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-66 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1447 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
13 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-31 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-19 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WGUS54 KSJT 270926
FFWSJT
TXC413-435-271315-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
418 AM CDT TUE MAY 27 2003

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN ANGELO HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  SCHLEICHER COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST TEXAS
  SUTTON COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST TEXAS

* UNTIL 815 AM CDT

* AT 412 AM CDT...WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED VERY HEAVY
  RAIN FROM 10 MILES EAST OF ELDORADO TO 14 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
  SONORA...MOVING EAST AT 10 MPH.

* RADAR ESTIMATES...AS WELL AS LOCAL OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT 
RAINFALL TOTALING 1 TO 3 INCHES HAS FALLEN IN THE WARNED AREA SINCE 
MIDNIGHT...WITH ADDITIONAL RAINFALL UP TO 3 INCHES EXPECTED THROUGH 
815 AM CDT. THIS WILL CAUSE SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS TO FLOOD 
RAPIDLY IN SOUTHERN SCHLEICHER AND NORTHERN SUTTON COUNTIES.

TURN AROUND DONT DROWN DO NOT DRIVE INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS
THE ROAD. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW SAFE PASSAGE.
REMEMBER...MOST FLASH FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN VEHICLES.

LAT...LON 3109 10087 3032 10090 3031 10014 3106 10013

$$
27/BRAZZELL
1 follow-up statement
000 
WGUS74 KSJT 271041
FFSSJT
TXC413-435-271315-

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
533 AM CDT TUE MAY 27 2003

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SUTTON AND SCHLEICHER COUNTIES 
UNTIL 815 AM CDT...

AT 528 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR ESTIMATED THAT 2 TO 4 INCHES OF RAIN 
HAVE FALLEN OVER SOUTHERN SCHLEICHER AND NORTHERN SUTTON COUNTIES 
SINCE MIDNIGHT...WITH ADDITIONAL RAINFALL UP TO 2 INCHES EXPECTED BY 
815 AM CDT. THIS WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE FLOODING OF LOW WATER 
CROSSINGS AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.

AT 528 AM CDT...THE SUTTON COUNTY SHERIFF OFFICE REPORTED THAT 3 AND 
HALF INCHES OF RAIN HAS FALLEN IN SONORA SINCE MIDNIGHT. MANY 
STREETS HAVE BEEN CLOSED.  ALSO MANY BRIDGES AT LOW WATER CROSSINGS 
ARE FLOODED. DO NOT PUT YOUR LIFE AT RISK...IF YOU ENCOUNTER A 
FLOODED ROADWAY...TURN AROUND DONT DROWN. 

MOST DEATHS IN FLASH FLOODING OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO
CROSS BRIDGES...DIPS...OR LOW SPOTS IF WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY.
NEVER TRY TO CROSS A FLOWING STREAM...EVEN A SMALL ONE...ON FOOT.

$$
27/BRAZZELL

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS San Angelo, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at May 27, 3:13 AM CDT, 1 hour 5 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 27, 3:13 AM CDT, 1 hour 5 minutes before
WEST CENTRAL TEXAS FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
313 AM CDT TUE MAY 27 2003

RAIN CHANCES COME TO AN END AS DOES THE LONG HOLIDAY WEEKEND

AFTER A SPRING OF ALMOST NO RAIN...WHAT BETTER WAY FOR WEST TEXAS TO
CELEBRATE THE MEMORIAL DAY WEEKEND...THAN WITH RAIN.  MOST AREAS GOT
ABOUT AN INCH OF RAIN...SOME AREAS EVEN MORE AS AN UPPER LEVEL LOW
AND WEAK COLD FRONT PROVIDED DYNAMICS FOR RAIN. GOOD RAIN AND NOT
TOO DISRUPTIVE FOR MOST ACTIVITIES.

THE UPPER LOW/BASE OF SHEAR AXIS IS NOW POSITIONED ACROSS NORTHERN
MEXICO AND IS DROPPING FURTHER SOUTH. AS IT MOVES AWAY CHANCES FOR
RAIN GO WITH IT.  ALTHO THERE HAS BEEN AN AREA OF PERSISTENT SHOWERS
BETWEEN SAN ANGELO AND OZONA OVERNIGHT. SHOWING IMPACT OF DIFFLUENT
FLOW ALOFT AND WEAK ISENTROPIC LIFT.  WILL FINE TUNE FIRST PERIOD
POPS AT LAST MINUTE...BUT BASED ON OVERNIGHT PRECIP TRENDS WILL HIT
MORNING POPS HARDEST ACROSS SOUTHWEST AT 50 PERCENT...WILL CARRY 30
ACROSS CONCHO VALLEY AND NW HILL COUNTRY...WILL MENTION SPRINKLES
ACROSS SOUTHERN BIG COUNTRY AND NO MENTION OF RAIN ACROSS THE
NORTHERN BIG COUNTRY

AS UPPER LEVEL LOW CONTINUES TO MOVE SOUTHEAST.  REMAINING RAIN
CHANCES FOR THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT DIMINISH. RAIN CHANCES MIGHTY
SLIM FOR THE BIG COUNTRY AND INCREASE TO THE 20 RANGE ALONG THE
I-10 CORRIDOR TONIGHT.

BY MID WEEK DRIER AIR MOVES IN...AS UPPER RIDGE BUILDS IN.  BACK TO
SEASONAL DRY WEATHER MOST OF THE WEEK...NEXT CHANCE OF RAIN NOT TILL
LATE IN THE WEEKEND AND WILL ONLY MENTION RAIN CHANCES FOR SUNDAY.

CCF PRELIMS...

ABI 079/059/085/062 1000
SJT 080/058/085/060 3-00
JCT 081/059/085/060 3100

.SJT...NONE.

25
Hazardous weather outlook, May 26, 2:30 PM CDT, 13 hours 48 minutes before
TXZ049-054-064>066-071>073-076>078-098-099-113-114-127-128-139-140-
154-155-168>170-261930-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
230 PM CDT MON MAY 26 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST CENTRAL TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...

A SHORT WAVE MOVING OUT OF NORTHERN MEXICO AND INTERACTING WITH A
FRONTAL BOUNDARY ACROSS SOUTH TEXAS MAY TRIGGER SOME THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY LATE THIS AFTERNOON IN THE BIG BEND REGION OF TEXAS. SOME
OF THESE STORMS MAY DRIFT EAST ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TIER OF COUNTIES
GENERALLY SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 10. NONE OF THESE STORMS ARE EXPECTED
TO BE SEVERE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...

A STATIONARY FRONT LOCATED ACROSS SOUTH TEXAS MAY PROVIDE THE FOCUS
FOR SOME SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT EARLY TUESDAY...
HOWEVER NO SEVERE ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. A BUILDING HIGH
PRESSURE RIDGE OVER THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES WILL END RAIN CHANCES FOR
WEST CENTRAL TEXAS THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

15

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Texas, 2003Every flash flood warning in 2003

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.