Severe Thunderstorm Warning 315, NWS Shreveport, LA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1030 AM CDT MON AUG 11 2003

A MID LEVEL SHORTWAVE PUSHING SOUTHWARD...AND DIVERGENCE IN THE
FRONT LEFT QUADRANT OF A 70 KT UPPER JET...IS CREATING SCATTERED TO
NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 20...ACROSS EAST TEXAS
AND WEST CENTRAL LOUISIANA.  A WEAKER SHORTWAVE ACROSS E OK/W AR
WILL ALSO MOVE SOUTH...AND WILL HELP INITIATE MORE SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON WITH HELP OF DAYTIME HEATING.  EXPECT
TO SLIGHTLY LOWER POPS UP NORTH...AND RAISE THEM A TAD ACROSS THE
EAST TEXAS LAKES REGION FOR THIS AFTERNOON...WHERE THE BEST
DIVERGENCE IS EXPECTED.

CURRENT VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOWS PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES NORTH OF
INTERSTATE 20...WITH MOSTLY CLOUDY SOUTH OF IT.  WILL MAKE MINOR
CLOUD CHANGE UP NORTH...TO VARIABLE CLOUDINESS...AS STORMS ARE
EXPECTED TO REDEVELOP.

CLOUD COVER AND PRECIPITATION SHOULD KEEP TEMPERATURES BELOW AVERAGE
TODAY.  CURRENT FORECAST HAS UPPER 80S AND THAT SHOULD SUFFICE
ACROSS MOST PLACES...WITH MAX TEMPS POSSIBLY LOWER TODAY ACROSS THE
EAST TEXAS LAKES REGION...AND SOME AREAS ACROSS NE TX/SE OK COULD
REACH INTO THE LOWER 90S...WHERE MORE SUN IS EXPECTED.  WILL LOOK AT
11 AM OBSERVATIONS BEFORE DECIDING ON TEMPS.

22

.SHV...NONE.

ARZ050-051-059>061-070>073-LAZ001>006-010>014-017>022-OKZ077-TXZ096-
097-108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167-121100-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1200 PM CDT MON AUG 11 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...NORTHEAST
TEXAS...SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS...NORTHWEST AND NORTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...
NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE EAST TEXAS LAKES
REGION AND WEST CENTRAL LOUISIANA...WILL GRADUALLY PUSH SOUTH OUT OF
THE REGION DURING THE EARLY AFTERNOON.  HOWEVER...ISOLATED SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS AND NORTHWEST
LOUISIANA...ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE...WILL
INCREASE IN COVERAGE WITH DAYTIME HEATING...AND PUSH SOUTHWARD INTO
EAST TEXAS AND NORTH LOUISIANA DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
ISOLATED STRONG WINDS AND HAIL WILL BE THE MAIN CONCERNS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
ACTIVATION OF EMERGENCY MANAGERS...SKYWARN NETWORKS...AND STORM
SPOTTERS...MAY BE NEEDED TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT, LA
212 PM CDT MON AUG 11 2003

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

1247 PM    HOLLY CREEK               OK   1.00 INCH HAIL
08/11/03   MCCURTAIN                      HAIL TO THE SIZE OF
                                          QUARTERS REPORTED BY LAW
                                          ENFORCEMENT

0118 PM    2 SE MALTA                TX   WIND DAMAGE
08/11/03   BOWIE                          STORAGE BUILDING DESTROYED
                                          ON COUNTY ROAD 4102 AS
                                          REPORTED BY LAW
                                          ENFORCEMENT.

0118 PM    3 W NEW BOSTON            TX   WIND DAMAGE
08/11/03   BOWIE                          BOTH THE FRONT AND BACK
                                          PORCHES OF A HOME DAMAGED
                                          BY WIND AS REPORTED BY LAW
                                          ENFORCEMENT.

1255 PM    BROKEN BOW                OK   .75 INCH HAIL
08/11/03   MCCURTAIN                      REPORTED BY LAW
                                          ENFORCEMENT

1244 PM    10 W BROKEN BOW           OK   1.75 INCH HAIL
08/11/03   MCCURTAIN                      NEAR THE SIZE OF GOLF
                                          BALLS REPORTED BY LAW
                                          ENFORCEMENT

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