Alert archive / Texas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2003

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 15, NWS Shreveport, LA

March 18, 2003Panola County, Texas

NWS Shreveport, LA issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Mar 18, 2003, 12:27 PM CST for Panola County, Texas. It was in force for 48 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Mar 18, 2003, 12:27 PM CST (18:27 UTC)
Expired: Mar 18, 2003, 1:15 PM CST
In force: 48 min
Issued by: NWS Shreveport, LA
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Panola County, TX

The radar

The Shreveport radar (KSHV), 57 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:28 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Shreveport, LA (KSHV), launched 12:00Z, 6.5 hours before the alert went out and 66 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 29 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -184 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 707 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 52 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 99 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 132 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: -0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

697 
WUUS54 KSHV 181827
SVRSHV
TXC365-181915-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1225 PM CST TUE MAR 18 2003

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SHREVEPORT HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  PANOLA COUNTY IN NORTHEAST TEXAS

* UNTIL 115 PM CST

* AT 1225 PM CST...THE SHREVEPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER
  RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM 12 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
  BECKVILLE...OR ABOUT 14 MILES WEST OF CARTHAGE...MOVING NORTHEAST
  AT 40 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE...
  NEAR BECKVILLE AND CARTHAGE...AT 1245 PM CST

A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN PRODUCE
TORNADOES WITH LITTLE OR NO WARNING. BE READY TO ACT QUICKLY.

REPEATING...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  PANOLA COUNTY IN NORTHEAST TEXAS
UNTIL 115 PM CST.

LAT...LON 3223 9455 3201 9446 3215 9408 3234 9421

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Shreveport, LA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Mar 18, 12:00 PM CST, 27 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 18, 12:00 PM CST, 27 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1200 PM CST TUE MAR 18 2003

UPDATE ALREADY SENT FOR TORNADO WATCH #51 IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 PM FOR
OUR SOUTHERN HALF OF EAST TEXAS AND NORTHERN LOUISIANA.

.SHV...TORNADO WATCH UNTIL 500 PM CST FOR LAZ010-011-017>020-TXZ149>153-
165>167.

Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 18, 12:00 PM CST, 27 minutes before

ARZ050-051-059>061-070>073-LAZ001>006-010>014-017>022-OKZ077-TXZ096-
097-108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167-191200-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1200 PM CST TUE MAR 18 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...NORTHEAST
TEXAS...SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS...NORTHWEST AND NORTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE DEVELOPING ACROSS THE FOUR
STATE REGION AHEAD OF A WEAK COLD FRONT. THE STORMS WILL BECOME
SEVERE ON THE HEELS OF A STRONG UPPER LEVEL JET STREAM CURRENTLY
ACROSS THE REGION. LOOK FOR THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT
TO PRODUCE LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS ALONG CONVECTIVE BOWS.
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE ALSO POSSIBLE WITH SUPERCELLS THAT DEVELOP
AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT. THE ACTIVITY SHOULD MOVE QUICKLY NORTHWARD
WITH MUCH OF THE ACTIVITY ENDING BY MIDNIGHT ACROSS SOUTHERN
ARKANSAS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE INCREASING DURING THE WEEKEND
AND CONTINUE INTO THE FIRST OF NEXT WEEK. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS
EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
ACTIVATION OF EMERGENCY MANAGERS...SKYWARN NETWORKS...AND STORM
SPOTTERS WILL BE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Mar 18, 12:27 PM CST, 0 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1227 PM CST TUE MAR 18 2003

TIME(CST)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

1150 AM    ALTO                      TX   WIND DAMAGE
03/18/03   CHEROKEE                       TREES AND POWER LINES
                                          DOWNED.

1155 AM    CUSHING                   TX   WIND DAMAGE
03/18/03   NACOGDOCHES                    NEAR COUNTY ROADS 935 AND
                                          836 WITH TREES DOWNED.

VIII

Local storm report, Mar 18, 12:27 PM CST, 0 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...ADDED SOURCE OF REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1227 PM CST TUE MAR 18 2003

TIME(CST)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

1150 AM    ALTO                      TX   WIND DAMAGE
03/18/03   CHEROKEE                       TREES AND POWER LINES
                                          DOWNED.  LAW
                                          ENFORCEMENT.

1155 AM    CUSHING                   TX   WIND DAMAGE
03/18/03   NACOGDOCHES                    NEAR COUNTY ROADS 935 AND
                                          836 WITH TREES DOWNED.
                                          LAW ENFORCEMENT.

VIII.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Shreveport, LA issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Mar 18, 11:25 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SHV	Cherokee, Nacogdoches	50 min
Mar 18, 11:31 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SHV	Cherokee, Nacogdoches	44 min
Mar 18, 11:58 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SHV	Rusk	47 min
Mar 18, 12:19 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SHV	Harrison	41 min
Mar 18, 2:06 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SHV	Sabine	39 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Texas, 2003 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2003

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.