Severe Thunderstorm Warning 118, NWS Shreveport, LA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
215 AM CDT SAT MAY 3 2003

STORMS HAVE PRODUCED LARGE HAIL UP TO SOFTBALL SIZE...ACROSS
SOUTHERN ARKANSAS AND NORTHERN LOUISIANA LATE LAST NIGHT AND EARLY
THIS MORNING.  CURRENT RADAR SHOWS THESE STORMS WEAKENING AS THEY
MOVE TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST.

A WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE START OF THE NEXT
WORK WEEK...AS A STRONG UPPER LEVEL LOW MOVES INTO THE NORTHERN
PLAINS ON MONDAY.  NUMEROUS UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES WILL PASS
ACROSS THE AREA IN THIS FLOW...WITH THE STRONGER DISTURBANCES
PASSING ACROSS THE NORTHERN PART OF THE CWA ON MONDAY.  DECENT
MOISTURE WILL LINGER ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THIS PERIOD...SO LOOK
FOR AFTERNOON AND EVENING SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY TO REMAIN
IN THE FORECAST.  THE CURRENT FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL MOVE NORTH AS A
WARM FRONT TODAY...BUT ANOTHER FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL APPROACH THE
AREA ON MONDAY.  SAME SCENARIO WILL SET UP MONDAY WITH THE NEXT
BOUNDARY...DAYTIME HEATING COMBINED WITH MOISTURE AND UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCES...PRODUCING SCATTERED AFTERNOON AND EVENING
THUNDERSTORMS. THE BETTER CHANCES OF THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL
REMAIN ACROSS THE NORTHERN PART OF THE CWA...AS FRONTAL BOUNDARIES
WILL STRUGGLE TO MAKE IT SOUTH OF I20.

LOOK FOR WARMER THAN NORMAL TEMPS TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE PERIOD.

PRELIMS...
SHV 88/71/87/70 2223
MLU 88/71/88/71 2222
TXK 86/70/85/70 2225
TYR 87/72/87/70 2224
LFK 89/71/88/71 1122

ELEVEN

.SHV...NONE.

ARZ050-051-059>061-070>073-LAZ001>006-010>014-017>022-OKZ077-TXZ096-
097-108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167-031100-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1200 PM CDT FRI MAY 2 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...NORTHEAST
TEXAS...SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS...NORTHWEST AND NORTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...
A COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO LINGER ACROSS THE AREA THIS
AFTERNOON...MOVING AT A SNAILS PACE TOWARD THE INTERSTATE 20
CORRIDOR ACROSS NORTH LOUISIANA AND SLIGHTLY FURTHER SOUTH ACROSS
EAST TEXAS.  THE FRONT...ALONG WITH THE COMBINED MOISTURE AND
DAYTIME HEATING WILL IGNITE SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON.
SOME THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOST LIKELY BECOME SEVERE...PRODUCING LARGE
HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...
MOISTURE WILL LINGER ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH MUCH OF THE PERIOD...SO
AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN IN THE FORECAST.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
ACTIVATION OF EMERGENCY MANAGERS...SKYWARN NETWORKS...AND STORM
SPOTTERS MAY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

20

TXZ124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167-030230-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
906 PM CDT FRI MAY 2 2003

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH #213 THAT WAS IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF EAST
TEXAS HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT, LA
158 AM CDT SAT MAY 3 2003

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

1102 PM    8 E DE QUEEN              AR   1.75 INCH HAIL
05/02/03   SEVIER                         FROM LAW ENFORCEMENT.

1125 PM    WILLISVILLE               AR   2.75 INCH HAIL
05/02/03   NEVADA                         BASEBALL SIZE HAIL BROKE
                                          CAR WINDOWS. FROM LAW
                                          ENFORCEMENT.

1145 PM    3 E MAGNOLIA              AR   2.00 INCH HAIL
05/02/03   COLUMBIA                       TWO INCH HAIL AND GOLFBALL
                                          SIZE HAIL FELL FOR 15
                                          MINUTES. FROM SPOTTERS.

1150 PM    5 E MAGNOLIA              AR   2.75 INCH HAIL
05/02/03   COLUMBIA                       WINDOWS BROKE IN 40 MOBILE
                                          HOMES AND NUMEROUS CAR
                                          WINDOWS BROKEN. FROM
                                          EMERGENCY MANAGER.

1155 PM    5 SE MAGNOLIA             AR   4.50 INCH HAIL
05/02/03   COLUMBIA                       HAIL THE SIZE OF
                                          SOFTBALLS. FROM SPOTTERS.

1200 AM    SARATOGA                  AR   1.75 INCH HAIL
05/03/03   HOWARD                         FROM LAW ENFORCEMENT.

1210 AM    FULTON                    AR   1.75 INCH HAIL
05/03/03   HEMPSTEAD                      REPORTED BY LAW
                                          ENFORCEMENT

1220 AM    JUNCTION CITY             AR   1.75 INCH HAIL
05/03/03   UNION                          REPORTED BY LAW
                                          ENFORCEMENT

1220 AM    3 N HOMER                 LA   1.75 INCH HAIL
05/03/03   CLAIBORNE                      GOLFBALL SIZE HAIL COVERED
                                          THE GROUND. REPORTED BY LAW
                                          ENFORCEMENT

0100 AM    JUNCTION CITY             LA   WIND DAMAGE
05/03/03   UNION                          TREES BLOW DOWN. REPORTED
                                          BY LAW ENFORCEMENT