Alert archive / Missouri / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2003

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 322, NWS Springfield, MO

July 11, 2003Wright County, Missouri

NWS Springfield, MO issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 11, 2003, 6:55 PM CDT for Wright County, Missouri. It was in force for 65 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 11, 2003, 6:55 PM CDT (23:55 UTC)
Expired
Jul 11, 2003, 8:00 PM CDT
In force
65 min
Issued by
NWS Springfield, MO
Area
Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Wright County, MO

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Jul 11, 5:10 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC5 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 12:00Z, 11.9 hours before the alert went out and 129 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2003-07-11Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2003-07-11The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 45 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
2141 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
19 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
45 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
222 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

765 
WUUS53 KSGF 112355
SVRSGF
MOC229-120100-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
655 PM CDT FRI JUL 11 2003

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SPRINGFIELD HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  WRIGHT COUNTY IN MISSOURI

* UNTIL 800 PM CDT.

* AT 651 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HAIL TO THE SIZE OF
  QUARTERS...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS
  LOCATED 10 MILES EAST OF CONWAY...OR 13 MILES SOUTH OF LEBANON...
  AND MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF...
  WRIGHT COUNTY.

THE TOWNS OF GROVESPRING...MANES AND DAWSON ARE ALSO IN THE PATH OF
THIS STORM.

IN ADDITION TO LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS...CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. MOVE INDOORS OR INSIDE
A VEHICLE IMMEDIATELY LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURES NUMBER ONE
KILLERS. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO
BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.

LAT...LON 3752 9257 3748 9271 3707 9235 3707 9228
          3736 9226

$$

CRAMER

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Springfield, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 11, 6:20 PM CDT, 35 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 11, 6:20 PM CDT, 35 minutes before
MESOSCALE FORECAST DISCUSSION...ADDED AVIATION.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
620 PM CDT FRI JUL 11 2003

.DISCUSSION...
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ALONG STRONG MOISTURE AXIS
FROM NEAR HARRISONVILLE MISSOURI TO OSCEOLA...BUFFALO AND HARTVILLE.
STRONG VERTICAL SHEAR WAS EVIDENT WITH N/NW FLOW ABOVE 50H BACKING
TO W/SW BELOW 70H. SURFACE WIND FIELDS NEAR LAKE OF THE OZARKS WERE
FROM THE E/SE...WITH S/SW ACROSS SOUTHWEST MISSOURI. VISIBLE
SATELLITE INDICATED MORE DEVELOPMENT OVER EAST CENTRAL KANSAS WHICH
WILL LIKELY BE THE NEXT INITIATION OF CONVECTION OVER WEST
CENTRAL...AND EVENTUALLY SOUTHWEST MISSOURI THIS EVENING. 0-1KM SR
HELICITY ARE NEAR 150 M2/S2 WITH 250-300 M2/S2 AT 0-3 KM NEAR THE
MOISTURE AXIS. LATEST RUC STILL INDICATES THE SLOW PROGRESSION OF
THE THUNDERSTORM DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS SOUTHWARD TOWARD
SOUTHWEST MISSOURI.

&&

.AVIATION...CURRENT RADAR AND SATELLITE INFORMATION INDICATES THAT
THE MAIN CONVECTION WILL ENTER THE SPRINGFIELD/JOPLIN AREAS AROUND 9
PM. STILL LOOKS GOOD FOR DOWNBURST POTENTIAL OF 20 TO 40 KTS WITH
MVFR CEILINGS. LOCALIZED IFR CEILINGS/VISIBILITIES ARE POSSIBLE.
WILL CONTINUE SHOWERS DURING THE NIGHT...WITH VFR CEILINGS AFTER
SUNRISE TOMORROW.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
.MO...NONE.
.KS...NONE.

JLT/IZZI
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 11, 6:45 PM CDT, 10 minutes before
KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-121100-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
645 PM CDT FRI JUL 11 2003

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE TONIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE MISSOURI OZARKS AND EXTREME
SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

  WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED:

  NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT...ISOLATED STORMS MAY
  CONTAIN:
    HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF HALF DOLLARS.
    WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS 60 MPH.

  LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS IN EXCESS OF AN INCH.

  AREAS AFFECTED AND TIMING:

  SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ALONG AN STRONG
  MOISTURE AXIS LINE FROM WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI...SOUTH OF KANSAS
  CITY...TO SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI DURING THE EVENING. ALTHOUGH THE
  SEVERE THREAT WILL DIMINISH OVERNIGHT...THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY
  CONTINUE...AND BECOME MORE OF HEAVY RAINFALL PRODUCER. MOST OF THE
  OZARKS AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS WILL BE IN THE THREAT AREA OVERNIGHT.

  DISCUSSION:

  A STRONG UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE
  MISSISSIPPI VALLEY TONIGHT. AS THE DISTURBANCE APPROACHES THE AREA
  SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP. THUNDERSTORMS WILL BECOME
  MORE NUMEROUS TONIGHT AS THE UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE GETS CLOSER
  TO THE AREA AND A LOW LEVEL JET DEVELOPS. STRONG WINDS ALOFT WILL
  COMBINED WITH MODERATELY STRONG INSTABILITY AND LEAD TO FAVORABLE
  CONDITIONS FOR SOME OF THE THUNDERSTORMS TO BECOME SEVERE TONIGHT.

  IN ADDITION TO THE SEVERE THREAT...SOME OF THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL
  CONTAIN HEAVY RAINFALL. AT THIS TIME CONDITIONS DO NOT APPEAR
  FAVORABLE FOR WIDESPREAD OR SIGNIFICANT FLOODING...BUT SOME
  LOCATIONS COULD SEE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES TONIGHT.
  RAINFALL OF THIS MAGNITUDE COULD LEAD TO PONDING OF WATER OR
  MINOR FLOODING IN THE TYPICAL LOW LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

  THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS EXPECTED TO STALL OUT OVER SOUTHERN
  MISSOURI TOMORROW. ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED
  ALONG THE BOUNDARY DURING THE DAY TOMORROW. IT IS UNCLEAR HOW
  TONIGHTS THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT CLOUD COVER AND SUBSEQUENT
  INSTABILITY...HOWEVER IF THE ATMOSPHERE DOES DESTABILIZE...WIND
  FIELDS WILL REMAIN SUPPORTIVE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH LARGE
  HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS AGAIN ON SATURDAY.

  THUNDERSTORMS ARE AGAIN POSSIBLE TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY AS
  YET ANOTHER DISTURBANCE MOVES INTO THE REGION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS LIKELY ANYTIME THIS EVENING...BUT IS
  MORE LIKELY AFTER 9 PM OVER SOUTHWEST MISSOURI AND SOUTHEAST
  KANSAS.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH OTHER
WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/SGF

JLT/IZZI

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jul 11, 3:06 PM CDT, 3 hours 49 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
306 PM CDT FRI JUL 11 2003

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0255 PM    3 SE GRAVOIS MILLS        MO   60 MPH TSTM GUST
07/11/03   MORGAN                         REPORTED BY AGTAP
                                          BUSINESS.
Special weather statement, Jul 11, 4:00 PM CDT, 2 hours 55 minutes before
KSZ073-097-101-MOZ066>068-077>079-088>090-093>095-101>104-120300-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT - SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
400 PM CDT FRI JUL 11 2003

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
NUMBER 61...IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM CDT FRIDAY EVENING. THIS SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM WATCH INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN MISSOURI:

BARRY...BARTON...CEDAR...CHRISTIAN...DADE...GREENE...HICKORY...
JASPER...LAWRENCE...MCDONALD...NEWTON...POLK...ST. CLAIR...STONE...
TANEY AND VERNON.

IN KANSAS:

BOURBON...CHEROKEE AND CRAWFORD.

SOME CITIES IN THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH INCLUDE BOLIVAR...
BRANSON...FORT SCOTT...JOPLIN...MONETT...MOUNT VERNON...NEOSHO...
NEVADA...OZARK...PITTSBURG...SPRINGFIELD AND STOCKTON.

A VERY MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS HAS SURGED NORTH OVER EXTREME
SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND MUCH OF SOUTHWEST MISSOURI THIS AFTERNOON.  A
WARM FRONT EXTENDING FROM NORTHEAST KANSAS INTO SOUTHWEST
MISSOURI...WILL ACT AS A FOCUSING MECHANISM FOR SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT.  THIS FEATURE IN CONJUNCTION WITH
CONTINUED AFTERNOON HEATING...WILL ALLOW STORMS TO QUICKLY BECOME
SEVERE...WITH HAIL UP TO TWO AND HALF INCHES IN DIAMETER AND
THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
THE DEVELOPMENT OF SEVERE WEATHER...INCLUDING LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING
WINDS...AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN...IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA.
WHILE SEVERE WEATHER MAY NOT BE IMMINENT...PERSONS SHOULD REMAIN
ALERT FOR RAPIDLY CHANGING WEATHER CONDITIONS...AND LISTEN FOR LATER
STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

CRAMER
Special weather statement, Jul 11, 5:27 PM CDT, 1 hour 28 minutes before
MOZ055>058-069>071-080>083-091-092-096>098-105-106-120300-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT - SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
527 PM CDT FRI JUL 11 2003

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
NUMBER 725...IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM CDT FRIDAY EVENING. THIS SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM WATCH INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN MISSOURI:

BENTON...CAMDEN...DALLAS...DENT...DOUGLAS...HOWELL...LACLEDE...
MARIES...MILLER...MORGAN...OREGON...OZARK...PHELPS...PULASKI...
SHANNON...TEXAS...WEBSTER AND WRIGHT.

SOME CITIES IN THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH INCLUDE AVA...
CAMDENTON...FORT LEONARD WOOD...HOUSTON...LEBANON...OSAGE BEACH...
ROLLA AND WEST PLAINS.

A VERY MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS HAS SURGED NORTH OVER EXTREME
SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND MUCH OF SOUTHWEST MISSOURI THIS AFTERNOON.  A
WARM FRONT EXTENDING FROM NORTHEAST KANSAS INTO SOUTHWEST
MISSOURI...WILL ACT AS A FOCUSING MECHANISM FOR SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT.  THIS FEATURE IN CONJUNCTION WITH
CONTINUED AFTERNOON HEATING...WILL ALLOW STORMS TO QUICKLY BECOME
SEVERE...WITH HAIL UP TO TWO AND HALF INCHES IN DIAMETER AND
THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
THE DEVELOPMENT OF SEVERE WEATHER...INCLUDING LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING
WINDS...AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN...IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA.
WHILE SEVERE WEATHER MAY NOT BE IMMINENT...PERSONS SHOULD REMAIN
ALERT FOR RAPIDLY CHANGING WEATHER CONDITIONS...AND LISTEN FOR LATER
STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

CRAMER

The office that day

Everything else NWS Springfield, MO issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 11, 2:31 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFBenton, Morgan59 min
Jul 11, 5:20 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFCamden40 min
Jul 11, 5:52 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFBenton53 min
Jul 11, 5:57 PM CDTTornado WarningSGFBenton48 min
Jul 11, 6:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFCamden, Laclede53 min
Jul 11, 6:08 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFDallas52 min
Jul 11, 6:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFHickory45 min
Jul 11, 6:18 PM CDTTornado WarningSGFDallas42 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Missouri, 2003Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2003

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.