Alert archive / North Carolina / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2003

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 221, NWS Blacksburg, VA

August 5, 2003Stokes County, North Carolina

NWS Blacksburg, VA issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Aug 5, 2003, 4:04 PM EDT for Stokes County, North Carolina. It was in force for 41 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Aug 5, 2003, 4:04 PM EDT (20:04 UTC)
Expired: Aug 5, 2003, 4:45 PM EDT
In force: 41 min
Issued by: NWS Blacksburg, VA
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Stokes County, NC

The radar

The Roanoke radar (KFCX), 69 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:04 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Aug 5, 1:20 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	6 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC (KGSO), launched 12:00Z, 8.1 hours before the alert went out and 51 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 249 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -125 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 963 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 17 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 26 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 59 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

050 
WUUS51 KRNK 052004
SVRRNK
NCC169-052045-

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
359 PM EDT TUE AUG 5 2003

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  STOKES COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA

* UNTIL 445 PM EDT.

* AT 359 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM 5 MILES NORTHWEST OF KING...MOVING EAST AT 15
  MPH.

* SOME LOCATIONS THREATENED THROUGH 445 PM EDT INCLUDE
  FRANCISCO...
  KING...
  DANBURY...
  WALNUT COVE...

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING UP TO PENNY SIZE 
HAIL AND WINDS UP TO 60 MILES AN HOUR.

IF SEVERE WEATHER APPROACHES YOUR AREA...GO INSIDE A STURDY SHELTER.

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAN PRODUCE LARGE DAMAGING HAIL...
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 55 MPH...DEADLY LIGHTNING...AND VERY
HEAVY RAIN.

RELAY SEVERE WEATHER REPORTS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY
CALLING TOLL FREE...1...8 6 6...2 1 5...4 3 2 4.

LAT...LON 3640 8046 3656 8043 3655 8002 3625 8002
          3624 8046

$$

08

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Blacksburg, VA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Aug 5, 2:50 PM EDT, 1 hour 14 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 5, 2:50 PM EDT, 1 hour 14 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG, VA
250 PM EDT TUE AUG 5 2003

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 840 REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM EDT
TUESDAY EVENING FOR
NCC033-157-169-171-193-197-VAC009-011-019-023-029-031-035-037-063
-067 -083-089-141-143-161-163-

SHORT TERM...THE COMBINATION OF THE UPPER TROF...THE EXIT REGION OF
UL JET STREAK...MODERATE INSTABILITY...COLD AIR ALOFT (5H TEMPS OF
M11) RESULTING IN SCATTERED STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS THIS AFTERNOON.
IN GENERAL RAISED POPS TONIGHT. ADDED THE MENTION OF LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS TO WATCH AREA. FOR WED...ELECTED TO LOWER
POPS...DROPPED POP TO SLT CHC IN SE WEST VIRGINIA. ADJUSTED MAX
TEMPS ON THURSDAY ESPECIALLY EAST OF THE MOUNTAINS. TRIMMED POPS ON
FRIDAY FOR SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA.

FOR THE EXTENDED PERIODS...TROF WILL REMAIN OVER THE EAST. STRENGTH
AND PLACEMENT/MOVEMENT OF SEVERAL SURFACE WAVES ALONG THE STATIONARY
FRONT ARE HANDLED DIFFERENTLY DEPENDING ON MODEL CHOICE. DECIDED TO
LEAN GRIDS TOWARDS THE 06Z GFS SOLUTION WITH A DEEPER TROF COMPARED
TO ECMWF/CANADIAN/UKMET SOLUTIONS. ADDED ADDITIONAL CLOUD COVER FOR
WED NIGHT IN THE WEST. RAISED LOW TEMPS UP A FEW DEGREES ON WED
NIGHT/THU AM. ELECTED TO INCREASE CLOUD COVER ALSO ON FRIDAY NIGHT
IN THE EAST. FOR TUESDAY...MOVED THE BOUNDARY FURTHER TO THE EAST
AND DRY OUT THE NORTHWEST PORTIONS OF FA. ZONES WILL BE OUT BY 4 PM.

FCSTID =    7
ROA   64  85  64  84 /  50  30  30  30
LYH   63  84  63  83 /  50  30  30  30
DAN   66  86  67  86 /  50  30  30  40
BLF   60  77  59  78 /  30  20  20  30
LWB   57  77  58  77 /  30  20  20  30
BCB   61  80  61  80 /  40  30  30  30
TNB   60  81  60  81 /  40  40  30  30

.RNK...
NC...NONE.
VA...NONE.
WV...NONE.

Hazardous weather outlook, Aug 5, 6:32 AM EDT, 9 hours 32 minutes before

NCZ001>006-018>020-VAZ007-009>020-022>024-032>035-043>047-058-059-
WVZ042>045-061000-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
632 AM EDT TUE AUG 5 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA...
WESTERN AND CENTRAL VIRGINIA...AS WELL AS NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING IN THE FOOTHILLS AND PIEDMONT OF NORTHWEST NORTH
CAROLINA...AND SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA. THE THREAT OF SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS ALSO INCLUDES THE SOUTHERN SHENANDOAH VALLEY AND
ALLEGHANY HIGHLANDS OF VIRGINIA...AND THE GREENBRIER VALLEY OF
SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA.  THE PRIMARY THREAT IS LARGE HAIL...BUT
ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE. IN ADDITION...SCATTERED
AREAS WILL SEE BRIEF HEAVY RAINFALL OF 1 TO 2 INCHES. PLEASE SEE THE
LATEST SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK...SPSRNK...FOR DETAILS.

THIS PRODUCT CAN BE VIEWED ON THE BLACKSBURG OFFICE INTERNET PAGE AT
WWW.ERH.NOAA.GOV/ER/RNK.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED THIS AFTERNOON.

06

In the hours before

Local storm report, Aug 5, 10:22 AM EDT, 5 hours 42 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
1022 AM EDT TUE AUG 05 2003

TIME(EDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE  ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

1220 AM    PATRICK SPRINGS           VA   60 MPH TSTM GUST
08/05/03   PATRICK                        LARGE TREE BLOWN DOWN
                                          ACROSS POWERLINE.REPORTED
                                          BY PATRICK COUNTY 911.

1230 AM    MONROE                    VA   60 MPH TSTM GUST
08/05/03   AMHERST                        LARGE TREE BLOWN DOWN
                                          ACROSS ROAD.REPORTED BY
                                          AMHERST SHERIFFS OFFICE.

Special weather statement, Aug 5, 1:00 PM EDT, 3 hours 4 minutes before

NCZ003>006-019-020-VAZ018>020-022>024-032>035-043>047-058-059-WVZ044-
045-052000-
SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
100 PM EDT TUE AUG 5 2003

...SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING MAINLY ALONG AND EAST OF THE BLUE RIDGE.

THE VIRGINIA FOOTHILLS...INTO THE PIEDMONT OF NORTH CAROLINA IS
EXPECTED TO BECOME MODERATELY UNSTABLE THIS AFTERNOON.  SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP AS AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE SWEEPS
ACROSS THE REGION DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON. SOME OF THESE STORMS
WILL HAVE THE CAPABILITY TO BECOME SEVERE PRODUCING PENNY SIZE OR
LARGER HAIL AND ISOLATED WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH.

SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED LATE THIS AFTERNOON OR
THIS EVENING.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER
DETAILS OR UPDATES.

11

Local storm report, Aug 5, 1:13 PM EDT, 2 hours 51 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
0113 PM EDT TUE AUG 05 2003

TIME(EDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0105 AM    5 N ROANOKE               VA   F1 TORNADO
08/05/03   ROANOKE                        A BRIEF TORNADO DEVELOPED
                                          AROUND 105 AM ABOUT 5 MILES
                                          NORTH OF ROANOKE. THE
                                          TORNADO WAS ON THE GROUND
                                          FOR APPROXIMATELY 1/2 MILE
                                          AND WAS BETWEEN 15 AND 35
                                          YARDS WIDE. THE TORNADO
                                          ROLLED A VEHICLE 50 TO 75
                                          FEET, BLEW IN PLATE GLASS
                                          WINDOWS AND GLASS DOORS,
                                          AND LIFTED A GOOD PORTION
                                          OF THE ROOF OFF A BUSINESS,
                                          AND RIPPED SHINGLES OFF A
                                          FEW HOMES. INFORMATION
                                          PROVIDED BY ROANOKE COUNTY
                                          EMERGENCY MANAGER.

EMLAW

Local storm report, Aug 5, 2:45 PM EDT, 1 hour 19 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
245 PM EDT TUE AUG 05 2003

TIME(EDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE  ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0243 PM    CATAWBA                   VA   1.00 IN HAIL
08/05/03   ROANOKE                        REPORTED BY SPOTTER.

Local storm report, Aug 5, 4:04 PM EDT, 0 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
404 PM EDT TUE AUG 05 2003

TIME(EDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE  ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0346 PM    ROANOKE                   VA   1.00 IN HAIL
08/05/03   ROANOKE                        REPORTED BY SPOTTER ON
                                          PETERS CREEK RD NEAR
                                          AIRPORT.

0347 PM    1E VINTON                 VA   0.75 IN HAIL
08/05/03   ROANOKE                        REPORTED BY SPOTTER.

0350 PM    ROANOKE                   VA   0.75 IN HAIL
08/05/03   ROANOKE                        REPORTED BY SPOTTER NEAR
                                          AIRPORT.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Blacksburg, VA issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Aug 4, 9:54 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RNK	Rockingham	51 min
Aug 5, 1:58 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RNK	Surry	47 min
Aug 5, 5:00 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RNK	Caswell	30 min
Aug 5, 5:06 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RNK	Caswell	54 min
Aug 5, 5:53 PM EDT	Flash Flood Warning	RNK	Caswell	3 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in North Carolina, 2003 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2003

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.