Alert archive / North Carolina / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2003

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 55, NWS Raleigh, NC

May 3, 2003Scotland County, North Carolina

NWS Raleigh, NC issued this severe thunderstorm warning at May 3, 2003, 7:15 PM EDT for Scotland County, North Carolina. It was in force for 30 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: May 3, 2003, 7:15 PM EDT (23:15 UTC)
Expired: May 3, 2003, 7:45 PM EDT
In force: 30 min
Issued by: NWS Raleigh, NC
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Scotland County, NC

The radar

The Wilmington radar (KLTX), 117 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:16 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
May 3, 6:40 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	4 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC (KGSO), launched 12:00Z, 11.3 hours before the alert went out and 159 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 3 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -94 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1075 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 29 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: -29 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 141 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

239 
WUUS52 KRAH 032315
SVRRAH
NCC165-032345-

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
714 PM EDT SAT MAY 3 2003

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RALEIGH HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  SOUTHERN SCOTLAND COUNTY IN CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA

* UNTIL 745 PM EDT

* AT 714 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM OVER EAST LAURINBURG...OR ABOUT OVER
  LAURINBURG...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 25 MPH. GOLF BALL SIZED HAIL IS
  LIKELY WITH THIS STORM.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAN PRODUCE LARGE DAMAGING HAIL...DAMAGING
WINDS IN EXCESS OF 58 MPH...DEADLY LIGHTNING...AND VERY HEAVY RAIN.
GO INSIDE A STURDY SHELTER. MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM AND STAY AWAY
FROM WINDOWS.

NUMEROUS REPORTS OF GOLF BALL HAIL HAVE BEEN RECEIVED.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM EDT
SATURDAY EVENING FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM EDT SATURDAY EVENING FOR
CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

LAT...LON 3489 7944 3477 7957 3445 7920 3463 7902

$$

14

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Raleigh, NC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at May 3, 2:35 PM EDT, 4 hours 40 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 3, 2:35 PM EDT, 4 hours 40 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
235 PM EDT SAT MAY 3 2003

NORTHERN STREAM VORT MAX ROTATING BY TO OUR NORTH TONIGHT SHOULD
PRODUCE FAIR SHOWER COVERAGE WITH A LESSER EMPHASIS ON TSRA. MAY SEE
SOME SHOWERS LINGERING IN THE NORTHEAST AS LATE AS A COUPLE HOURS
AFTER SUNRISE. WILL CONTINUE LESSER POP ACROSS THE SOUTH...BUT WITH
A BETTER CHANCE OF THUNDER AS THE REMANTS OF THE VORT MAX OVER
GEORGIA MOVES EAST...BUT SKIRTING SOUTH OF THE AREA. THE WEDGE WILL
BE LOCKED FURTHER INTO PLACE DUE TO THE EVAPORATIVE COOLING AND LOW
LEVEL MOISTURE IN THE STABLE LAYER SHOULD PRODUCE AT LEAST MOSTLY
CLOUDY SKIES TOMORROW WITH HIGHS GENERALLY 65 TO 70.

ISENTROPIC LIFT KICKS IN TOMORROW NIGHT WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN
DEVELOPING AS EARLY AS SUNRISE IN THE WEST. SHOULD SEE RAIN SPREAD
OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE CWFA DURING THE DAY. BOTH GFS AND ETA
DEPICT A VORT MAX LIFTING NORTHEAST OUT OF THE GULF STATES MONDAY
NIGHT WHICH SHOULD CONTINUE THE SHOWERS AND INTRODUCE A BETTER
CHANCE OF TSRA AS THE WARM FRONT LIFTS NORTH.

TUESDAY ONWARD...
WITH A WARM FRONTAL BOUNDARY ACROSS THE REGION MONDAY AND A COLD
FRONT/STATIONARY FRONT ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA WEDENSDAY AND
THURSDAY WILL CONTINUE CHANCES OF CONVECTION TUESDAY THROUGH
THURSDAY. THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY SHOULD PUSH SOUTH OF THE FORECAST
AREA BY FRIDAY MORNING WITH DRIER WEATHER EXPECTED THEN.

.RAH...NONE.

MLM/JWC

Hazardous weather outlook, May 3, 5:25 AM EDT, 13 hours 50 minutes before

NCZ007>011-021>028-038>043-073>078-083>086-088-089-031120-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
525 AM EDT SAT MAY 3 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY OVER THE
SOUTHERN HALF OF CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

A COLD FRONT WILL DROP SOUTH ACROSS THE AREA THIS MORNING AND LINGER
JUST SOUTH OF THE BORDER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. AN UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCE WILL APPROACH THE AREA FROM THE NORTHWEST BY THIS EVENING
AND MOVE ACROSS TONIGHT. THE COMBINATION OF THESE FEATURES WILL AID
IN THE THREAT OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
HAIL AND OR DAMAGING WINDS. THE AREAS WITH THE GREATEST POTENTIAL
FOR SEVERE STORMS WILL BE ALONG AND SOUTH OF U. S. HIGHWAY 64 FROM
ASHEBORO TO SILER CITY...APEX... CLAYTON AND WILSON.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. HOWEVER THERE IS A
CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED LATER THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT.

RA

In the hours before

Special weather statement, May 3, 6:47 PM EDT, 28 minutes before

NCZ021>023-038-039-073-074-083-032240-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
647 PM EDT SAT MAY 3 2003

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 221 IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT...

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 225 IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT FOR THE
SOUTHERN PIEDMONT AND  WESTERN SANDHILLS UNTIL 11 PM EDT...

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH #221 THAT WAS IN EFFECT
FOR...ANSON...STANLY...MONTGOMERY...RANDOLPH...DAVIDSON...ALAMANCE...
GUILFORD AND FORSYTH COUNTIES... HAS BEEN CANCELED.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 225 IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING
COUNTIES IN CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA... STANLY... MONTGOMERY...
MOORE... HOKE... SCOTLAND... RICHMOND... AND ANSON.

WSS

Local storm report, May 3, 6:49 PM EDT, 26 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH, NC
649 PM EDT SAT MAY 3 2003

TIME(EDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0620 PM    DENTON                    NC   1.00 INCH HAIL
05/03/03   DAVIDSON                       DOWNTOWN DENTON AT HIGHWAY
                                          109

0632 PM    5 S DENTON                NC   1.25 INCH HAIL
05/03/03   DAVIDSON                       HIGHWAY 109 AND HIGHWAY 49

0645 PM    LAUREL HILL               NC   1.75 INCH HAIL
05/03/03   SCOTLAND                       NUMEROUS REPORTS

RLH

Local storm report, May 3, 6:57 PM EDT, 18 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH, NC
657 PM EDT SAT MAY 3 2003

TIME(EDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0650 PM    5 W ALBEMARLE             NC   .88 INCH HAIL
05/03/03   STANLY                         MARROW MTN STATE PARK

Local storm report, May 3, 7:03 PM EDT, 12 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH, NC
703 PM EDT SAT MAY 3 2003

TIME(EDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0650 PM    5 W ALBEMARLE             NC   .88 INCH HAIL
05/03/03   STANLY                         MARROW MTN STATE PARK

0700 PM    1 E LAUREL HILL           NC   1.75 INCH HAIL
05/03/03   SCOTLAND                       EAST SIDE OF LAUREL HILL
                                          SEVERAL REPORTS OF ROARING
                                          WINDS

Local storm report, May 3, 7:07 PM EDT, 8 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH, NC
707 PM EDT SAT MAY 3 2003

TIME(EDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0705 PM    LAUREL HILL               NC   1.75 INCH HAIL
05/03/03   SCOTLAND                       NUMEROUS REPORTS CONTINUE

Local storm report, May 3, 7:12 PM EDT, 3 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH, NC
712 PM EDT SAT MAY 3 2003

TIME(EDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0710 PM    LAURINBURG                NC   1.00 INCH HAIL
05/03/03   SCOTLAND                       COVERING THE GROUND

The office that day

Everything else NWS Raleigh, NC issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
May 2, 8:21 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RAH	Person	24 min
May 3, 4:51 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RAH	Forsyth	24 min
May 3, 5:05 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RAH	Davidson	40 min
May 3, 5:21 PM EDT	Tornado Warning	RAH	Davidson	24 min
May 3, 5:44 PM EDT	Tornado Warning	RAH	Davidson	16 min
May 3, 5:46 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RAH	Randolph	44 min
May 3, 5:58 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RAH	Richmond	47 min
May 3, 6:01 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RAH	Davidson	14 min
May 3, 6:15 PM EDT	Tornado Warning	RAH	Davidson	30 min
May 3, 6:20 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RAH	Stanly	25 min
May 3, 6:22 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RAH	Scotland	23 min
May 3, 6:26 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RAH	Montgomery	49 min
May 3, 6:40 PM EDT	Tornado Warning	RAH	Scotland	35 min
May 3, 6:52 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RAH	Stanly	23 min
May 3, 7:00 PM EDT	Tornado Warning	RAH	Montgomery	45 min
May 3, 7:34 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RAH	Stanly	41 min
May 3, 7:39 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RAH	Richmond	51 min
May 3, 7:56 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RAH	Anson	49 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in North Carolina, 2003 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2003

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.