Alert archive / North Carolina / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2003

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 23, NWS Raleigh, NC

April 26, 2003Cumberland County, North Carolina

NWS Raleigh, NC issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Apr 26, 2003, 7:30 PM EDT for Cumberland County, North Carolina. It was in force for 30 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Apr 26, 2003, 7:30 PM EDT (23:30 UTC)
Expired: Apr 26, 2003, 8:00 PM EDT
In force: 30 min
Issued by: NWS Raleigh, NC
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Cumberland County, NC

The radar

The Raleigh/Durham radar (KRAX), 71 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:33 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC (KGSO), launched 12:00Z, 11.5 hours before the alert went out and 154 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 14 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -84 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1095 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 33 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: -5 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 112 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: -0.0
Supercell composite: -0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

334 
WUUS52 KRAH 262330
SVRRAH
NCC051-270000-

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
728 PM EDT SAT APR 26 2003

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RALEIGH HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  SOUTHEASTERN CUMBERLAND COUNTY IN CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA

* UNTIL 800 PM EDT

* AT 728 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM      
  OVER EASTOVER...OR ABOUT 6 MILES EAST OF FAYETTEVILLE...MOVING     
  SOUTHEAST AT 20 MPH. QUARTER SIZED HAIL HAS BEEN REPORTED FROM 
  THIS STORM IN NORTHERN FAYETTEVILLE.

* SOME LOCATIONS AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...
  STEDMAN
  CEDAR CREEK
  AUTRYVILLE

THE MAIN THREAT WITH THIS STORM IS LARGE HAIL. HAIL OF THIS 
SIZE MAY CAUSE SOME VEHICLE OR ROOF DAMAGE. STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS 
CAN ALSO BE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM. FOR YOUR PROTECTION...GO 
INDOORS UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED.

LAT...LON 3517 7877 3504 7891 3483 7864 3508 7864

$$

13

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Raleigh, NC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Apr 26, 2:25 PM EDT, 5 hours 5 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 26, 2:25 PM EDT, 5 hours 5 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
225 PM EDT SAT APR 26 2003

WIDESPREAD AFTERNOON CONVECTION WILL END AS STRONG UPPER LOW AND
ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT MOVES EAST ACROSS THE AREA.  CONVECTION WILL
END LATE THIS AFTERNOON OVER THE PIEDMONT AND BY EARLY EVENING OVER
THE COASTAL PLAIN. COLD POCKET ALOFT ASSOCIATED WITH UPPER LOW WILL
PROVIDE OPPORTUNITY FOR THUNDERSTORMS TO PRODUCT HAIL BEFORE ENDING.

QUITE A BIT OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE BEHIND FRONT SO WILL BE SLOW TO
CLEAR. WILL GO MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SOME FOG FOR TONIGHT.  RIDGING
BUILDS IN SUNDAY THROUGH MIDWEEK WITH FAIR WEATHER AND SEASONAL
TEMPERATURES EXPECTED.

RIDGING WEAKENS MID TO LATE WEEK ALLOWING A WEAK FRONT TO APPROACH
THE AREA.  WILL CONTINUE LOW POP FORECAST FOR WEDNESDAY AND EARLY
THURSDAY HOWEVER TIMING OF THIS FRONT AND ITS IMPACT IS A BIT
UNCERTAIN AT THIS TIME.

RAH...NONE.

SWH

Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 26, 4:37 AM EDT, 14 hours 53 minutes before

NCZ007>011-021>028-038>043-073>078-083>086-088-089-261100-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
437 AM EDT SAT APR 26 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. THE MAIN THREAT
FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE HAIL UP TO ONE INCH IN DIAMETER.
DUE TO THE LACK OF STRONG WINDS ALOFT THERE WILL NOT BE A
SIGNIFICANT THREAT OF DAMAGING WINDS HOWEVER ISOLATED WIND GUSTS OF
40 TO 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE. LOCATIONS ALONG AND EAST OF A LINE FROM
ROXBORO TO THE TRIANGLE AND ROCKINGHAM WILL HAVE THE BEST CHANCE AT
EXPERIENCING SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS.

THUNDERSTORMS ACTIVITY WILL END FROM WEST TO EAST THIS AFTERNOON.
THE THUNDERSTORM THREAT SHOULD TAPER OFF OVER THE TRIAD AROUND NOON
BUT LINGER WELL INTO THE AFTERNOON HOURS ACROSS THE COASTAL PLAIN.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NETWORK ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED IN CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA AND THE
SANDHILLS.

JO

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Apr 26, 5:10 PM EDT, 2 hours 20 minutes before

NCZ011-027-028-042-043-077-078-085-086-088-089-262200-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
510 PM EDT SAT APR 26 2003

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 500 PM EDT...

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA INCLUDING...THE SANDHILLS AND COASTAL
PLAINS. WHILE THERE REMAINS A CHANCE FOR ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS LATER THIS EVENING HOURS...THE THREAT OF WIDESPREAD
SEVERE STORMS HAS DIMINISHED. A FEW THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING MAY
STILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE DIME TO NICKEL SIZE HAIL.
FREQUENT LIGHTNING WILL ALSO POSE A THREAT.

BL

Local storm report, Apr 26, 5:35 PM EDT, 1 hour 55 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH, NC
535 PM EDT SAT APR 26 2003

TIME(EDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0458 PM    JAMESTOWN                 NC   .88 INCH HAIL
04/26/03   GUILFORD

0505 PM    ALAMANCE CHURCH ROAD GREENSBORONC   1.00 INCH HAIL
04/26/03   GUILFORD

Local storm report, Apr 26, 6:02 PM EDT, 1 hour 28 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH, NC
602 PM EDT SAT APR 26 2003

TIME(EDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0552 PM    S SANFORD                 NC   .75 INCH HAIL
04/26/03   LEE

BL

Local storm report, Apr 26, 6:24 PM EDT, 1 hour 6 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH, NC
624 PM EDT SAT APR 26 2003

TIME(EDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0600 PM    CAMERON                   NC   .88 INCH HAIL
04/26/03   MOORE

BL

Special weather statement, Apr 26, 6:29 PM EDT, 1 hour 1 minute before

NCZ024-025-041-262330-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
629 PM EDT SAT APR 26 2003

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS ORANGE...DURHAM AND WAKE
COUNTIES THROUGH 730 PM EDT...

AT 629 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS 9 MILES
NORTHWEST OF DURHAM...OR ABOUT OVER HILLSBOROUGH...MOVING EAST AT 20
MPH. THIS STORM IS PART OF A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS THAT WILL MOVE
THROUGH ALL OF DURHAM COUNTY PRIOR TO 700 PM. THE LINE WILL MOVE
OVER THE RALEIGH-DURHAM INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT PRIOR TO 700 PM. THE
LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL ENCOMPASS MUCH OF GRANVILLE... ALL OF
WAKE COUNTY. WESTERN WAKE COUNTY WILL BE AFFECTED FIRST AS THE LINE
MOVES TOWARD THE EAST AROUND 20 MPH.

SOME LOCATIONS AFFECTED BY THESE STORMS
INCLUDE...DURHAM...GORMAN...AND...BETHESDA...PURNELL...FALLS LAKE...
RALEIGH... CREEDMOOR... STEM... APEX... CARY... AND HOLLY SPRINGS.

PEA SIZE HAIL AND DANGEROUS CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING CAN BE EXPECTED
WITH THESE THUNDERSTORMS.

PLEASE DISCONTINUE OUTDOOR ACTIVITIES AND MOVE TO SAFETY AT THIS
TIME.

JWC

Local storm report, Apr 26, 7:04 PM EDT, 26 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH, NC
704 PM EDT SAT APR 26 2003

TIME(EDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0640 PM    DOWNTOWN DURHAM           NC   .75 INCH HAIL
04/26/03   DURHAM

BL

The office that day

Everything else NWS Raleigh, NC issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Apr 26, 5:46 AM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RAH	Davidson	29 min
Apr 26, 6:12 AM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RAH	Randolph	33 min
Apr 26, 4:50 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RAH	Guilford	25 min
Apr 26, 5:36 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RAH	Person	24 min
Apr 26, 5:42 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RAH	Lee, Moore	33 min
Apr 26, 6:10 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RAH	Harnett	35 min
Apr 26, 6:29 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RAH	Durham	31 min
Apr 26, 7:01 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RAH	Cumberland	29 min
Apr 26, 7:31 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RAH	Wake	29 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in North Carolina, 2003 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2003

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.