Severe Thunderstorm Warning 129, NWS Raleigh, NC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
215 PM EDT THU JUL 10 2003

WILL BE INCREASING POPS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TIER TO LIKELY PER
EXTRAPOLATION OF THE IMPENDING BOW AND ISSUING ZONES AROUND 300 PM.
THERE IS NO REASON FOR THE BOW TO WEAKEN.

APPROACHING VORT AXIS IS STRETCHED AND WEAKENED AS IT STRUGGLES INTO
THE WEST LATER TONIGHT. THUS THE CURENT HIGH CHANCE POPS IN PLACE
THROUGH THE EVENING LOOK GOOD...TAPERING TO SLIGHT CHANCES LATER
TONIGHT. SOME DRYING TOMORROW IN THE UPPER LEVELS...BUT WILL NEED TO
CONTINUE A CHANCE POP INTO THE EVENING ONCE AGAIN AS MAXES
APPROACHING 90 AND LOW LEVEL MOISTURE PRODUCE CAPES UPWARDS OF 2000
JOULES.

LOW LEVELS DRY TOMORROW NIGHT AFTER FROPA AND WESTERLY FLOW DEEPENS
AS THE LONG WAVE TROF SETTLES INTO THE EAST COAST THIS WEEKEND.
SATURDAY LOOKS TO BE DRY AND SEASONABLE. THE EXTENDED HAS NO REAL
HANDLE AS TO THE TIMING OF SHORT WAVE ENERGY DIGGING INTO THE TROF.
MOISTURE WILL BE INCREASING...HOWEVER...AND CLIMATOLOGICAL
SUMMERTIME DIURNAL CONVECTION CONTINUES TO BE THE BEST COURSE OF
ACTION WITH PERSISTENCE HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S.

.RAH...NONE.

MLM/RLH

NCZ007>011-021>028-038>043-073>078-083>086-088-089-111000-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
533 AM EDT THU JUL 10 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING
RAISING THE POTENTIAL FOR FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...

OUTSIDE OF LATE DAY THUNDERSTORMS...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED
DURING THIS PERIOD.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF THE SPOTTER NETWORK SHOULD NOT BE NEEDED TODAY OR
TONIGHT.

NCZ001>003-007>011-018>028-033>043-048>078-082>086-088-089-110000-

SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
102 PM EDT THU JUL 10 2003

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING OVER CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA. THE MAIN
THREAT WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH...BUT HAIL UP TO
ONE INCH IN DIAMETER IS ALSO POSSIBLE.

SKYWARN SPOTTERS...
NETWORK ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER
DETAILS OR UPDATES.

NCZ074-075-102115-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
442 PM EDT THU JUL 10 2003

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS MOORE AND MONTGOMERY
COUNTIES THROUGH 515 PM EDT...

AT 442 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A
LINE EXTENDING FROM TROY TO SOUTHERN PINES...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20
MPH.

SOME LOCATIONS AFFECTED BY THESE STORMS INCLUDE...CARTHAGE.

GUSTY WINDS UP OF 40 TO 50 MPH...VERY HEAVY RAIN AND DANGEROUS
CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING CAN BE EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS.

VERY HEAVY RAIN WITH RAINFALL AMOUNTS EXCEEDING ONE INCH DURING THE
NEXT HOUR CAN BE EXPECTED IN THESE AREAS. MOTORISTS SHOULD DRIVE WITH
CAUTION TO AVOID HYDROPLANING. MINOR FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS CAN
BE EXPECTED.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH, NC
549 PM EDT THU JUL 10 2003

TIME(EDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0541 PM    FUQUAY-VARINA             NC   WIND DAMAGE
07/10/03   WAKE                           SEVERAL LARGE TREES DOWN
                                          ON WEST LAKE ROAD

WSS