Flash Flood Warning 11, NWS Raleigh, NC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
820 PM EDT SAT JUN 7 2003

...HEAVY RAIN THREAT SHIFTING TO THE EASTERN PIEDMONT...
AND COASTAL PLAIN...

A QUICK STATEMENT AND UPDATE HAVE BEEN SENT TO CANCEL FLOOD WATCH
FOR THE WESTERN PIEDMONT.

THETA-E RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO SHIFT EASTWARD DURING THE EVENING
HOURS. VERY HEAVY SHOWERS NOW DEVELOPING FROM MOORE COUNTY AROUND
ROBBINS NE THROUGH SANFORD IN LEE COUNTY... RALEIGH IN WAKE
COUNTY... THROUGH NASHVILLE AND ROCKY MOUNT IN NASH COUNTY.

FFMP SHOWING RAINFALL RATES INCREASING TO OVER 2.25 INCHES/HOUR.
THE GOOD NEWS IS THAT THIS HEAVY RAIN IS DEVELOPING OVER AREAS
THAT HAVE SEEN THE LEAST STORM TOTALS FROM THIS AND THE PRIOR EVENT
OF EARLY LAST WEEK. HOWEVER... THE TRAINING OF THE CELLS FROM MOORE
COUNTY THROUGH NASH COUNTY WILL HAVE TO BE MONITORED CLOSELY.
STREET FLOODING IN THE URBAN AREAS WILL BE A GIVEN... ESPECIALLY
IN RALEIGH. WE WILL COVER THIS IN SPECIAL STATEMENTS.

THE CATEGORICAL POP WILL BE EXTENDED THROUGH THE NIGHT EAST WITH POP
DIMINISHING TO LOW CHANCE WHERE THE FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN CANCELLED
OVER THE WESTERN PIEDMONT.

WITH THE ACTUAL DRY LINE OR WIND SHIFT LINE STILL OVER KY/TN
... MORE ACTIVE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
ON SUNDAY.

.RAH...NONE.

BADGETT

NCZ007>011-021>028-038>043-073>078-083>086-088-089-081005-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
638 AM EDT SAT JUN 7 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY

...A FLOOD WATCH FOR WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA...

PARTS OF WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA RECEIVED ONE TO ONE AND A HALF
INCHES OF RAIN OVERNIGHT. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR AN ADDITIONAL
ONE TO TWO INCHES OF RAIN IN THIS AREA BEFORE SUNSET TODAY. LITTLE
TO NO THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS FORECAST...HOWEVER MODERATE TO
BRIEFLY HEAVY RAINS ARE LIKELY AT LEAST THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS.
THE THREAT FOR HEAVY RAINS WILL LESSEN AND SHIFT EASTWARD DURING THE
DAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER FORECAST AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED. HOWEVER REPORTS OF FLOODING OR
ACCURATE RAINFALL REPORTS SHOULD BE RELAYED TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

NCZ011-027-028-042-043-072300-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
603 PM EDT SAT JUN 7 2003

...FAST MOVING SHOWERS ARE PRODUCING STRONG WINDS OVER THE NORTHERN
COASTAL PLAIN...

FAST MOVING SHOWERS ALONG WITH A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE MOVING
NORTHEAST AROUND 40 MPH JUST EAST OF THE INTERSTATE 95 CORRIDOR
THROUGH AROUND 700 PM. THIS INCLUDES AREAS NORTH OF SMITHFIELD
INCLUDING WILSON... TARBORO...ROCKY MOUNT...AND SCOTLAND NECK.
THE RAIN WILL BE MOVING OUT OF THE SMITHFIELD AREA BY 620 PM...AND
OUT OF WILSON SHORTLY AFTER 630 PM.

WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH MAY ACCOMPANY SOME OF THESE SHOWERS AND
STORMS...POSSIBLY PRODUCING SOME WIND DAMAGE. TREES...POWER LINES
AND UNSECURED OUTDOOR ITEMS FACE THE GREATEST RISK.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER
DETAILS OR UPDATES.

NCZ010-011-026>028-040-041-074>076-083-084-080230-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
903 PM EDT SAT JUN 7 2003

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR NASH COUNTY UNTIL
1100 PM...

LINES OF SHOWERS PRODUCING VERY HEAVY DOWNPOURS WILL CONTINUE TO
STREAM NORTHEAST ACROSS CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA THROUGH 1100 PM THIS
EVENING. THESE SHOWERS STRETCH FROM THE VIRGINIA BORDER SOUTHWEST
ACROSS ROCKY MOUNT...RALEIGH...SANFORD...AND CARTHAGE.

SEVERAL SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE OVER A GIVEN LOCATION...WHICH MAY
PRODUCE AN INCH OF RAIN WITHIN A HALF HOURS TIME. DRIVERS SHOULD BE
ESPECIALLY CAREFUL AS THERE MAY BE MINOR FLOODING ON ROADS AND IN
LOW LYING AREAS. STANDING WATER WILL BE DIFFICULT TO SEE IN THE DARK.

MLM