Alert archive / California / Flash Flood Warnings in 2003
Flash Flood Warning 14, NWS Phoenix, AZ
NWS Phoenix, AZ issued this flash flood warning at Aug 27, 2003, 12:33 PM PDT for Riverside County, San Bernardino County, California. It was in force for 87 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Aug 27, 2003, 12:33 PM PDT (19:33 UTC)
- Expired
- Aug 27, 2003, 2:00 PM PDT
- In force
- 87 min
- Issued by
- NWS Phoenix, AZ
- Area
- Counties, with a storm outline in the text
Did it verify
Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this flash flood warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.
Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.
The nearest sounding before it
San Diego, CA (KNKX), launched 12:00Z, 7.6 hours before the alert went out and 164 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 2042 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 8 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 2 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- -16 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 WGUS55 KPSR 271937 FFWPSR CAC065-071-272100- BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED FLASH FLOOD WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX AZ 1233 PM PDT WED AUG 27 2003 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PHOENIX HAS ISSUED A * FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR... JOSHUA TREE NATIONAL PARK IN CENTRAL RIVERSIDE COUNTY OF SOUTHEAST CALIFORNIA * UNTIL 200 PM PDT * AT 1224 PM PDT...WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED VERY HEAVY RAIN 7 MILES NORTH OF LOST HORSE-KEYS VIEW JTNP...OR ABOUT 10 MILES SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST OF TWENTYNINE PALMS. THE AREA OF HEAVY RAIN WAS NEARLY STATIONARY. EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM THIS STORM WILL CAUSE FLASH FLOODING OF CREEKS AND STREAMS...ROADS AND ROADSIDE CULVERTS. THE HEAVY RAINS COULD ALSO TRIGGER ROCK AND MUDSLIDES IN STEEP TERRAIN. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS SAFELY. VEHICLES CAUGHT IN RISING WATER SHOULD BE ABANDONED QUICKLY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND. A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT. IT IS IMPORTANT TO KNOW WHERE YOU ARE RELATIVE TO STREAMS...RIVERS...OR CREEKS WHICH CAN BECOME KILLERS IN HEAVY RAINS. CAMPERS SHOULD AVOID CAMPING ALONG STREAMS OR CREEKS DURING THREATENING RAINS. A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. IF YOU ARE IN THE WARNING AREA MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY. RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG STREAMS AND CREEKS SHOULD TAKE IMMEDIATE PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS SWIFTLY FLOWING WATERS OR WATERS OF UNKNOWN DEPTH BY FOOT OR BY AUTOMOBILE. IF YOUR VEHICLE STALLS...ABANDON IT IMMEDIATELY AND SEEK HIGHER GROUND. TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER HAVE THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN PHOENIX. LAT...LON 3391 11649 3376 11562 3413 11558 3415 11649 $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Phoenix, AZ wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Aug 27, 11:01 AM PDT, 1 hour 32 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Aug 27, 11:01 AM PDT, 1 hour 32 minutes before
AZZ020>028-CAZ030>033-272245-
SOUTHWEST ARIZONA/SOUTHEAST CALIFORNIA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX AZ
1030 AM MST WED AUG 27 2003
.SYNOPSIS...
ABUNDANT MOISTURE FROM FORMER HURRICANE IGNACIO WILL CONTINUE OVER
THE AREA THROUGH TODAY AND THIS EVENING. THIS MEANS SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT...WITH SOME HEAVY RAIN POSSIBLE AND COOLER
WEATHER TODAY. HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT FROM THE PACIFIC IS EXPECTED TO
BRING WARMER WEATHER AND A REDUCTION IN THUNDERSTORMS BY FRIDAY.
.DISCUSSION...
A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTH-CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST
ARIZONA AND SOUTHEAST CALIFORNIA TODAY THROUGH 11 PM MST/PDT OR 0600
GMT TONIGHT. ABUNDANT MOISTURE FROM FORMER HURRICANE IGNACIO
CONTINUES OVER THE AREA. THE AIRMASS HAS AS MUCH MOISTURE AS IT EVER
HOLDS IN SOUTHEAST CALIFORNIA...SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH-CENTRAL ARIZONA.
THUS...EXPECT SOME AREAS WITH FLASH FLOODING AGAIN TODAY DUE TO
EXCESSIVE HEAVY RAIN ALONG WITH COOLER WEATHER...ESPECIALLY ARIZONA
PORTION. THUS...THE REASON FOR THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH. HIGH PRESSURE
ALOFT FROM THE PACIFIC IS EXPECTED TO BRING WARMER WEATHER AND A
REDUCTION IN THUNDERSTORMS BY FRIDAY.
.PSR...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR ENTIRE AREA...SOUTH-CENTRAL AND
SOUTHWEST ARIZONA ZONES 20 THROUGH 28...AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA ZONES 30 THROUGH 32 TODAY THROUGH 11 PM MST/PDT
TONIGHT OR 28/0600 GMT.
ELLISHazardous weather outlook, Aug 27, 9:39 AM PDT, 2 hours 54 minutes before
AZZ020>028-CAZ030>033-280100- HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX AZ 939 AM MST WED AUG 27 2003 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH-CENTRAL ARIZONA...AND SOUTHEAST CALIFORNIA. .DAY ONE...TODAY ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR SOUTH-CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ARIZONA... AND SOUTHEAST CALIFORNIA TODAY THROUGH 11 PM TONIGHT... SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST TO PRODUCE SOME HEAVY RAIN WITH EXCESSIVE VERY HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH FLOODING IN SOME AREAS. THIS SITUATION WILL BE ENHANCED WHERE THE GROUND IS ALREADY SATURATED...AND ANY ADDITIONAL RAINFALL WILL LEAD TO RAPID RUNOFF. AVOID LOW SPOTS...HIGHWAY DIPS...WASHES AND CREEKS THAT COULD EASILY BECOME FLOODED. STAY AWAY FROM FLOODED ROADS AND OTHER FLOOD PRONE AREAS. IF YOU OBSERVE FLOODING...DO NOT WAIT FOR A WARNING TO BE ISSUED...MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .INSTRUCTIONS TO SKYWARN SPOTTERS... SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES. ELLIS
The office that day
Everything else NWS Phoenix, AZ issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 27, 2:00 PM PDT | Flash Flood Warning | PSR | Riverside, San Bernardino | 2 hr |
Nearby
Flash Flood Warnings in California, 2003Every flash flood warning in 2003
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.