Alert archive / Kentucky / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2003

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 35, NWS Paducah, KY

April 20, 2003Christian County, Kentucky

NWS Paducah, KY issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Apr 20, 2003, 5:58 PM CDT for Christian County, Kentucky. It was in force for 47 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Apr 20, 2003, 5:58 PM CDT (22:58 UTC)
Expired: Apr 20, 2003, 6:45 PM CDT
In force: 47 min
Issued by: NWS Paducah, KY
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Christian County, KY

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Apr 20, 1:45 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	5 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 12:00Z, 11.0 hours before the alert went out and 110 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL: 706 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 37 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 255 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 229 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

688 
WUUS53 KPAH 202258
SVRPAH
KYC047-202345-

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
558 PM CDT SUN APR 20 2003

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PADUCAH KENTUCKY HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  CHRISTIAN COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY

* UNTIL 645 PM CDT

* AT 558 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM 8 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HOPKINSVILLE...MOVING EAST
  AT 45 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE PEMBROKE

LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM. TAKE
COVER IN A SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER.

LAT...LON 3667 8764 3675 8768 3684 8767 3696 8729
          3672 8734

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Paducah, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Apr 20, 12:30 PM CDT, 5 hours 28 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 20, 12:30 PM CDT, 5 hours 28 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
1230 PM CDT SUN APR 20 2003

LATEST SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS LOW CENTERED OVER NORTHERN WI WITH AN
ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT SOUTHWEST THROUGH STL TO NEAR WEST PLAINS.
ISODROSOTHERMS SHOW TOUNGE OF MOISTURE AXIS CENTERED ALONG THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY WITH LOWER TO MID 60S OVER THE ENTIRE CWA.
LATEST RADAR MOSAIC SHOWS THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING AHEAD OF THE
FRONT. THE UPPER LEVEL LOW WAS NEARLY VERTICALLY STACKED WITH THE
SURFACE LOW.

THE 12Z SUN MODEL RUNS INDICATE AN UPPER LEVEL LOBE OR SHORTWAVE
WILL ROTATE AROUND THE UPPER LOW AND HELP EJECT THE SURFACE FEATURE
THROUGH THE FA THIS AFTERNOON. EVENTHOUGH MOS GUIDANCE IS GIVING
LESS THAN 20 POPS...STILL THINK TSRAS ARE LIKELY WITH +TSRA
POSSIBLE AS WELL. THUS WILL USE EVENING TYPE WORDING IN AFTN
ISSUANCE. WILL DETERMINE BEAKOUT CLOSER TO PRESS TIME. CAPES WILL BE
1000 TO 2000 J/KG THIS AFTERNOON WITH A 850 MB JET NOSING INTO THE
HEART OF THE FA EXPECT SOME DEVELPMNT THIS AFTERNOON AS PER SWODY1.
LINES ARE THE MOST PROBABLE FEATURE EXPECTED WITH A BOW ECHOES
POSSIBLE. NOT THE MOST FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR SUPERCELLS OR
TORNADOES BUT WOULD NOT RULE THEM OUT COMPLETELY. WW WILL LIKELY BE
ISSUED EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. HOWEVER THE STRONGEST STORMS WITH THE
BEST INSTABILITY DOES APPEAR TO BE NORTH AND EAST OF THE AREA...NEAR
TO THE LOW CENTER...AS PER COORD WITH SPC.  OTHERWISE EXPECT CHCS OF
PRECIP TO END TONIGHT WITH THE NEXT CHC RETURNING THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

FWC AND MAV IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH TEMPS AND WILL FOLLOW TREND.

.PAH...NONE.

KH

Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 20, 12:37 PM CDT, 5 hours 21 minutes before

ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087-100-
107>112-114-211000-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
1237 PM CDT SUN APR 20 2003

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 138 IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN
ILLINOIS AND SOUTHWEST INDIANA UNTIL 600 PM...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST MISSOURI...SOUTHERN
ILLINOIS...SOUTHWEST INDIANA AND WESTERN KENTUCKY.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER FOUR STATE AREA
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE GREATEST THREAT AREA IS EXPECTED TO
BE EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER...ACROSS SOUTHERN ILLINOIS AND
SOUTHWEST INDIANA. AS THE AFTERNOON WEARS ON...THE THREAT SHOULD
EXTEND SOUTH INTO WEST KENTUCKY. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND APPEAR
TO BE THE MAIN THREATS. THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A TORNADO AS
WELL. THE THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER SHOULD DIMINISH THIS
EVENING...AS A COLD FRONT PUSHES ACROSS THE AREA...DEPARTING
SOUTHWEST INDIANA AND WESTERN KENTUCKY BY ABOUT MIDNIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

THERE IS A RISK OF THUNDERSTORMS ON THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUESTED ACROSS THE FOUR STATE AREA THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Apr 20, 4:23 PM CDT, 1 hour 35 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
423 PM CDT SUN APR 20 2003

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE  ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0419 PM    VELPEN                    IN   1.00 INCH HAIL
04/20/03   PIKE                           REPORTED BY EM DIRECTOR

Local storm report, Apr 20, 5:11 PM CDT, 47 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
511 PM CDT SUN APR 20 2003

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE  ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0505 PM    HENDERSON                 KY   0.75 INCH HAIL
04/20/03   HENDERSON                      REPORTED BY HENDERSON
                                          COUNTY DES DIRECTOR

0508 PM    MURRAY                    KY   1.75 INCH HAIL
04/20/03   CALLOWAY                       DIME SIZE HAIL COVERING
                                          THE GROUND ALSO. REPORTED
                                          BY TRAINED SPOTTERS AND
                                          CITY POLICE

Local storm report, Apr 20, 5:17 PM CDT, 41 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
517 PM CDT SUN APR 20 2003

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE  ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0508 PM    HENDERSON                 KY   1.00 INCH HAIL
04/20/03   HENDERSON                      REPORTED BY HENDERSON
                                          COUNTY DES DIRECTOR

Local storm report, Apr 20, 5:38 PM CDT, 20 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
538 PM CDT SUN APR 20 2003

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE  ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0535 PM    2W STANLEY                KY   1.00 INCH HAIL
04/20/03   DAVIESS                        REPORTED BY DAVIESS
                                          COUNTY EM DIRECTOR

Local storm report, Apr 20, 5:52 PM CDT, 6 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
552 PM CDT SUN APR 20 2003

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE  ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0545 PM    PATRONVILLE               IN   1.00 INCH HAIL
04/20/03   SPENCER                        REPORTED BY SPENCER
                                          COUNTY EMA

Local storm report, Apr 20, 5:54 PM CDT, 4 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
554 PM CDT SUN APR 20 2003

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE  ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0552 PM    YELVINGTON                KY   0.75 INCH HAIL
04/20/03   DAVIESS                        REPORTED BY DAVIESS
                                          COUNTY EM

The office that day

Everything else NWS Paducah, KY issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Apr 20, 2:54 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Caldwell	36 min
Apr 20, 2:59 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Trigg	46 min
Apr 20, 3:28 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Christian	32 min
Apr 20, 3:38 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	PAH	Christian	32 min
Apr 20, 3:58 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	PAH	Muhlenberg	47 min
Apr 20, 4:32 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Union	43 min
Apr 20, 4:52 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Henderson	38 min
Apr 20, 5:00 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	PAH	Henderson	30 min
Apr 20, 5:07 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Calloway	23 min
Apr 20, 5:27 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	PAH	Daviess	33 min
Apr 20, 5:40 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Trigg	35 min
Apr 20, 5:46 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Henderson, Union, Webster	44 min
Apr 20, 6:28 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Daviess	32 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Kentucky, 2003 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2003

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.