Alert archive / Kentucky / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2003

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 286, NWS Paducah, KY

August 4, 2003Hopkins County, Kentucky

NWS Paducah, KY issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Aug 4, 2003, 5:54 PM CDT for Hopkins County, Kentucky. It was in force for 36 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued: Aug 4, 2003, 5:54 PM CDT (22:54 UTC)
Expired: Aug 4, 2003, 6:30 PM CDT
In force: 36 min
Issued by: NWS Paducah, KY
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Hopkins County, KY

The nearest sounding before it

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 12:00Z, 10.9 hours before the alert went out and 156 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 373 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -203 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1016 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 27 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 83 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 108 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Paducah, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Aug 4, 2:00 PM CDT, 3 hours 54 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 4, 2:00 PM CDT, 3 hours 54 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
200 PM CDT MON AUG 4 2003

MAIN FORECAST CONCERNING IS FLOODING POSSIBILITIES ACROSS SOUTHEAST
MISSOURI.

THROUGH THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS THE FORECAST AREA LOOKS TO BE SANDWICHED
BETWEEN AN UPPER HIGH OVER THE SOUTHWEST U.S. AND AN UPPER LOW OVER
THE GREAT LAKES REGION KEEPING SOME ORIENTATION OF NORTHWEST FLOW
OVER THE AREA. VARIOUS SHORTWAVE TROUGHS ARE PROJECTED TO SPIRAL
AROUND THIS MAIN UPPER LOW ACROSS THE FORECAST REGION. ONE IS
CURRENTLY PUSHING EAST OF THE AREA TODAY...AND ANOTHER IS PROGGED TO
PUSH THROUGH TUESDAY...AND THEN ONE TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY.
ALSO A WEAK SURFACE BOUNDARY WAS SLOWING MAKING ITS WAY SOUTH OF THE
AREA.

WILL CONTINUE WITH A FORECAST WITH CHANCE POPS THROUGH WEDNESDAY
WITH THE FOCUS BEING ON THE LATE AFTERNOON INTO EARLY EVENING TIME
PERIOD WITH GREATEST CHANCES ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE AREA.
SOME AREAS OF THE FORECAST AREA HAVE RECEIVED A SIGNIFICANT AMOUNT
OF RAIN SINCE LAST WEEK...ESPECIALLY OVER PARTS OF SOUTHEAST
MISSOURI. TONIGHT SCATTERED CONVECTION ACROSS SOUTHEAST MISSOURI MAY
POSE A THREAT FOR LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN...THEN LATER TONIGHT INTO
TUESDAY THE GFS/ETA/NGM ALL ARE IN AGREEMENT THAT THE WESTERN HALF
OF MY SOUTHEAST MISSOURI COUNTIES HAVE THE POTENTIAL FOR THE
GREATEST AMOUNT OF RAIN ACROSS MY FORECAST AREA TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY
DUE TO MCS MOVEMENT THROUGH MO INTO AR. BELIEVE A FLOOD WATCH WOULD
BE PRUDENT IN THIS AREA.

FROM THURSDAY INTO THE BEGINNING OF THE WEEKEND...THE CONSENSUS OF
GUIDANCE IS FOR THE CENTER OF THE UPPER RIDGE TO STRENGTH AND LIFT
NORTH A BIT. THAT IN TURN SHOULD SHIFT THE POTENTIAL OF
PRECIPITATION EAST OF THE REGION AS THE TROUGH OF THE UPPER LOW
REMAINS EAST OF THE AREA...AND A RIDGE OF SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE
STAYS IN PLACE OVER THE REGION.

FROM SUNDAY INTO MONDAY...THE TREND VIA THE GFS IS FOR THE UPPER
HIGH TO RETROGRADE WEST...AND AN UPPER LOW AND ASSOCIATED WEAK
FRONTAL BOUNDARY TO SETTLE OVER THE OHIO VALLEY. DESPITE THIS
DEVELOPMENT...THE GFS IS EQUALLY DRY ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA DUE
APPARENTLY TO A RELATIVE LACK OF SIGNIFICANT MOISTURE.AND
SIGNIFICANT UPPER LEVEL FORCING.

.PAH...FLOOD WATCH THE REMAINDER OF THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH NOON
TUESDAY ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST MISSOURI COUNTIES OF
CARTER...RIPLEY...WAYNE...BUTLER...STODDARD AND NEW MADRID.

DFS

Hazardous weather outlook, Aug 4, 3:10 PM CDT, 2 hours 44 minutes before

ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087-100-
107>112-114-050830-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
310 PM CDT MON AUG 4 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST MISSOURI...SOUTHERN
ILLINOIS...SOUTHWEST INDIANA AND WESTERN KENTUCKY.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXISTS ACROSS A PORTION OF THE
REGION...PRIMARILY IN AREAS ALONG AND SOUTH OF A PERRYVILLE
MISSOURI...EDDYVILLE KENTUCKY TO OWENSBORO KENTUCKY LINE.

FLOODING MAY OCCUR ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST MISSOURI TONIGHT IN
AREAS ALONG AND SOUTHWEST OF A GREENVILLE TO NEW MADRID LINE.
ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN BE FOUND IN THE FLOOD WATCH PRODUCT SDFFFAPAH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXISTS ACROSS A PORTION OF THE
REGION...PRIMARILY IN AREAS ALONG AND SOUTH OF A PERRYVILLE
MISSOURI...GOREVILLE ILLINOIS...MADISONVILLE KENTUCKY LINE.

THE CONCERN FOR FLOODING CONTINUES UNTIL NOON ACROSS PORTIONS OF
SOUTHEAST MISSOURI. AGAIN...NOTE THE DETAILS IN THE FLOOD WATCH
PRODUCT SDFFFAPAH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS MAY BE NEEDED FOR TWO REASONS...TO MONITOR AND REPORT
SEVERE WEATHER...AND TO RELAY PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS.

DFS

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Aug 4, 2:46 PM CDT, 3 hours 8 minutes before

KYZ001>003-006-009-MOZ100-107>112-114-050200-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
246 PM CDT MON AUG 4 2003

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH UNTIL 900 PM...

THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER IN NORMAN OKLAHOMA HAS ISSUED A SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM WATCH THAT WILL BE IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM FOR THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN SOUTHEAST MISSOURI...
CARTER...RIPLEY...WAYNE...BUTLER...STODDARD...NEW MADRID...SCOTT...
AND MISSISSIPPI.

IN WESTERN KENTUCKY...
FULTON...CARLISLE...HICKMAN...GRAVES...AND TRIGG.

THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF POPLAR BLUFF...NEW MADRID...HICKMAN...
MAYFIELD...AND CADIZ.

Special weather statement, Aug 4, 3:19 PM CDT, 2 hours 35 minutes before

KYZ001>003-006-009-MOZ100-107>112-114-042200-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...CORRECTION - CHANGE TRIGG TO CALLOWAY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
319 PM CDT MON AUG 4 2003

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH UNTIL 900 PM...

THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER IN NORMAN OKLAHOMA HAS ISSUED A SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM WATCH THAT WILL BE IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM FOR THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN SOUTHEAST MISSOURI...
CARTER...RIPLEY...WAYNE...BUTLER...STODDARD...NEW MADRID...SCOTT...
AND MISSISSIPPI.

IN WESTERN KENTUCKY...
FULTON...CARLISLE...HICKMAN...GRAVES...AND CALLOWAY.

THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF POPLAR BLUFF...NEW MADRID...HICKMAN...
MAYFIELD...AND MURRAY.

Local storm report, Aug 4, 5:08 PM CDT, 46 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
508 PM CDT MON AUG 04 2003

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE  ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0500 PM    POPLAR BLUFF              MO   0.88 INCH HAIL
08/04/03   BUTLER                         REPORTED BY COUNTY
                                          EMERGENCY MANAGER

Local storm report, Aug 4, 5:23 PM CDT, 31 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
523 PM CDT MON AUG 04 2003

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE  ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0512 PM    1W POPLAR BLUFF           MO   WIND DAMAGE
08/04/03   BUTLER                         NUMEROUS TREES DOWN
                                          REPORTED BY COUNTY EM

0517 PM    8S POPLAR BLUFF           MO   1.00 INCH HAIL
08/04/03   BUTLER                         REPORTED BY COUNTY EM

Local storm report, Aug 4, 5:53 PM CDT, 1 minute before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
553 PM CDT MON AUG 04 2003

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE  ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0515 PM    ROBARDS                   KY   WIND DAMAGE
08/04/03   HENDERSON                      NUMEROUS TREES DOWN ROOF
                                          OFF BARN REPORTED BY
                                          MEDIA SOURCE.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Paducah, KY issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Aug 4, 4:28 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Union	32 min
Aug 3, 7:25 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Jefferson	35 min
Aug 4, 4:39 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Alexander	66 min
Aug 4, 3:42 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Carter	63 min
Aug 4, 4:59 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Butler	61 min
Aug 4, 5:51 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	New Madrid, Stoddard	54 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Kentucky, 2003 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2003

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.