Flash Flood Warning 18, NWS Paducah, KY

000 
WGUS73 KPAH 211929
FFSPAH
KYC059-212015-

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
208 PM CDT MON JUL 21 2003

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR DAVIESS COUNTY IN KENTUCKY HAS BEEN 
CANCELLED...

AT 210 PM...DAVIESS COUNTY OFFICIALS REPORTED THAT THE FLOODING HAS 
ENDED AND THE WATER HAS RECEDED. 

COUNTY OFFICIALS REPORTED THE WORST OF THE FLOODING WAS ON THE EAST 
AND SOUTHEAST SIDE OF THE COUNTY...MOSTLY ALONG HIGHWAY 60 EAST OF 
OWENSBORO.

DOPPLER RADAR INDICATES THAT ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WERE DEVELOPING 
ALONG THE WABASH RIVER IN SOUTHWEST INDIANA. THERE IS A CHANCE THAT 
SOME OF THESE STORMS MAY MOVE INTO DAVIESS COUNTY AROUND 330 PM.

RESIDENTS SHOULD KEEP ALERT TO THE POSSIBILITY OF ADDITIONAL HEAVY 
RAINS THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING.

$$
PS

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
1235 PM CDT MON JUL 21 2003

PRIMARY FORECAST CONCERN IS PRECIPITATION CHANCES THIS EVENING
THROUGH TUESDAY.

AN UPPER LOW WAS POSITIONED JUST SOUTH OF JAMES BAY THIS MORNING. A
SERIES OF SHORTWAVE TROUGHS WERE PINWHEELING AROUND THIS FEATURE.
THE FIRST OF THESE...AND AN ASSOCIATED SURFACE COLD FRONT...HELPED
TO TOUCH OFF A THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX PRIMARILY OVER MY NORTHEAST WITH
A TRAILING LINE OF SCATTERED CONVECTION OVER MUCH OF THE REST OF THE
AREA. SKIES CLEARED OUT A BIT BETTER THAN EXPECTED IN MOST AREAS
FROM THE LATE MORNING INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON. ANTICIPATE BY LATE
AFTERNOON THE RESULTANT MORE ABUNDANT SUNSHINE WILL HELP SPAWN
SCATTERED DIURNAL THUNDERSTORMS. THESE SHOULD CARRY INTO THE EVENING
HOURS AND BEGIN TO DISSIPATE AFTER SUNSET...ESPECIALLY IN AREAS
STILL IN ADVANCE OF THE SURFACE FRONT.

THE UPPER LOW IS PROJECTED TO DEEPEN AND BECOME MORE AMPLIFIED BY
TUESDAY PLACING A LONGWAVE TROUGH OVER THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY.
ELEVATED CONVECTION IS STILL ANTICIPATED TO DEVELOP ALONG THIS
TROUGH AS IT PROGRESSES INTO AND THROUGH THE REGION. USING THE
TIMING OF THE AXIS OF THIS TROUGH AS THE END TIME OF THE
PRECIP...WILL HAVE MENTION OF SCATTERED SHRA/TSRA ALL AREAS THROUGH
00Z WEDNESDAY...AND THEN THROUGH 06Z WEDNESDAY IN THE EAST.

DRY WEATHER STILL LOOKS TO BE THE PATTERN WE HEAD INTO TROUGH THE
EARLY PART OF THE UPCOMING WEEKEND. A GENERAL WARMING TREND SHOULD
BE ON TAP FROM TUESDAY INTO SATURDAY AS THE COOL NORTHWEST FLOW
PATTERN MOVES EAST AND THE CENTER OF SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE MOVES
EAST.

SUNDAY THE UPPER HIGH OVER THE WESTERN U.S. RETROGRADES FARTHER WEST
ALLOWING FOR A RETURN TO NORTHWEST FLOW OVER THE FORECAST AREA WITH
PRECIPITATION CHANCES RETURNING TO THE AREA.

FOR DAY 7...NORTHWEST FLOW CONTINUES ON MONDAY. LATEST GFS SUGGESTS
THAT SUNDAY/S WEATHER WILL BE EXITING THE REGION SUNDAY NIGHT
YIELDING A DRY MONDAY. GIVEN THE UNCERTAINTY OF THE TIMING OF
FEATURES IN NORTHWEST FLOW...ESPECIALLY ON DAY 7...WILL PLACE A LOW
CHANCE POPS FOR CONVECTION ON MONDAY AS WELL AS CONFIDENCE IS A DRY
FORECAST IS LOW.

.PAH...NONE.

DFS

ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087-100-
107>112-114-221000-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
1202 PM CDT MON JUL 21 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST MISSOURI...SOUTHERN
ILLINOIS...SOUTHWEST INDIANA AND WESTERN KENTUCKY.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON...AND SHOULD
INCREASE IN BOTH COVERAGE INTENSITY...ESPECIALLY OVER SOUTHEAST
ILLINOIS...SOUTHWEST INDIANA AND WESTERN KENTUCKY. ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS REMAIN A POSSIBILITY OVER SOUTHEAST MISSOURI AS WELL.
SOME OF THE STORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE...ESPECIALLY ACROSS WEST
KENTUCKY. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND APPEAR TO BE THE MAIN
HAZARDS. THE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DIMINISH EARLY THIS EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

AFTER A BRIEF REPRIEVE FROM THE SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY...
ANOTHER CHANCE WILL ROLL IN ON TUESDAY IN ASSOCIATION WITH AN
UPPER-LEVEL DISTURBANCE BEHIND THE FRONT. WHILE WIDESPREAD SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT ANTICIPATED...SOME OF THE STORMS COULD PRODUCE
MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL.

LATE IN THE FORECAST PERIOD...THERE IS ANOTHER CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS NEXT SUNDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED OVER SOUTHEAST ILLINOIS...SOUTHWEST
INDIANA AND WESTERN KENTUCKY THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY THIS EVENING.

ILZ077-078-083-087-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ014-018-019-211430-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
838 AM CDT MON JUL 21 2003

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS MOVING ACROSS SOUTHWEST INDIANA...

AT 835 AM...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS JUST SOUTH OF NEW
HARMONY...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 30 MPH. THROUGH 930 AM...THIS STORM
WILL MOVE BETWEEN MOUNT VERNON AND BLAIRSVILLE. THIS INCLUDES THE
OLIVER AREA. ANOTHER STORM INTENSIFYING JUST SOUTHEAST OF OWENSVILLE
WILL TRACK ACROSS THE FORT BRANCH AND HAUBSTADT AREAS IN SOUTHERN
GIBSON COUNTY...AND AFFECT SOUTHEAST GIBSON COUNTY...INTO NORTHERN
WARRICK COUNTY...INCLUDING THE CITIES OF SOMERVILLE AND
MACKEY...BUCKSKIN AND LYNNVILLE. THE STORMS MAY PRODUCE PEA TO
MARBLE SIZE HAIL...AND GUSTY WIND 30 TO 40 MPH...WHICH COULD BRING
DOWN SOME SMALL TREE LIMBS.

KYZ015-016-019>021-211515-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
915 AM CDT MON JUL 21 2003

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS MOVING ACROSS THE PENNYRILE REGION OF WEST
KENTUCKY...

AT 915 AM...DOPPLER RADAR DETECTED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS JUST WEST OF
MADISONVILLE...AND SOUTHWEST OF OWENSBORO...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 30
MPH. THROUGH 1000 AM...THE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO AFFECT MADISONVILLE
AND EARLINGTON...CALHOUN AND MOSELEYVILLE. THIS INCLUDES MUCH OF
MCLEAN...CENTRAL AND EASTERN HOPKINS...SOUTHERN DAVIESS...AND
MUHLENBERG COUNTIES. THE STORMS MAY PRODUCE WINDS 35 TO 50
MPH...WHICH COULD BRING DOWN SOME TREE LIMBS. SMALL HAIL IS ALSO
POSSIBLE.

INZ088-KYZ019-020-211545-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
950 AM CDT MON JUL 21 2003

...STRONG THUNDERSTORM MOVING INTO THE OWENSBORO AREA...

AT 950 AM...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS JUST NORTHWEST OF THE
OWENSBORO AREA...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 30 MPH. THIS STORM WILL PASS
ACROSS THE OWENSBORO AREA THROUGH 1045 AM...AS WELL AS EXTREME
SOUTHERN SPENCER COUNTY IN INDIANA. THE STORM WILL PRODUCE VERY
HEAVY RAINFALL...FREQUENT LIGHTNING...AND POSSIBLY HAIL UP TO 1/2
INCH IN DIAMETER. GUSTY WINDS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE AT TIMES.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
1114 AM CDT MON JUL 21 2003

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE  ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

1015 AM    2E OWENSBORO              KY   0.75 INCH HAIL
07/21/03   DAVIESS                        PENNY SIZE HAIL REPORTED
                                          BY THE PUBLIC.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
1141 AM CDT MON JUL 21 2003

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE  ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

1010 AM    OWENSBORO                 KY   1.75 INCH HAIL
07/21/03   DAVIESS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
1141 AM CDT MON JUL 21 2003

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE  ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

1010 AM    OWENSBORO                 KY   1.75 INCH HAIL
07/21/03   DAVIESS                        RELAYED TO WBKR RADIO
                                          TIME ESTIMATED.