Alert archive / Texas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2003

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 90, NWS Norman, OK

April 15, 2003Archer County, Baylor County, Texas

NWS Norman, OK issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Apr 15, 2003, 9:42 PM CDT for Archer County, Baylor County, Texas. It was in force for 48 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Apr 15, 2003, 9:42 PM CDT (02:42 UTC)
Expired: Apr 15, 2003, 10:30 PM CDT
In force: 48 min
Issued by: NWS Norman, OK
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

Counties Archer County, TX, Baylor County, TX

The radar

The Altus AFB radar (KFDR), 85 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:45 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Apr 15, 5:00 PM CDT	Tornado Watch	SPC	6 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Fort Worth, TX (KFWD), launched 00:00Z, 2.7 hours before the alert went out and 170 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 133 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -51 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1178 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 56 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 186 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 236 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.1
Supercell composite: 2.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

158 
WUUS54 KOUN 160242
SVROKC
TXC009-023-160330-

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
940 PM CDT TUE APR 15 2003

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORMAN HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  ARCHER COUNTY IN NORTHERN TEXAS
  BAYLOR COUNTY IN NORTHERN TEXAS

* UNTIL 1030 PM CDT

* AT 940 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR DETECTED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM 6   
MILES NORTH OF WESTOVER...MOVING EAST AT 55 MPH.  ANOTHER SEVERE 
THUNDERSTORM WAS ALONG HIGHWAY 283 BETWEEN WESTOVER AND MILLERS 
CREEK RESERVOIR...ALSO MOVING EAST AT 55 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE ARCHER CITY...LAKE KICKAPOO...
  MEGARGEL...SCOTLAND...WESTOVER AND WINDTHORST

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF TENNIS BALLS AND WINDS TO 70 MPH ARE LIKELY 
WITH THESE SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN PRODUCE TORNADOES WITH NO ADVANCE WARNING.
MOVE IMMEDIATELY TO A STORM SHELTER... BASEMENT OR STURDY BUILDING IF
A TORNADO IS SIGHTED.

LAT...LON 3369 9907 3341 9937 3340 9843 3381 9844

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Norman, OK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Apr 15, 3:45 PM CDT, 5 hours 57 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 15, 3:45 PM CDT, 5 hours 57 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
345 PM CDT TUE APR 15 2003

ACTIVITY IN TEXAS PANHANDLE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EAST
THROUGH REST OF AFTERNOON WITH BETTER CHANCE OF STORMS DEVELOPING
ALONG DRYLINE AND BECOMING MORE SURFACE BASED.  DEEP LAYER SHEAR
MORE THAN SUFFICIENT FOR SUPERCELL WITH MODERATE INSTABILITY.
WILL ISSUE WIND ADVISORY FOR ENTIRE CWA FOR TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY
ALTHOUGH SOME AREAS (EASTERN PARTS) MAY NOT EXPERIENCE ADVISORY
TYPE WINDS UNTIL LATER TONIGHT.

WILL REMOVE MENTION OF POPS ACROSS SOUTHEAST SECTIONS OF CWA FOR
WEDNESDAY MORNING AS BEST LIFT SHOULD BE NORTH AND EAST AREA.
WRAP AROUND MOISTURE/CLOUDS ON WEDNESDAY SHOULD MAINLY BE CONFINED
TO NORTHERN HALF OF FA WITH MORE SUNSHINE SOUTH. WITH GUSTY WINDS AND
TEMPERATURES WARMING INTO THE LOWER 80S ACROSS THE SOUTH MAY
NEED TO ISSUE RED FLAG WARNING FOR THIS AREA.  HOWEVER...STILL
SOME UNCERTAINTIES ON AMOUNT OF RAINFALL THAT WILL OCCUR ACROSS
THIS AREA TONIGHT.

WILL HAVE A BREAK IN ACTIVE WEATHER WEDNESDAY INTO EARLY FRIDAY
AS FRONT PUSHES INTO SOUTH TEXAS AND UPPER RIDGE BUILDS ACROSS
THE AREA AHEAD OF NEXT PACIFIC SYSTEM.  WILL NOT DEVIATE TOO
MUCH FROM MAV GUIDANCE DURING THIS TIME FRAME.

APPEARS NEXT CHANCE OF SEVERE WEATHER WILL COME FRIDAY
INTO FRIDAY NIGHT AS ANOTHER SOUTHWEST WAVE APPROACHES THE AREA.
12Z GFS FASTER/MORE PROGRESSIVE WITH THIS SYSTEM THAN PREVIOUS
RUNS...BUT WILL LEAVE IN SLIGHT CHANCES WEST SATURDAY WITH
TIMING DIFFERENCES.  SUNDAY INTO MONDAY APPEAR DRY AT THIS TIME
WITH ANOTHER SYSTEM APPROACHING THE AREA AROUND TUESDAY.

FCSTID = SIX

OKC  55 76 45 69 /  60 10 00 00
HBR  51 76 46 72 /  60 00 00 00
SPS  54 81 47 74 /  30 10 00 00
GAG  49 70 41 67 /  50 00 00 00
PNC  55 72 40 66 /  60 10 00 00
DUA  61 82 48 75 /  40 10 00 00

.OKC...
OK...WIND ADVISORY TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY ALL ZONES.
TX...WIND ADVISORY TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY ALL ZONES.

Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 15, 7:30 PM CDT, 2 hours 12 minutes before

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-161200-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED...
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
730 PM CDT TUE APR 15 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK COVERS NORTHERN...WESTERN...
CENTRAL...AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT...

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR MUCH OF
NORTHERN...CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND ALL OF WESTERN NORTH
TEXAS. A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXISTS ACROSS MUCH OF
SOUTH CENTRAL INTO SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.

LOCATION...
THE MODERATE RISK AREA COVERS LOCATIONS WEST OF A LINE EXTENDING
FROM ARCHER CITY AND HENRIETTA TEXAS...TO OKLAHOMA CITY...TO
STILLWATER AND PONCA CITY. THE SLIGHT RISK AREA COVERS LOCATIONS
EAST OF THIS LINE.

TIMING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN THE NWS NORMAN WARNING AREA ARE
EXPECTED THROUGH 4 AM.

RECOMMENDED ACTIONS...
STORM SPOTTER GROUPS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL ACROSS THE
RISK AREAS SHOULD PLAN FOR SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS INTO THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS.

DISCUSSION...
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE OVER PORTIONS OF OKLAHOMA AND
WESTERN NORTH TEXAS INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. THIS ACTIVITY WILL
OCCUR AHEAD AND ALONG A DRY LINE THAT IS FORECAST TO SWEEP ACROSS
THE REGION THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. THE STRONGLY SHEARED
ENVIRONMENT WILL CONTINUE TO FAVOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF SUPERCELLS.
STRONG WINDS AND A FEW TORNADOES WILL BE THE MAIN SEVERE WEATHER
THREATS THROUGH MID EVENING...BEFORE THE STORMS CONSOLIDATE INTO A
SQUALL LINE. THIS LINE IS THEN EXPECTED TO PROGRESS EASTWARD THROUGH
CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND PORTIONS OF WESTERN NORTH TEXAS
LATE THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. DAMAGING WIND WILL BE THE MAIN
THREAT WITH THIS LINE OF STORMS...WITH LARGE HAIL ALSO POSSIBLE WITH
ANY EMBEDDED SUPERCELL STORMS THAT PERSIST.

PROBABILITY TABLE...
VALID THROUGH 700 AM CDT WEDNESDAY APRIL 16.
PROBABILITY OF THUNDERSTORMS OCCURRING IN THE
              NWS NORMAN COUNTY WARNING AREA...100 PERCENT.
PROBABILITY OF SEVERE STORMS IF STORMS OCCUR...100 PERCENT.

OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
VERY STRONG WINDS WILL OCCUR AHEAD OF...AND BEHIND...THE
THUNDERSTORMS. FREQUENT WIND GUSTS OVER 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY...

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
MORE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE FROM THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY
MORNING AS ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM APPROACHES FROM THE
SOUTHWEST.

OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
STRONG WEST AND NORTHWEST WINDS ARE LIKELY WEDNESDAY.

THE NEXT SCHEDULED HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK WILL BE ISSUED
WEDNESDAY MORNING AT 700 AM.

11

In the hours before

Local storm report, Apr 15, 8:41 PM CDT, 1 hour 1 minute before

LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
841 PM CDT TUE APR 15 2003

TIME (CDT) .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0840 PM    5 E CLINTON               OK   60 MPH WIND GUST
04/15/03   CUSTER                         REPORTED BY PUBLIC

MBB

Local storm report, Apr 15, 8:48 PM CDT, 54 minutes before

LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
848 PM CDT TUE APR 15 2003

TIME (CDT) .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0825 PM    MEDICINE MOUND            TX   .75 INCH HAIL
04/15/03   HARDEMAN                       COUNTY SHERIFF

FM

Local storm report, Apr 15, 8:56 PM CDT, 46 minutes before

LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
856 PM CDT TUE APR 15 2003

TIME (CDT) .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0820 PM    4 N CHILLICOTHE           TX   WIND DAMAGE
04/15/03   HARDEMAN                       SPOTTER REPORTED
                                          POWERLINES DOWN
                                          AND TREES UPROOTED.

JLP

Local storm report, Apr 15, 9:09 PM CDT, 33 minutes before

LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
909 PM CDT TUE APR 15 2003

TIME (CDT) .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0855 PM    3 NE KNOX CITY            TX   TORNADO
04/15/03   KNOX                           REPORTED BY TEXAS DPS

FM/JLP

Special weather statement, Apr 15, 9:11 PM CDT, 31 minutes before

TXZ086-089-160230-

SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
911 PM CDT TUE APR 15 2003

THIS SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY IS FOR ARCHER AND WICHITA COUNTIES.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 18 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ELECTRA AT
911 PM CDT...MOVING EAST AT 65 MPH.  OTHER SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE
LOCATED NEAR SEYMOUR AND MUNDAY...ALSO MOVING NORTHEAST AT 65 MPH.
THESE STORMS HAVE A HISTORY OF PRODUCING TORNADOES.  IF THE STORMS
MAINTAIN THEIR STRENGTH AND MOVEMENT...WARNINGS WILL BE REQUIRED
AFTER 930 PM.

PEOPLE IN ARCHER AND WICHITA COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE CITIES OF
BURKBURNETT...ELECTRA...IOWA PARK...WICHITA FALLS AND ARCHER
CITY...SHOULD MONITOR THIS STORM CLOSELY. LISTEN FOR WARNINGS AND
WATCH FOR THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AS THESE STORMS APPROACHES.

Local storm report, Apr 15, 9:21 PM CDT, 21 minutes before

LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
921 PM CDT TUE APR 15 2003

TIME (CDT) .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0810 PM    3 W BURNS FLAT            OK   TORNADO
04/15/03   WASHITA                        SPOTTER REPORT

0830 PM    7 W TRUSCOTT              TX   60 MPH WIND GUST
04/15/03   KNOX                           ESTIMATED BY SPOTTER

MBB/JF/JLP

The office that day

Everything else NWS Norman, OK issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Apr 15, 7:06 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	OUN	Hardeman	24 min
Apr 15, 7:23 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	OUN	Hardeman	37 min
Apr 15, 7:44 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OUN	Foard, Hardeman	46 min
Apr 15, 8:11 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	OUN	Hardeman, Wilbarger	49 min
Apr 15, 8:23 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OUN	Foard, Knox	52 min
Apr 15, 8:41 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	OUN	Knox	34 min
Apr 15, 8:57 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OUN	Wilbarger	48 min
Apr 15, 9:01 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	OUN	Baylor	44 min
Apr 15, 9:15 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OUN	Knox	30 min
Apr 15, 9:16 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OUN	Wichita	44 min
Apr 15, 10:19 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OUN	Clay	41 min
Apr 15, 10:59 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OUN	Clay	46 min
Apr 15, 11:11 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OUN	Archer, Wichita	49 min
Apr 15, 11:44 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OUN	Clay	46 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Texas, 2003 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2003

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.