Severe Thunderstorm Warning 624, NWS Norman, OK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OKLAHOMA
405 AM CDT FRI JUN 27 2003

OVERALL...LITTLE CHANGE NEEDED TO CURRENT FORECAST PACKAGE. FOR
TEMPS...CURRENT FORECAST NUMBERS ARE AOB MOS GUIDANCE NUMBERS...AND
GIVEN THE PAST FEW DAYS OBSERVED CONDITIONS AND MID LEVEL FLOW
REGIME...THIS WOULD SEEM WISE. WILL NOT TAMPER MUCH WITH CURRENT
FORECAST TEMPS.

MCS TYPE ACTIVITY STILL PROGD BY MODELS...WITH NORTHERN/WESTERN
PORTIONS OF OKLAHOMA HAVING THE BEST OPPORTUNITY OF MAINLY EVENING
AND OVERNIGHT ACTIVITY THROUGH MONDAY. BEST CHANCES FOR WIDESPREAD
PRECIPITATION APPEARS TO BE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING...AS
MODERATE TO STRONG SIGNAL FOR LOW LEVEL FRONTOGENESIS EXPECTED OVER
WESTERN THROUGH NORTH CENTRAL PORTIONS OF OKLAHOMA. WITHOUT ANY SIG
CAPPING...SCATTERED ACTIVITY COULD EASE A BIT FURTHER SOUTH THAN
MODEL PROGS. THIS TAKEN INTO ACCOUNT.

EXTENDED PERIODS ESSENTIALLY UNCHANGED.

OKC   89   67   89   67  /  0   10   30   40
HBR   90   67   91   67  / 10   10   20   30
SPS   90   67   92   70  /  0    5   10   20
GAG   90   66   86   63  / 20   40   40   60
PNC   89   67   87   66  / 10   30   40   60
DUA   87   67   88   69  /  0    0    5   10

FORECAST ID = 11

.OUN...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.

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