Flash Flood Warning 5, NWS Norman, OK

000 
WGUS74 KOUN 250934
FFSOKC
TXC077-251100-

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
433 AM CDT SUN MAY 25 2003

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHERN CLAY COUNTY 
UNTIL 6 AM...

AT 430 AM...RADAR SHOWED AN AREA OF HEAVY RAIN EXITING THE EAST SIDE 
OF CLAY COUNTY...WITH ANOTHER AREA OF RAIN DEVELOPING OVER COTTON 
COUNTY IN OKLAHOMA...WHICH COULD MOVE SOUTHEASTWARD...OVER THE SAME 
AREAS WHICH HAVE ALREADY RECEIVED LARGE AMOUNTS OF RAIN.

RADAR ESTIMATES SUGGEST THAT BETWEEN 6 AND 8 INCHES OF RAIN FELL IN 
A TWO HOUR PERIOD EARLIER TONIGHT...FROM JUST NORTHEAST OF 
HURNVILLE...EASTWARD TO STANFORD AND TERRAL. 

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM THESE STORM WILL CAUSE FLASH FLOODING OF SMALL
CREEKS AND STREAMS...HIGHWAYS AND UNDERPASSES. ADDITIONALLY...COUNTRY
ROADS AND FARM LANDS ALONG THE BANKS OF CREEKS AND STREAMS AND OTHER
LOW LYING AREAS ARE SUBJECT TO FLASH FLOODING.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY.
AS LITTLE AS 6 INCHES OF WATER MAY CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR
VEHICLE. TWO FEET OF RUSHING WATER CAN CARRY AWAY MOST VEHICLES
INCLUDING SUVS AND PICKUP TRUCKS. VEHICLES CAUGHT IN RISING WATER
SHOULD BE ABANDONED QUICKLY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE 
DANGERS OF FLOODS. IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED ACT QUICKLY. MOVE TO
HIGHER GROUND TO ESCAPE FLOOD WATERS. DO NOT DRIVE VEHICLES INTO 
AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY.

LAT...LON 3401 9796 3363 9796 3363 9842 3401 9843

$$
JAMES

000 
WGUS74 KOUN 251104
FFSOKC
TXC077-251300-

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
557 AM CDT SUN MAY 25 2003

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR CLAY COUNTY HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE...

AN AREA OF RAIN EAST OF PETROLIA AND NORTH OF HENRIETTA IN CLAY 
COUNTY HAS WEAKENED TO A FEW TENTHS OF AN INCH PER HOUR. 
HOWEVER...HIGH WATER IS STILL POSSIBLE IN LOW LYING AND POOR 
DRAINAGE AREAS.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY.
AS LITTLE AS 6 INCHES OF WATER MAY CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR
VEHICLE. TWO FEET OF RUSHING WATER CAN CARRY AWAY MOST VEHICLES
INCLUDING SUVS AND PICKUP TRUCKS. VEHICLES CAUGHT IN RISING WATER
SHOULD BE ABANDONED QUICKLY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM THIS STORM WILL CAUSE FLASH FLOODING OF SMALL
CREEKS AND STREAMS...COUNTRY ROADS...NORMALLY DRY WASHES...AND FARM
LAND ALONG THE BANKS OF CREEKS AND STREAMS.

LAT...LON 3400 9799 3379 9799 3392 9837 3416 9833

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OKLAHOMA
1000 PM CDT SAT MAY 24 2003

UPDATE FORTHCOMING TO UP POPS/CLOUDS/QPF AND ISSUE FLOOD/FLASH FLOOD
WATCH FOR TX ZONES AND S OK FOR BECKHAM...KIOWA...COMANCHE...
STEPHENS...CARTER...MARSHALL...BRYAN COUNTIES S-WARD. THIS BASED ON
ONGOING ACTIVITY SE...DEVELOPING MCS OVER NW TX THREATENING TO
PROPAGATE E-SE ALONG RED RIVER. SOME AREAS IN SW OK NW TX RECEIVED
3-6 INCHES LAST NIGHT.

340 PM CDT SAT MAY 24 2003

TSTM COMPLEX THAT ROLLED THROUGH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA THIS
MORNING HAS LEFT A LARGE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY ACROSS THE RED RIVER
VALLEY INTO THE SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA. OTHER BOUNDARIES MAY ALSO EXIST
FROM PRIOR TSTM COMPLEXES OCCURRING SINCE LAST NIGHT... BUT THEY ARE
GETTING HARDER TO LOCATE. TSTMS DEVELOPING IN WEST CENTRAL KANSAS
THIS AFTERNOON MAY MOVE INTO NORTH CENTRAL OKLAHOMA THIS EVENING IF
THEY HOLD TOGETHER. THIS AREA OF PCPN COULD SEE SOME UPPER SUPPORT
THIS EVENING FROM A WAVE DROPPING SOUTH THROUGH THE CENTRAL PLAINS.
HOWEVER... ON THE DOWNSIDE... THE AIRMASS OVER NORTH CENTRAL
OKLAHOMA HAS BEEN STABILIZED SOMEWHAT FROM MORNING TSTMS.
MEANWHILE... LOOKING FOR MORE WIDESPREAD TSTM DEVELOPMENT OVER THE
HIGH PLAINS/MOUNTAINS OF EASTERN COLORADO INTO WESTERN TEXAS WHICH
COULD ROLL SOUTHEAST INTO MAINLY THE WESTERN PORTIONS OF OKLAHOMA
AND NORTH TEXAS. HEAVY RAINS LAST NIGHT OVER A SMALL PORTION OF
WESTERN NORTH TEXAS... TO THE WEST AND SOUTHWEST OF WICHITA FALLS...
LEAVES THAT AREA SUSCEPTIBLE TO SOME FLOOD PROBLEMS TONIGHT...IF
STORMS MANAGE TO TRAIN ACROSS THE REGION. CURRENTLY... THE LOW LEVEL
FOCUS IS STILL NORTH OF THAT AREA. AS THE CENTRAL PLAINS SHORT WAVE
DROPS SOUTH THIS EVENING... IT WILL HELP TO PUSH A SECONDARY COLD
FRONT... ESTIMATED TO BE CURRENTLY MOVING INTO NORTHERN KANSAS...
ACROSS THE FA. THIS SHOULD LEAD TO GRADUALLY DRYING AIR ESPECIALLY
OVER THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN ZONES. WILL TAPER OFF POPS ON
SUNDAY...ATHOUGH WILL KEEP THEM A LITTLE HIGHER IN THE WEST WHERE
MOISTURE WILL BE DEEPER. GENERALLY MILD...DRY WEATHER EXPECTED FOR
THE EXTENDED PERIODS WITH WEAK RIDGING ACROSS THE AREA... ALTHOUGH
THE WEST COULD STILL BE BRUSHED BY A STORM COMPLEX OR TWO EMBEDD IN
THE N-NWLY FLOW.

PRELIM NMBRS...

OKC   59   75   56   75  / 30   20   10   10
HBR   59   75   54   75  / 50   30   20   20
SPS   62   76   56   77  / 40   30   20   20
GAG   56   72   49   74  / 60   20   20   20
PNC   56   73   53   74  / 30   20   10   10
DUA   63   76   57   76  / 20   20   10   10

FORECAST ID = 32

.OUN...
OK...FLASH FLOOD WATCH TONIGHT OKZ021-033>039-0044>048-050>052.
TX...FLASH FLOOD WATCH TONIGHT TXZ083>090.

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-251200-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1200 PM CDT SAT MAY 24 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK COVERS NORTHERN...WESTERN...
CENTRAL...AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS
CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA AND ALL OF WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.
THE SLIGHT RISK AREA IS GENERALLY SOUTH OF A CUSHING TO
GUTHRIE TO KINGFISHER AND LEEDEY LINE.

TIMING...
STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTHERN
OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS THIS AFTERNOON AS AN OUTFLOW
BOUNDARY ADVANCES SOUTH.  ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS ARE
EXPECTED LATER THIS EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AS
STORMS MOVE SOUTHEAST FROM THE HIGH PLAINS OF TEXAS AND
COLORADO.

IMPACTS...
LARGE HAIL IS THE PRIMARY THREAT...WITH DAMAGING STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS
A THREAT WITH ANY THUNDERSTORM LINE SEGMENTS. ALTHOUGH THE TORNADO
THREAT IS RELATIVELY LOW...STORMS THAT DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON
ACROSS SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS WILL HAVE
THE BEST POTENTIAL AS INSTABILITY AND SHEAR SHOULD BE MAXIMIZED
IN THESE AREAS.

RECOMMENDED ACTIONS...
STORM SPOTTER GROUPS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL ACROSS THE
RISK AREA SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS DURING
THE PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED TIMES.

DISCUSSION...
AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY MOVING SOUTH INTO SOUTHERN PARTS OF
OKLAHOMA THIS AFTERNOON WILL PROVIDE THE FOCUS FOR SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOP.  MODERATE INSTABILITY AND GOOD DIRECTIONAL
SHEAR AHEAD OF THIS BOUNDARY WILL BE SUFFICIENT FOR SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT.  LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS
WILL BE THE MAIN RISK.  LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL MAY ALSO OCCUR
WITH THESE STORMS.  PARTS OF WESTERN NORTH TEXAS... MAINLY
EAST OF A LINE FROM VERNON TO ARCHER CITY... RECEIVED RAINFALL
AMOUNTS BETWEEN 3 AND 5 INCHES LAST NIGHT.  THIS AREA WILL BE
MORE SUSCEPTIBLE TO FLOODING.

OTHER THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE HIGH
PLAINS OF TEXAS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.  THESE STORMS WILL
LIKELY MOVE INTO WESTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS
LATE TONIGHT.  DAMAGING THUNDERSTORM WINDS AND LARGE HAIL WILL
BE THE MAIN THREATS WITH THESE STORMS.

PROBABILITY TABLE...
VALID THROUGH 700 AM CDT SUNDAY MAY 25.
PROBABILITY OF THUNDERSTORMS OCCURRING IN THE
              NWS NORMAN COUNTY WARNING AREA...100 PERCENT.
PROBABILITY OF SEVERE STORMS IF STORMS OCCUR...80 PERCENT.

OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
NONE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
THE NORTHWEST FLOW WEATHER PATTERN WILL BEGIN TO TURN MORE NORTHERLY
WITH TIME AS WE MOVE INTO MIDWEEK. A CONTINUED CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS AND A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL
CONTINUE INTO MIDWEEK...MAINLY OVER WESTERN PART OF OKLAHOMA AND
PORTIONS OF WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.

OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
NONE.

6

OKZ021-250630-

SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
108 AM CDT SUN MAY 25 2003

THIS SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY IS FOR BECKHAM COUNTY.

A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 7 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ERICK AT 108
AM CDT...NEARLY STATIONARY.

STORM INTENSITY IS INCREASING AND SEVERE WEATHER MAY DEVELOP RAPIDLY.

PEOPLE IN BECKHAM COUNTY SHOULD MONITOR THE WEATHER SITUATION
CLOSELY. LISTEN FOR WARNINGS AND REMAIN ALERT FOR THREATENING WEATHER
CONDITIONS.

JAMES

TXZ085-250630-

SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
119 AM CDT SUN MAY 25 2003

THIS SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY IS FOR WILBARGER COUNTY.

A GUST FRONT WAS MOVING ACROSS WESTERN AND CENTRAL WILBARGER COUNTY.
40 TO 50 MPH WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED.

PEOPLE IN WILBARGER COUNTY...INCLUDING THE CITY OF VERNON...SHOULD
MONITOR THE WEATHER SITUATION CLOSELY. LISTEN FOR WARNINGS AND REMAIN
ALERT FOR THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS.

JAMES

LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
130 AM CDT SUN MAY 25 2003

TIME (CDT) .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

1225 AM    QUANAH                    TX   59 MPH WIND GUST
05/25/03   HARDEMAN                       MEASURED BY COUNTY
                                          CIVIL DEFENSE

KT

TXZ086-089-250700-

SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
146 AM CDT SUN MAY 25 2003

THIS SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY IS FOR ARCHER AND WICHITA COUNTIES.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY DEVELOP OVER WICHITA AND
ARCHER COUNTIES THROUGH 230 AM...AS A GUST FRONT MOVES QUICKLY
THROUGH THE AREA...ALLOWING THUNDERSTORMS TO FORM.

PEOPLE IN ARCHER AND WICHITA COUNTIES...SHOULD MONITOR THE WEATHER
SITUATION CLOSELY. LISTEN FOR WARNINGS AND REMAIN ALERT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS.

JAMES

OKZ038-250715-

SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
203 AM CDT SUN MAY 25 2003

THIS SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY IS FOR COMANCHE COUNTY.

A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 3 MILES SOUTHEAST OF GERONIMO AT
203 AM CDT...MOVING NORTH AT 10 MPH.

STORM INTENSITY IS INCREASING AND SEVERE WEATHER MAY DEVELOP RAPIDLY.

PEOPLE IN COMANCHE COUNTY...INCLUDING THE CITY OF LAWTON...SHOULD
MONITOR THE WEATHER SITUATION CLOSELY. LISTEN FOR WARNINGS AND REMAIN
ALERT FOR THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS.

JAMES

TXZ090-250730-

SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
219 AM CDT SUN MAY 25 2003

THIS SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY IS FOR CLAY COUNTY.

A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 10 MILES NORTHEAST OF HENRIETTA AT
219 AM CDT...MOVING SOUTHWEST AT 35 MPH.

STORM INTENSITY IS INCREASING AND SEVERE WEATHER MAY DEVELOP RAPIDLY.

PEOPLE IN CLAY COUNTY...INCLUDING THE CITY OF HENRIETTA...SHOULD
MONITOR THE WEATHER SITUATION CLOSELY. LISTEN FOR WARNINGS AND REMAIN
ALERT FOR THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS.

JAMES