Severe Thunderstorm Warning 417, NWS Nashville, TN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
940 AM CDT SAT AUG 2 2003

BOX OVER WRN TN HAS BEEN CANCELLED. MORNING SOUNDING AT BNA
MARGINALLY UNSTABLE. MODEL QPF FORECASTS KEEP BULK OF PRECIP TO N
AND W OF CWA THIS AFTERNOON. OUR POPS NOT TOO HI ANYWAY SO WILL
LEAVE AS IS.

SOME CONVECTION IN W TN HEADED THIS WAY. NO UPDATE PLANNED AT
PRESENT.

.BNA...NONE.

MAG

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HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
530 AM CDT SAT AUG 2 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR MIDDLE TENNESSEE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...
AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL BECOME MORE FOCUSED OVER
MIDDLE TENNESSEE TODAY, WHILE PUSHING A SURFACE COLD FRONT INTO THE
REGION AS WELL. AS A RESULT, THE ATMOSPHERE WILL EXPERIENCE A
SIGNIFICANT INCREASE IN MOISTURE. WHEN COUPLED WITH THE AVAILABLE
INSTABILITY, THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY TO FORM, PRIMARILY DURING THE
PEAK HEATING HOURS OF THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING.

SOME OF THE STORMS MAY CROSS SEVERE THRESHOLDS, WITH DAMAGING
MICROBURST WINDS AND HAIL A POSSIBILITY. ALSO, WATER LOADED
THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IN SOME SPOTS.

IN ADDITION, THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER IN NORMAN HAS PLACED THE
ENTIRE MID STATE UNDER A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE WEATHER. THEREFORE,
THE POTENTIAL FOR HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS HEIGHTENED THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...
THE PROBABILITY OF SEVERE WEATHER DOES NOT END ON SATURDAY. DUE TO
THE SLOW MOVEMENT OF THE APPROACHING WEATHER SYSTEM, THE ENVIRONMENT
WILL UNDERGO LITTLE CHANGE ON SUNDAY, AND EVEN INTO MONDAY. THUS,
TODAYS SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL WILL EXTEND THROUGH THE FIRST PART
OF THE WEEK FOR MUCH OF THE MID STATE.

THE STORM PREDICTION CENTERS CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK FOR SUNDAY ONCE
AGAIN HIGHLIGHTS A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE WEATHER ACROSS ALL OF
MIDDLE TENNESSEE. AND AREAS ALONG THE CUMBERLAND PLATEAU AND SOUTHERN
MIDDLE TENNESSEE, PRIMARILY EAST AND SOUTH OF THE NASHVILLE
METROPOLITAN AREA, WILL SEE THEIR SLIGHT RISK EXTENDED THROUGH
MONDAY.

AS A RESULT, THE POTENTIAL FOR HAZARDOUS WEATHER WILL BE PRESENT ON
SUNDAY AND MONDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
ACTIVATION OF SPOTTERS MAY BE NEEDED TODAY, SUNDAY, AND MONDAY.

ROSE

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SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
115 PM CDT SAT AUG 2 2003

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS MOVING ACROSS MONTGOMERY AND ROBERTSON
COUNTIES...

AT 115 PM...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR SHOWED STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS OVER EASTERN MONTGOMERY COUNTY...ALONG INTERSTATE
24 EAST OF CLARKSVILLE. THESE STORMS WERE MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH INTO
ROBERTSON COUNTY. VERY HEAVY DOWNPOURS WERE OCCURRING ALONG WITH
FREQUENT LIGHTNING.

THESE STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS NORTHERN ROBERTSON COUNTY
BY 200 PM. ADAMS AND SPRINGFIELD WILL BE AFFECTED. RAINFALL AMOUNTS
OF 1 TO 2 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED. DRIVERS SHOULD USE CAUTION...POOR
VISIBILITY AND PONDING ON ROADS WILL OCCUR.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE DEVELOPING ACROSS ALL OF MID
TENNESSEE THIS AFTERNOON. ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS WITH DAMAGING
WINDS ARE POSSIBLE. VERY HEAVY DOWNPOURS WILL BE COMMON WITH THESE
STORMS. IF THUNDERSTORMS APPROACH YOU LOCATION...MOVE INDOORS UNTIL
THE STORMS PASS.

SH