Alert archive / Tennessee / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2003

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 328, NWS Nashville, TN

July 10, 2003Macon County, Tennessee

NWS Nashville, TN issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 10, 2003, 1:49 PM CDT for Macon County, Tennessee. It was in force for 26 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 10, 2003, 1:49 PM CDT (18:49 UTC)
Expired
Jul 10, 2003, 2:15 PM CDT
In force
26 min
Issued by
NWS Nashville, TN
Area
Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Macon County, TN

The radar

The Nashville radar (KOHX), 68 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:50 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Jul 10, 11:55 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC5 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 12:00Z, 6.8 hours before the alert went out and 78 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Nashville Metro, TN at 12:00Z on 2003-07-10Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1671 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Nashville Metro, TN at 12:00Z on 2003-07-10The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 158 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1671 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-17 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
571 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
29 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
158 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
151 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.7
Supercell composite
4.5

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WUUS54 KOHX 101849
SVRBNA
TNC111-101915-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
149 PM CDT THU JUL 10 2003

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NASHVILLE HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  MACON COUNTY IN TENNESSEE

* UNTIL 215 PM CDT

* AT 139 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM NEAR LAFAYETTE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  RED BOILING SPRINGS AROUND 200 PM CDT

THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. IF YOU ARE IN ITS PATH YOU SHOULD PREPARE
FOR DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 55 MPH...LARGE HAIL...AND DEADLY
LIGHTNING.



LAT...LON 3663 8593 3662 8578 3650 8582 3645 8599
          3661 8607

$$
END/ORCHANIAN

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Nashville, TN wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 10, 10:19 AM CDT, 3 hours 30 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 10, 10:19 AM CDT, 3 hours 30 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
1000 CDT THU JUL 10 2003

SURFACE FRONT IS STILL WELL TO THE NORTHWEST NEAR KANSAS CITY AS INDICATED
ON THE MSAS ANALYSIS. HOWEVER, A LARGE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY IS INDICATED
ON NQA RADAR OVER WEST TENNESSEE AND NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI. SATELLITE
IMAGES INDICATE THE UPPER TROUGH IS LOCATED FROM SOUTHERN WISCONSIN
TO CENTRAL OKLAHOMA MOVING EAST AT 30-35 KT.

SELS SLIGHT CHANCE SEVERE LOOKS RIGHT ON TARGET. MORNING SOUNDING
VERY UNSTABLE WITH LIFTED INDEX AT -5.2, TOTALS AT 47 AND K INDEX
AT 35. NOT MUCH IN THE WAY OF SHEAR, BUT FOR WIND EVENTS ONLY 20-25
KT WESTERLY FLOW IS NECESSARY FOR SEVERE WIND EVENTS. HAIL EVENTS
ARE STILL POSSIBLE, BUT WITH WB-ZERO OVER 13000 FT ARE LESS LIKELY.

CURRENT ZONE PACKAGE SEEMS TO REFLECT THESE POSSIBLITIES VERY WELL
AND UPDATES ARE NOT PLANNED.

.BNA...NONE.

JLM
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 10, 5:30 AM CDT, 8 hours 19 minutes before
TNZ005>011-022>034-056>066-075>080-093>097-111030-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
530 AM CDT THU JUL 10 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR MIDDLE TENNESSEE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE MID STATE TODAY. IN ADVANCE OF THE
FRONT...NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL PROVIDE OCCASIONAL
DRENCHING RAINS. THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE STORMS...MAINLY
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...PARTICULARLY IN THE FORM OF DAMAGING
WINDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

THE PROBABILITY OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NECESSARY TODAY AND THIS EVENING.

MAG

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jul 10, 12:53 PM CDT, 56 minutes before
TNZ005>011-022>034-056>066-075>080-093>097-102200-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
1253 PM CDT THU JUL 10 2003

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF MIDDLE
TENNESSEE UNTIL 500 PM CDT...

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON
AHEAD OF AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE THAT IS MOVING FROM WEST TO
EAST INTO THE MID STATE.

SOME STORMS WILL BE SEVERE...WITH THE PRIMARY THREAT FROM DAMAGING
WINDS. BRIEF BUT VERY HEAVY RAINFALL CAN ALSO BE EXPECTED FROM THE
STRONGER STORMS THIS AFTERNOON.

PEOPLE SHOULD LISTEN TO THIS SAME SOURCE FOR LATER UPDATES AND
POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

IF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS APPROACH YOUR LOCATION...SEEK
SHELTER UNTIL THE STORMS PASS. STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

STEIGERWALDT

The office that day

Everything else NWS Nashville, TN issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 10, 1:01 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXSumner, Wilson44 min
Jul 10, 1:24 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXTrousdale36 min
Jul 10, 2:20 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXDavidson45 min
Jul 10, 2:34 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXClay36 min
Jul 10, 6:20 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXWilson40 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Tennessee, 2003Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2003

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.