Severe Thunderstorm Warning 299, NWS Nashville, TN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
230 PM CDT WED JUN 11 2003

CURRENT...STORMS MARCHING ACROSS CWA W/ NUMEROUS WARNINGS. TEMPS
RANGING FROM UPPER 60S IN RAIN-COOLED AREAS TO MID 80S.

FORECAST...CWA TO BE IN MOIST UNSTABLE AIR MASS FOR WHAT SEEMS LIKE
FOREVER W/ S/WV AFTER S/WV PASSING THROUGH. THIS ALONG W/
MESOSCALE-DRIVEN FEATURES (LEFTOVER BOUNDARIES) WILL ENHANCE
PRECIP/TSTM CHANCES ALL THE WAY INTO SAT. HEAVY RAIN...SEVERE
WEATHER LIKELY FOR A WHILE. MODEL CONVECTIVE FEEDBACK MAY BE A
PROBLEM SO PINPOINTING TIMING/LOCATION OF HEAVIEST RAINS QUITE
DIFFICULT.

AS FOR TEMPS...WENT ON COOLER SIDE OF GUIDANCE.

BNA TT 70/82/70/82/70 7767
CSV TT 68/77/68/77/68 7767

.BNA...SEVERE TSTM WATCH UNTIL 4 PM.

MAG

TNZ005>011-022>034-056>066-075>080-093>097-121030-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
945 AM CDT WED JUN 11 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR MIDDLE TENNESSEE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A VERY MOIST AND VERY UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE WILL REMAIN OVER MID
TENNESSEE...ALONG WITH SEVERAL LINGERING SURFACE BOUNDARIES.
THE WEATHER WILL BECOME ESPECIALLY ACTIVE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT
AS A STRONG DISTURBANCE MOVES ACROSS THE AREA. THUNDERSTORMS WILL
BECOME WIDESPREAD AT TIMES. MANY OF THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL PRODUCE
TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS...WHICH COULD LEAD TO PONDING ON ROADS AND
COULD CAUSE SMALL STREAMS TO RISE RAPIDLY. SOME THUNDERSTORMS WILL
PRODUCE DAMAGING WINDS AND POSSIBLY LARGE HAIL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

LITTLE CHANGE TO THE WEATHER PATTERN IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE A GOOD BET THROUGH THE
PERIOD...AND LOCALLY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE EACH DAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGERS IS LIKELY TODAY AND
MAY BE NEEDED AT TIMES THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.

13

TNZ005>011-022>034-056>066-075>080-093>097-112100-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
121 PM CDT WED JUN 11 2003

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH UNTIL 4 PM CDT FOR ALL OF MIDDLE
TENNESSEE...

AT 115 PM CDT...STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE DEVELOPING
AND MOVING NORTHEAST ACROSS MIDDLE TENNESSEE. THERE WERE TWO
DISTINCT LINES OF STORMS. EAST OF NASHVILLE...MOVING INTO THE
CUMBERLAND PLATEAU...STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED
ALONG A LINE FROM DALE HOLLOW LAKE TO CENTER HILL LAKE THEN SOUTH
TO NEAR MONTEAGLE. WEST OF NASHVILLE...ANOTHER LINE OF STORMS
WAS MOVING ACROSS THE TENNESSEE RIVER. WITH THE STORMS...EXPECT
STRONG GUSTY WINDS...HAIL...AND VERY HEAVY RAIN. PONDING OF WATER IN
LOW LYING AREAS AND ON ROADWAYS WILL BE LIKELY AS A RESULT OF THE
HEAVY RAIN.

STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY
THROUGH 4 PM CDT...AFFECTING MOST OF MIDDLE TENNESSEE.

IF THUNDERSTORMS APPROACH YOUR LOCATION...SEEK SHELTER UNTIL THE
STORMS PASS.

05

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
0157 PM CDT WED JUN 11 2003

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0141 PM    SPENCER                   TN   WIND DAMAGE
06/11/03   VAN BUREN                      HALF OF BARN DESTROYED
                                          NORTHWEST OF FALL CREEK
                                          FALLS STATE PARK NEAR
                                          SPENCER...REPORTED BY STATE
                                          PARK EMPLOYEE

STEIGERWALDT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
0200 PM CDT WED JUN 11 2003

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0145 PM    LOBELVILLE                TN   WIND DAMAGE
06/11/03   PERRY                          SEVERAL TREES DOWN
                                          BLOCKING SOME ROADS NEAR
                                          LOBELVILLE...REPORTED BY
                                          HIGHWAY DEPARTMENT

STEIGERWALDT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
0204 PM CDT WED JUN 11 2003

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0202 PM    LAWRENCEBURG              TN   WIND DAMAGE
06/11/03   LAWRENCE                       LIMBS REPORTED DONW
                                          COUNTYWIDE...REPORTED BY
                                          COUNTY EMA.

STEIGERWALDT

TNZ005>011-022>034-056>066-075>080-093>097-112100-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
245 PM CDT WED JUN 11 2003

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH UNTIL 4 PM CDT FOR ALL OF MIDDLE
TENNESSEE...

AT 245 PM CDT...BANDS OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUED TO
MOVE INTO MIDDLE TENNESSEE. NUMEROUS REPORTS OF LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS HAVE ALREADY BEEN RECEIVED TODAY...AND MORE SEVERE
WEATHER IS LIKELY. THE MAIN THREAT WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS
OF 60 MPH. LARGE HAIL IS ALSO A THREAT. MANY OF THE STORMS WILL
PRODUCE TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS RESULTING IN PONDING ON ROADS AND IN LOW
LYING AREAS.

IF THUNDERSTORMS APPROACH YOUR LOCATION...SEEK SHELTER UNTIL THE
STORMS PASS. STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

13

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
0253 PM CDT WED JUN 11 2003

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0230 PM    PULASKI                   TN   WIND DAMAGE
06/11/03   GILES                          THREE TREES REPORTED DOWN
                                          NEAR LINNVILLE AND
                                          BODENHAM...REPORTED BY
                                          COUNTY HIGHWAY DEPARTMENT

0200 PM    LAWRENCEBURG              TN   WIND DAMAGE
06/11/03   LAWRENCE                       THREE TREES DOWN NEAR WEST
                                          POINT...REPORTED BY HIGHWAY
                                          DEPARTMENT

STEIGERWALDT