Alert archive / Florida / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2003
Severe Thunderstorm Warning 55, NWS Melbourne, FL
NWS Melbourne, FL issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jun 2, 2003, 6:05 PM EDT for Brevard County, Florida. It was in force for 40 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jun 2, 2003, 6:05 PM EDT (22:05 UTC)
- Expired
- Jun 2, 2003, 6:45 PM EDT
- In force
- 40 min
- Issued by
- NWS Melbourne, FL
- Area
- Counties, with a storm outline in the text
County Brevard County, FL
The radar
The Melbourne radar (KMLB), 33 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:06 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
Did it verify
Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.
Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.
The nearest sounding before it
Cape Canaveral, FL (KXMR), launched 12:00Z, 10.1 hours before the alert went out and 22 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 3214 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -1 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 487 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 14 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 0 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 27 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
192 WUUS52 KMLB 022205 SVRMLB FLC009-022245- BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL 603 PM EDT MON JUN 2 2003 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MELBOURNE HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... NORTHERN BREVARD COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA * UNTIL 645 PM EDT * AT 603 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM OVER HIGHWAY 50 ABOUT 5 MILES WEST OF TITUSVILLE...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 15 MPH. * THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE... NEAR PORT SAINT JOHN AT 615 PM EDT NEAR SHARPES AT 620 PM EDT EXCESSIVE LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. IF OUTDOORS...STAY AWAY FROM ISOLATED HIGH OBJECTS SUCH AS TREES. MOVE INDOORS IF POSSIBLE. WHEN INDOORS...STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS AND DOORS AND AVOID USING TELEPHONES UNLESS IT IS AN EMERGENCY. VERY LARGE HAIL IS POSSIBLE WITH THIS SEVERE STORM. IF YOU ARE IN ITS PATH...PUT YOUR CAR IN A GARAGE AND MOVE TO A STURDY BUILDING AWAY FROM WINDOWS. LAT...LON 2860 8081 2848 8096 2808 8060 2825 8039 $$ JP
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Melbourne, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 2, 1:35 PM EDT, 4 hours 30 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jun 2, 1:35 PM EDT, 4 hours 30 minutes before
EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL 135 PM EDT MON JUN 2 2003 .DISCUSSION... BASIC MOISTENING PATTERN AS BERMUDA HIGH STRENGTHENS WHILE LOW PRESSURE MOVES THROUGH THE MID SECTION OF THE COUNTRY TOWARDS THE MID ATLANTIC COAST THE NEXT FEW DAYS. BY THE END OF THE WEEK...THE WEAK UPPER TROUGH IN THE SOUTHEAST WILL BE GONE WHICH WILL ALLOW FOR MID LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE ATLANTIC TO BUILD TOWARDS THE REGION...WITH DEEP SOUTHERLY FLOW KEEPING MOISTURE LEVELS HIGH. ONE DIFFERENCE COMPARED TO YESTERDAY SEEMS TO BE THAT THE LOW LEVEL RIDGE AXIS IS NOT FORECAST TO BUILD NORTHWARD QUITE AS FAST...WHICH IS COMMON THIS TIME OF YEAR AS NORTHERN STREAM TROUGHS INHIBIT MAJOR NORTHWARD MIGRATIONS. CURRENTLY/TONIGHT...CUMULUS LOOKING MUCH MORE DEVELOPED THAN YESTERDAY AND ALREADY SOME SHOWERS/STORMS HAVE FORMED IN THE NORTH...WITHOUT THE HELP OF A SEA BREEZE. EXPECT THAT AS THE AFTERNOON PROGRESSES...INCREASED BOUNDARY INTERACTIONS WILL LEAD TO SCATTERED STORMS...WHICH I PLAN TO CARRY FOR THE EVENING PORTION OF THE FORECAST. TUE/WED...SUBTROPICAL RIDGE WILL BUILD NORTHWARD TO THE SOUTHERN PENINSULA WHILE LOW PRESSURE MOVES THROUGH THE MIDDLE PART OF THE COUNTRY TOWARDS THE UPPER OHIO VALLEY. GFS DEVELOPS LOW ALONG GULF COAST WHICH LOOKS TO BE A PRODUCT OF CONVECTIVE FEEDBACK...ALTHOUGH ETA ALSO SHOWS SURFACE TO STEERING LEVEL SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST FLOW INCREASING. GFS POPS LOOK LOW GIVEN THE SYNOPTIC SITUATION WITH TROUGH ALOFT TO OUR WEST. LACK OF A WELL DEFINED SEA BREEZE MIGHT BE A SLIGHT INHIBITING FACTOR. ANOTHER POSSIBLE LIMITING FACTOR COULD BE DEBRIS CLOUDS FROM THE CONVECTIVE COMPLEX OVER THE NORTHERN GULF...IF THIS INDEED COMES TO FRUITION. WILL STAY WITH CURRENT 40 POPS...WHICH IS SLIGHTLY HIGHER THAN GFS AND A LITTLE LOWER THAN ETA/NGM. EXPECT THESE NUMBERS MAY GET BUMPED UP IN FUTURE FORECASTS. THU-MON...GFS HOLDS ONTO THE WEAK LOW ALONG THE GULF COAST THU... WHICH PREVENTS RIDGE AXIS FROM BUILDING NORTHWARD...THEN IT MAKES IT TO THE CENTRAL PENINSULA...OR SO...FOR FRI/SAT. 12Z RUN THEN NUDGES IT BACK TO THE SOUTH SUN/MON AS NEXT NORTHERN TROUGH MOVES TOWARDS THE EAST COAST. DO NOT SEE ANY MAJOR SUPPRESSION MECHANISMS SO WILL STAY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS/STORMS DURING THE AFTERNOON/EVENING. POSITION OF RIDGE WILL CAUSE SOME DAY TO DAY CHANGES IN WHICH AREAS GET THE RAIN...AND WHEN...BUT EXPECT MOST AREAS WILL SEE OCCASIONAL COVERAGE. .MARINE...ETA WINDS HAVE TRENDED UPWARD TUE NIGHT THROUGH WED NIGHT...EVEN HIGHER THAN GFS AT TIMES. WILL GENERALLY STAY 15 KNOTS OVER THE NORTH LEG DURING THIS TIME...CLOSE TO THE UKMET...WHICH DOES NOT DEPICT THE CONVECTIVELY INDUCED PRESSURE GRADIENT INCREASE SEEN BY THE ETA/GFS. THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK...THE MAINLY SOUTHERLY GRADIENT FLOW MAY STAY 10 TO 15 KNOTS AS BERMUDA HIGH BUILDS RATHER STRONGLY. .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... DAB TT 073/090 074/088 073 2424 MCO TT 073/090 074/089 073 2424 MLB TT 074/090 074/088 074 2424 .MLB...WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE. PUBLIC/MARINE...LASCODY AVIATION/FIRE...BRAGAW
Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 2, 10:00 AM EDT, 8 hours 5 minutes before
FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-144-147-022000- EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL 1000 AM EDT MON JUN 2 2003 .DAY ONE...TODAY: MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY HAVE INCREASED SINCE YESTERDAY. THIS WILL LEAD TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. THE PRIMARY FOCUS WILL BE THE EAST COAST SEA BREEZE AS WELL AS A WEAK CONVERGENCE BOUNDARY ACROSS THE NORTHERN PART OF THE PENINSULA. STORM MOVEMENT WILL BE EAST TO SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH. BECAUSE OF SOME COOLER AND DRIER AIR IN THE MID LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE...STORMS THAT FORM COULD BECOME STRONG. IN ADDITION TO FREQUENT LIGHTNING STRIKES...A FEW COULD PRODUCE WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH AND SMALL HAIL. QUICK DOWNPOURS OF UP TO 2 INCHES IN AN HOUR COULD RESULT IN SUBSTANTIAL PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY: SCATTERED AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP EACH DAY ALONG THE EAST COAST SEA BREEZE. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTERS SHOULD SELF ACTIVATE IF WARNINGS ARE ISSUED LATE THIS AFTERNOON. FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...GO TO WWW.WEATHER.GOV AND CLICK ON EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA. RL
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Florida, 2003Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2003
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.