Flash Flood Warning 2, NWS Newport/Morehead City, NC

000 
WGUS72 KMHX 162350
FFSMHX
NCC061-170115-

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT...TO CONTINUE WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
750 PM EDT MON JUN 16 2003

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR DUPLIN COUNTY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL
930 PM EDT...

AT 750 PM EDT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUED OVER SOUTHERN 
DUPLIN COUNTY. THESE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WERE NEARLY 
STATIONARY. ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE INTO THE 
WARNED AREA FROM THE WEST AND SOUTH BY 830 PM.  

FLOODING CAN BE EXPECTED IN AND AROUND...
   GREENEVERS.
   CHINQUAPIN...AND...BEULAVILLE.
   CYPRESS CREEK.

OTHER LOCATIONS THAT CAN EXPECT FLOODING INCLUDE MAGNOLIA...ROSE HILL
AND TEACHEY.

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM THESE STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO CAUSE FLOODING 
OF SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS...AND HIGHWAYS....ESPECIALLY ALONG 
HIGHWAY 117 BETWEEN MAGNOLIA AND ROSE HILL. ADDITIONALLY...ROADS AND 
FARMLANDS ALONG THE BANKS OF CREEKS AND STREAMS AND OTHER LOW LYING 
AREAS ARE SUBJECT TO FLOODING.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY. VEHICLES CAUGHT IN RISING WATER SHOULD BE ABANDONED QUICKLY.
MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

PLEASE REPORT FLOODING TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY FOR
RELAY TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

$$

LAT...LON 3494 7812 3474 7816 3473 7773 3493 7767

000 
WGUS72 KMHX 170132
FFSMHX
NCC061-170145-

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
930 PM EDT MON JUN 16 2003

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR DUPLIN COUNTY HAS EXPIRED...

HEAVY RAIN IS NO LONGER OCCURRING IN THE WARNED AREA. THE FLASH 
FLOOD WARNING FOR THE AREA HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AND IS NO 
LONGER IN EFFECT. 

WHILE THE HEAVY RAIN HAS ENDED...LIGHT TO MODERATE SHOWERS WILL 
CONTINUE THROUGH THE NIGHT. THIS RAIN MAY CAUSE ADDITIONAL FLOODING 
OF LOW LYING AREAS AND PONDING OF WATER ON AREA ROADS. EXTRA CARE 
SHOULD BE TAKEN WHEN TRAVELING THROUGH SOUTHERN DUPLIN AS ANY WATER 
ON ROADWAYS MAY CAUSE YOUR VEHICLE TO HYDROPLANE.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...LOCAL RADIO...OR TELEVISION FOR
THE LATEST SEVERE WEATHER INFORMATION.

$$

MLF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
430 PM EDT MON JUN 16 2003

FRONTAL BNDRY CURRENTLY TO OUR S...ALONG WITH A SERIES OF SHRTWVS
WILL BE MAIN FOCUS OF PRECIPITATION THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THE
REGION WILL ALSO EXPERIENCE GOOD JET DYNAMICS WITH A JET TO OUR NE
SETTING AREA UP IN A RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION PROVIDING DIVERGENCE ALOFT.
PWS WILL BE RUNNING AT OR ABOVE 2 INCHES INTO FRI...ALLOWING FOR
HEAVY RAINS WHEN THE SHOWERS DO OCCUR. WILL ISSUE ANOTHER SPS TO
COVER THREAT OF HEAVY RAINS AND LOCALIZED FLOODING TONIGHT INTO
TUE. WILL CARRY LIKELY POPS INTO WED NIGHT...THEN ONCE WARM FRONT
LIFTS N OF AREA WILL GO WITH MORE SCATTERED TYPE CONVECTION WITH
CHANCE POPS. WILL SEE THIS TYPE OF SHOWERS/TSTMS UNTIL COLD FRONT
MOVING THRU AREA ON FRI BRINGS A MORE CONCENTRATED CHANCE OF RAIN.

THEN AFTER A RAINY WEEK...THE WEEKEND LOOKS DRY. COULD SEE A CHANCE
OF RAIN ON MON...IF ANOTHER WARM FRONT LIFTS THU THE AREA...BUT FOR
NOW WILL KEEP EXTENDED DRY.

MARINE: BNDRY DOWN TO NR FPSN7 ATTM. E-NE FLOW ACRS OUR WTRS TO CONT
THRU MUCH OF TUE UNTIL FRONT LIFTS BACK N OF OUR WTRS TUE NT OR
EARLY WED. UNTIL THEN...EXPECTING SEAS TO BLD TO MARGINAL SCA VALUES
IN THE E FETCH...MAINLY AFFECTING CSTL WTRS OFF THE OUTER BANKS.
LATEST WW3 RUN HAS BACKED OFF ON SEA HEIGHTS A BIT WITH THIS E
FETCH WAVE ENERGY...AND IS ALSO RUNNING ABOUT A FOOT TOO HIGH ATTM
TO OUR E. NONETHELESS...WUD ANTICIPATE THE PERSISTENT FETCH TO
EVENTUALLY BLD SEAS TO AT LEAST MARGINAL SCA BY TUE MORN...SO WL GO
WITH SCA EXPECTED TUE FOR WTRS N OF LOOKOUT. ETA/GFS BOTH HAVE A LOW
PRES WAVE ALONG THE FRONT AS IT LIFTS N...AND GFS INCRSS WINDS AHEAD
OF THIS LOW ON WED. WL AWAIT FUTURE RUNS FOR THIS...BUT MAY HAVE
25KT WINDS N OF HAT STARTING LATE WED. BETTER CHANCES FOR SCA
WINDS/SEAS LATE FRI INTO EARLY SAT IN NE FLOW BEHIND FROPA.

.MHX...NONE.

BANDY/PETRO

NCZ029-044>047-079>081-090>095-098-103-104-161200-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
300 AM EDT MON JUN 16 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY

SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED TODAY. LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL LIKELY...WITH THREAT OF MINOR FLOODING IN POOR DRAINAGE
AREAS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED INTO EARLY
WEDNESDAY. LOCALIZED EXCESSIVE RAIN COULD PRODUCE MINOR FLOODING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

05

NCZ098-162045-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...FOR STRONG THUNDERSTORMS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
351 PM EDT MON JUN 16 2003

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT ONSLOW COUNTY UNTIL 445 PM EDT...

AT 351 PM EDT...THERE WERE STRONG THUNDERSTORMS FROM 8 MILES NORTH OF
JACKSONVILLE TO 14 MILES WEST OF JACKSONVILLE...OR FROM 8 MILES NORTH
OF JACKSONVILLE TO 10 MILES SOUTHEAST OF BEULAVILLE...MOVING
SOUTHEAST AT 15 MPH. THE STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR
JACKSONVILLE AT 420 PM EDT. OTHER LOCATIONS TO BE AFFECTED BY THE
STORMS INCLUDE SWANSBORO.

WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 40 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS. HEAVY
RAINFALL WILL CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS AND LOCALIZED
FLOODING IN LOW LYING AREAS. MOTORISTS SHOULD SLOW DOWN ON AREA
ROADWAYS TO AVOID HYDROPLANING.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS FOR
FURTHER UPDATES ON THE WEATHER SITUATION ACROSS THE AREA.

20

NCZ029-044>047-079>081-090>095-098-103-104-170900-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
455 PM EDT MON JUN 16 2003

...LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN LIKELY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

A WEAK COLD FRONT HAS STALLED JUST SOUTH OF THE REGION FROM NEAR
CAPE FEAR WEST INTO NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA. WEAK UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCES WILL CONTINUE TO SLIDE EAST SOUTHEAST ACROSS EASTERN
NORTH CAROLINA THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. THESE DISTURBANCES WILL
TRIGGER SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE TUESDAY NIGHT. THE
HEAVIEST RAINS WILL REMAIN GENERALLY SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 70 THROUGH
EARLY TUESDAY THEN BEGIN TO SHIFT NORTH AS THE WEAK COLD FRONT
BEGINS TO MOVE NORTH AS A WARM FRONT TUESDAY EVENING.

SOME OF THESE SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL PRODUCE VERY HEAVY RAIN...WITH
A QUICK 1 TO 2 INCHES POSSIBLE IN A FEW SPOTS. THIS MAY PRODUCE SOME
MINOR FLOODING OF POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. RESIDENTS IN AREAS PRONE TO
FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION IF HEAVY RAIN DEVELOPS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA FOR THE LATEST
UPDATES.

MLF