Severe Thunderstorm Warning 40, NWS Memphis, TN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
300 PM CDT SUN APR 20 2003

RADAR CURRENTLY SHOWING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS POPPING UP OVER
THE CWA.  SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD DEVELOP INTO A SOLID LINE
AHEAD OF THE FRONT. EXPECT FRONT TO PASS THROUGH MOST OF THE CWA
DURING THE EVENING HOURS. WILL PUT THE HIGHEST POPS IN THE TUPELO
AREA TONIGHT. WILL LEAVE NORTHWEST ZONES DRY.

ALL OF THE PRECIPITATION SHOULD BE OUT OF THE AREA BY MONDAY
MORNING. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO BUILD INTO THE AREA DURING THE
DAY. TEMPERATURES WILL BE COOL AND DRY UNTIL THE HIGH MOVES EAST OF
THE CWA ON WEDNESDAY.

THE NEXT LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL APPROACH THE AREA WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
LOOKS LIKE PRECIPITATION WILL BEGIN AFTER MIDNIGHT WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
THE LOW PRESSURE CENTER MOVES OVER THE CWA THURSDAY AND THURSDAY
NIGHT KEEPING CHANCES FOR RAIN HIGH. THERE MAY BE A BREAK IN THE
ACTION ON FRIDAY BEFORE THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WITH THE SYSTEM MOVES
THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT. WILL KEEP PRECIP IN THE FORECAST.

HIGH PRESSURE RETURNS ON SATURDAY. NEXT WEEKEND IS LOOKING TO BE DRY
WITH TEMPERATURES NEAR NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.

PRELIMINARY NUMBERS
MEM 55/72 50/72 50 30000
MKL 51/70 42/69 42 30000
JBR 50/71 45/70 45 10000
TUP 57/73 47/72 47 61000

.MEG...NONE.

KRS

ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115-MSZ001>017-
020>024-TNZ001>004-019>021-048>055-088>092-211000-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
432 AM CDT SUN APR 20 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST AND EAST-CENTRAL
ARKANSAS...NORTH MISSISSIPPI...WEST TENNESSEE AND THE MISSOURI
BOOTHEEL.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE MID SOUTH TONIGHT. THUNDERSTORMS
WILL OCCUR AHEAD OF THE FRONT FOR THE REMAINDER OF THIS AFTERNOON
AND THIS EVENING. SOME STORMS MAY BE SEVERE WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND
LARGE HAIL.

THE BEST TIME FOR SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE BETWEEN 3 PM AND 9
PM...ENDING FROM THE NORTHWEST WITH PASSAGE OF THE COLD FRONT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NECESSARY TODAY AND THIS EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...INCLUDING MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

THERE IS A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER
DETAILS OR UPDATES. FOR ADDITIONAL WEATHER INFORMATION...CHECK OUR
WEB SITE AT HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/MEG.

JCL

MSZ001-TNZ088-202015-

SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
300 PM CDT SUN APR 20 2003

THIS SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY IS FOR...DESOTO AND SHELBY
COUNTIES.

A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER SOUTHAVEN AT 300 PM
CDT...MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH. THIS STORM IS PRODUCING HEAVY RAIN AND
DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.

THIS STORM IS INTENSIFYING AND COULD BECOME SEVERE RAPIDLY.

PEOPLE IN DESOTO AND SHELBY COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE CITIES OF
BARTLETT...GERMANTOWN...HORN LAKE AND SOUTHAVEN...SHOULD MONITOR THIS
STORM CLOSELY.

TNZ089-202030-

SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
316 PM CDT SUN APR 20 2003

THIS SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY IS FOR...FAYETTE COUNTY.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER SOUTHEAST MEMPHIS AT 316 PM
CDT...MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH. THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
GOLFBALL SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH. THIS STORM
WILL ARRIVE IN FAYETTE COUNTY AROUND 333 PM CDT.

PEOPLE IN FAYETTE COUNTY SHOULD MONITOR THIS STORM CLOSELY.