Severe Thunderstorm Warning 395, NWS Memphis, TN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
300 AM CDT TUE JUL 22 2003

FRONTAL BOUNDARY EXTENDS ALONG THE OHIO VALLEY THROUGH NORTHWEST
TENNESSEE INTO EASTERN OKLAHOMA. SOME SHOWERS ACTIVITY CURRENTLY IN
NORTHEAST ARKANSAS WITH STRONGER STORMS IN NORTH CENTRAL AND
NORTHWEST SECTIONS OF THE STATE. SHORTWAVE SHOULD MOVE INTO REGION
TODAY AND EVENTUALLY MAKE ITS WAY OUT BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. BEST
CHANCE OF RAIN SHOULD BE SOUTH OF THE FRONT SO WENT WITH LIKELY POPS
IN NORTHERN HALF AND CATEGORICAL POPS IN THE SOUTH. SPC STILL HAS
SLIGHT RISK FOR SOUTHERN HALF OF FORECAST AREA. CURRENT FORECAST HAS
MENTION OF SEVERE WEATHER SO SEE NO REASON TO REMOVE THAT WORDING.
WITH SHORTWAVE STILL AROUND TONIGHT...OPTED TO INCLUDE SLIGHT CHANCE
POPS IN NORTHERN TWO-THIRDS OF FORECAST AREA AND CHANCE POPS IN
SOUTH. KEPT SLIGHT CHANCE POPS IN EXTREME SOUTHEAST COUNTIES FOR
WEDNESDAY MORNING.

PRELIMINARY NUMBERS
MEM 84/67/84/65/88 821
MKL 81/63/81/60/85 722
JBR 83/65/83/62/88 621
TUP 85/67/84/62/87 942

.MEG...NONE.

ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115-MSZ001>017-
020>024-TNZ001>004-019>021-048>055-088>092-230845-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
342 AM CDT TUE JUL 22 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST ARKANSAS...NORTH
MISSISSIPPI...WEST TENNESSEE AND THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL.

.DAY ONE...TODAY
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TODAY AND TONIGHT
ACROSS MUCH OF EAST ARKANSAS...SOUTHERN SECTIONS OF WEST TENNESSEE
AND NORTH MISSISSIPPI. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION
TODAY AND TONIGHT BRINGING THUNDERSTORMS TO THE REGION. SOME OF THE
THUNDERSTORMS MAY CONTAIN LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER
DETAILS OR UPDATES. FOR ADDITIONAL WEATHER INFORMATION...CHECK OUR
WEB SITE AT HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/MEG.

TNZ049-088-221215-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
621 AM CDT TUE JUL 22 2003

THIS SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY IS FOR...SHELBY AND TIPTON
COUNTIES.

A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WAS LOCATED 20 MILES WEST OF DOWNTOWN
MEMPHIS AT 621 AM CDT...MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.

PEOPLE IN SHELBY AND TIPTON COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE CITIES OF
BARTLETT...COVINGTON...GERMANTOWN AND MILLINGTON...SHOULD MONITOR
THIS STORM CLOSELY.

ARZ027-028-035-036-048-049-058-MSZ001-002-007-008-010>013-015-
020>023-TNZ049-088-221400-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
0740 AM CDT TUE JUL 22 2003

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 796  HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES:

IN ARKANSAS...
CRITTENDEN      CROSS           LEE             MISSISSIPPI
PHILLIPS        POINSETT        ST. FRANCIS

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 796  REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES:

IN MISSISSIPPI...
CALHOUN         CHICKASAW       COAHOMA         DE SOTO
LAFAYETTE       MARSHALL        PANOLA          PONTOTOC
QUITMAN         TALLAHATCHIE    TATE            TUNICA
YALOBUSHA

IN TENNESSEE...
SHELBY          TIPTON