Alert archive / New Mexico / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2003
Severe Thunderstorm Warning 98, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jun 3, 2003, 5:18 PM MDT for Lea County, New Mexico. It was in force for 42 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jun 3, 2003, 5:18 PM MDT (23:18 UTC)
- Expired
- Jun 3, 2003, 6:00 PM MDT
- In force
- 42 min
- Issued by
- NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
- Area
- Counties, with a storm outline in the text
County Lea County, NM
Did it verify
Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.
Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.
The watch it was issued in
The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.
| Issued | Product | Office | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 3, 2:55 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 5 hr |
The nearest sounding before it
Midland Regional, TX (KMAF), launched 12:00Z, 11.3 hours before the alert went out and 197 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 1343 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -333 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1779 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 38 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 93 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 288 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.1
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
294 WUUS54 KMAF 032318 SVRMAF NMC025-040000- BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 517 PM MDT TUE JUN 3 2003 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... NORTHERN LEA COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO * UNTIL 600 PM MDT * AT 517 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR DETECTED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM 4 MILES WEST OF CROSSROADS...OR ABOUT 17 MILES NORTH OF TATUM...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH. * SOME LOCATIONS AFFECTED BY THE STORM INCLUDE... GLADIOLA AND CROSSROADS HAIL TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS AND WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM. TAKE COVER IN A SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. LAT...LON 3353 10359 3338 10356 3310 10308 3355 10307 $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Midland/Odessa, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 3, 3:10 PM MDT, 2 hours 8 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jun 3, 3:10 PM MDT, 2 hours 8 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
410 PM CDT TUE JUN 3 2003
UPDATED ZONES TO REFLECT TORNADO AND
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCHES UNTIL
9PM CDT (8 PM MDT). RFAGEN
------------------------------------------
200 PM CDT TUE JUN 3 2003
LOOKING AT SEVERE WEATHER AND POSSIBLE FLOODING TODAY. LATEST SPC
DY1 OUTLOOK PUTS EASTERN HALF OF AREA IN SLIGHT RISK WITH MODERATE
RISK FOR NORTHEAST. EASTERN AREA REMAINS IN SLIGHT RISK DAY 2 & 3.
DID 18Z FLIGHT AND WAITING FOR IT TO GET INTO SYSTEM.
A NUMBER OF FEATURES COMING TOGETHER TO INCREASE THE RISK. THESE
INCLUDE WARM FRONT... DRYLINE... RICK LOW LEVEL MOISTURE... AND A
STRONG SHORTWAVE.
FIRST FEATURE IS A WARM FRONT THAT HAS MOVED AS FAR NORTH AS MAF AS
OF 18Z. MODELS LIFT THIS FRONT OUT OF AREA TODAY... BUT WITH
BOUNDARIES MOVING SOUTH OUT OF PANHANDLE DOUBT IT WILL MOVE FAR NORTH
OF WHERE IT IS. ETA DEVELOPS A MESO LOW OVER THE TRANS PECOS. THIS
LOW SHOULD BRING THE WIND AROUND TO THE WEST OVER THE WESTERN HALF OF
THE AREA AND SHARPEN UP THE DRYLINE. LATEST ETA HAS DRYLINE WEST OF
PERMIAN BASIN AT 00Z.
LATEST ETA MORE IN LINE WITH AVN. AVN BRINGS A VORT VAX DOWN ACROSS
SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO THIS EVENING STRENGTHENING IT AS MOVES ACROSS
THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN CWA. AVN ALSO DEVELOPS A PRECIP BULLSEYE
OVER EASTERN TIER OF COUNTIES. LOOKING AT MCS DEVELOPMENT... WILL
ISSUE A FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR THE EAST TONIGHT.
DEWPOINTS IN THE UPPER 60S UNUSUAL FOR THE AREA. MAF 12Z SOUNDING
GOES WILD WITH LI OF -11 AND CAPE OF 4733 J AND GOOD CAP IN PLACE
EARLY. HIGH CAPE/LOW SHEAR. EVEN WITH GOOD CAP IN PLACE HAD A BUNCH
OF ELEVATED SHOWERS/STORMS AROUND THE AREA THIS MORNING. CURRENTLY
HAVE SHOWERS/STORMS FROM THE GUADALUPES TO THE DAVIS MOUNTAINS. ETA
MODEL SOUNDING FOR 00Z DROPS LI TO -4 AND CAPE TO AROUND 1500 J
MIXING CAP OUT.
BY 12Z WEDNESDAY MODELS HAVE THE FRONT RETURNING SOUTHWARD... PERHAPS
REINFORCED BY CONVECTION... LIFTING IT NORTHWARD AGAIN DURING THE
DAY. THURSDAY ANOTHER SHOT OF COLD AIR SHOULD SEND THE FRONT BACK
DOWN INTO THE AREA WITH COOLER TEMPERATURES EXPECTED. THIS FRONT
WILL CONTINUE TO BE FOCUS FOR CONVECTION INTO FRIDAY. BY FRIDAY
AFTERNOON FRONT SHOULD BE PACKED UP AGAINST THE MOUNTAINS.
IN THE EXTENDED UPPER RIDGE BUILDS BACK IN. WILL LEAVE MENTION OF
STORMS OUT ON TUESDAY WITH INCREASING TEMPS. THANKS SJT AND LBB FOR
COORDINATION.
INITIAL NUMBERS FOLLOW.
MAF BB 69/93/69/91/65 433
CNM BB 67/98/66/94/63 323
MRF BB 59/87/57/87/59 333
FST BB 71/95/70/94/66 323
.MAF...
TX...FLASH FLOOD WATCH...TXZ047>48-51>53-63-70.
TORNADO WATCH UNTIL 9 PM CDT...TXZ045>048-051>053.
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH UNTIL 9 PM CDT...
TXZ050-058>060-061>063-067>070-074-075-081-082
NM...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH SE NEW MEXICO UNTIL 8 PM MDT...
NMZ027>029-033-034
72/01Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 3, 1:00 PM MDT, 4 hours 18 minutes before
NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075- 079>082-258-040930- HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 200 PM CDT TUE JUN 3 2003 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST TEXAS AND SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT CONVECTIVE THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT EAST OF A LAMESA TO BIG LAKE LINE. THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT EAST OF A CARLSBAD... TO PECOS...TO SANDERSON LINE. WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THIS EVENING ALONG A SURFACE WARM FRONT AND DRY LINE. THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN INTENSITY AND AREAL COVERAGE THIS EVENING ACROSS THE PLAINS OF SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO...THE PERMIAN BASIN AND THE TRANS PECOS...AS A STRONG UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE TRANSLATES SOUTHEAST OUT OF NEW MEXICO AND INTERACTS WITH THESE SURFACE FEATURES. VERY LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE GIVEN THE VERY STRONG INSTABILITY AND VERTICAL WIND SHEAR FORECASTED. FLASH FLOODING A LARGE COMPLEX OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY DEVELOP ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TEXAS PANHANDLE THIS EVENING AND MOVE SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE NORTHERN AND EASTERN PERMIAN BASIN AND THE EXTREME WESTERN LOW ROLLING PLAINS TONIGHT...EAST OF A GAIL TO MIDLAND LINE. RAINFALL IN EXCESS OF TWO INCHES PER HOUR WILL BE POSSIBLE. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO...THE PERMIAN BASIN AND WESTERN LOW ROLLING PLAINS. THUNDERSTORMS MAY PRODUCE DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL AND HEAVY RAINFALL. OTHERWISE...THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. 12
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Jun 3, 2:16 PM MDT, 3 hours 2 minutes before
TXZ045>048-051>053-040200- SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 316 PM CDT TUE JUN 3 2003 THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER IN NORMAN OKLAHOMA HAS ISSUED TORNADO WATCH 471 UNTIL 900 PM CDT TUESDAY EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES... IN WEST TEXAS... BORDEN...DAWSON...GAINES...HOWARD...MARTIN...MITCHELL AND SCURRY THIS TORNADO WATCH INCLUDES THE CITIES OF... BIG SPRING...COLORADO CITY...GAIL...LAMESA...SEMINOLE...SNYDER AND STANTON A TORNADO WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING TORNADOES. IN ADDITION...LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...VERY HEAVY RAINFALL...AND DEADLY LIGHTNING ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. IF YOU ARE IN OR NEAR TO THE WATCH AREA...CHECK PREPAREDNESS REQUIREMENTS...KEEP INFORMED...AND BE PREPARED TO SEEK SAFE SHELTER IF A WARNING IS ISSUED OR SEVERE WEATHER IS OBSERVED.
Special weather statement, Jun 3, 2:53 PM MDT, 2 hours 25 minutes before
TXZ050-051-058>063-067>070-074-075-081-082-040200- SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 353 PM CDT TUE JUN 3 2003 THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER IN NORMAN OKLAHOMA HAS ISSUED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 472 UNTIL 900 PM CDT (800 PM MDT) TUESDAY EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES... IN WEST TEXAS... ANDREWS...CRANE...ECTOR...GLASSCOCK...LOVING...MARTIN...MIDLAND... REAGAN...UPTON...WARD AND WINKLER IN SOUTHWEST TEXAS... BREWSTER...CULBERSON...JEFF DAVIS...PECOS...REEVES AND TERRELL IN SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO... EDDY...LEA THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH INCLUDES THE CITIES OF... ALPINE...ANDREWS...ARTESIA...BAKERSFIELD...BIG LAKE...CARLSBAD... CRANE...DRYDEN...FORT DAVIS...FORT STOCKTON...GARDEN CITY...HOBBS... KERMIT...LAJITAS...LOVINGTON...MARATHON...MCCAMEY...MENTONE... MIDLAND...MONAHANS...ODESSA...PANTHER JUNCTION...PECOS...RANKIN... SANDERSON...SHEFFIELD...STANTON AND TATUM A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL 3/4 OF AN INCH OR GREATER AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 58 MPH. VERY HEAVY RAINFALL AND DEADLY LIGHTNING ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. IF YOU ARE IN OR NEAR TO THE WATCH AREA...CHECK PREPAREDNESS REQUIREMENTS...KEEP INFORMED...AND BE PREPARED TO SEEK SAFE SHELTER IF A WARNING IS ISSUED OR SEVERE WEATHER IS OBSERVED.
Special weather statement, Jun 3, 3:31 PM MDT, 1 hour 47 minutes before
NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ050-058>063-067>070-074-075-081-082-040200- SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...CORRECTED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 431 PM CDT TUE JUN 3 2003 THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER IN NORMAN OKLAHOMA HAS ISSUED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 472 UNTIL 900 PM CDT (800 PM MDT) TUESDAY EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES... IN WEST TEXAS... ANDREWS...CRANE...ECTOR...GLASSCOCK...LOVING...MIDLAND... REAGAN...UPTON...WARD AND WINKLER IN SOUTHWEST TEXAS... BREWSTER...CULBERSON...JEFF DAVIS...PECOS...REEVES AND TERRELL IN SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO... EDDY...LEA THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH INCLUDES THE CITIES OF... ALPINE...ANDREWS...ARTESIA...BAKERSFIELD...BIG LAKE...CARLSBAD... CRANE...DRYDEN...FORT DAVIS...FORT STOCKTON...GARDEN CITY...HOBBS... KERMIT...LAJITAS...LOVINGTON...MARATHON...MCCAMEY...MENTONE... MIDLAND...MONAHANS...ODESSA...PANTHER JUNCTION...PECOS...RANKIN... SANDERSON...SHEFFIELD...AND TATUM A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL 3/4 INCH OR GREATER AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 58 MPH. VERY HEAVY RAINFALL AND DEADLY LIGHTNING ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. IF YOU ARE IN OR NEAR TO THE WATCH AREA...CHECK PREPAREDNESS REQUIREMENTS...KEEP INFORMED...AND BE PREPARED TO SEEK SAFE SHELTER IF A WARNING IS ISSUED OR SEVERE WEATHER IS OBSERVED.
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in New Mexico, 2003Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2003
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.