Alert archive / New Mexico / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2003

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 144, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

June 9, 2003Eddy County, New Mexico

NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jun 9, 2003, 6:59 PM MDT for Eddy County, New Mexico. It was in force for 46 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jun 9, 2003, 6:59 PM MDT (00:59 UTC)
Expired: Jun 9, 2003, 7:45 PM MDT
In force: 46 min
Issued by: NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Eddy County, NM

The radar

The Midland/Odessa radar (KMAF), 178 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:03 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Midland Regional, TX (KMAF), launched 00:00Z, 1.0 hours before the alert went out and 177 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 2045 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -83 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1936 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 37 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 66 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 88 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 3.6

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

929 
WUUS54 KMAF 100059
SVRMAF
NMC015-100145-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
658 PM MDT MON JUN 9 2003

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  SOUTHEASTERN EDDY COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO

* UNTIL 745 PM MDT

* AT 658 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR DETECTED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM OVER MALAGA...OR ABOUT 17 MILES SOUTHEAST OF   
  CARLSBAD...MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH.  A SECOND SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
  WAS LOCATED NEAR CARLSBAD...MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH.   

* SOME LOCATIONS AFFECTED BY THESE STORMS INCLUDE...
  CARLSBAD...OTIS...MALAGA...AND LOVING.

HAIL TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS AND WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH CAN BE 
EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM. TAKE COVER IN A SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER.

LAT...LON 3246 10429 3203 10412 3202 10372 3246 10377

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Midland/Odessa, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 9, 12:34 PM MDT, 6 hours 25 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 9, 12:34 PM MDT, 6 hours 25 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
134 PM CDT MON JUN 9 2003

WATER VAPOR SHOWS UPPER LOW ACRS BAJA WITH WELL DEFINED LEAD SHRTWV
TROF MOVING THRU FAR W TX. MEANWHILE MID LEVEL RIDGE AXIS ORIENTED
SE-NW ACRS CWFA INTO 4 CORNERS RGN. SFC TROF/DRYLINE LACKING TODAY AS
AFOREMENTIONED UPPER LOW KEEPS WINDS W OF MTNS BACKED AND WEAKISH...
COULD BE REMNANT BOUNDARIES S. WITH S MID LEVEL WINDS W OF MTNS
SUFFICIENT MSTR WILL REMAIN IN PLACE FOR TSTMS. CAPE FIELDS SUGGEST
BEST CAPES TO BE NE OF CWFA TODAY...BUT ISOLD SVR A CONCERN IN PB
AND DEPENDING ON SHRTWV ENERGY COULD SEE ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT.
EXPECT BEST CHC FOR TSTMS WILL BE INVOF MTNS/LOWER TRANS PECOS WHERE
85H DWPNTS ARE HIGH. STORMS THAT DEVELOP S OR W OF RIO GRANDE MAY
DRIFT INTO BB RGN. WILL GO WITH SOME HIGHLIGHTS FOR SVR/HVY RN.
WARMER TMW AS THERMAL RIDGE MOVES E BUT MSTR WILL STILL BE IN
PLACE...SO SLIGHT CHC POPS FAVORED MTNS/ADJACENT PLAINS AGAIN WITH
POTENTIAL FOR ADDITIONAL SUBTLE SHRTWV ENERGY. DRIER WEDNESDAY AS
UPPER LOW OUT WEST GETS CAUGHT IN WLYS AND WEAKENS...WITH INCREASING
ZONAL MID LEVEL FLOW (20-25KT @ 7H) AND A REAL DRYLINE E OF CWFA.
WEAK FRONT STAYING N OF CWFA THURSDAY/FRIDAY. THEREAFTER MID LEVEL
RIDGING INCREASES.

MAF UB 068/095 069/097 070
CNM UB 064/098 064/100 066
MRF UB 060/087 055/088 058
FST BB 071/096 069/098 070

.MAF...
TX...NONE.
NM...NONE.

Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 9, 2:00 PM MDT, 4 hours 59 minutes before

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075-
079>082-258-101000-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
300 PM CDT MON JUN 9 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST TEXAS AND SOUTHEASTERN
NEW MEXICO.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT OVER ALL OF
WEST TEXAS AND SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO.  SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS CAN
BE EXPECTED GENERALLY WEST OF THE PECOS RIVER...AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS ELSEWHERE.  DAMAGING WINDS ARE EXPECTED WITH SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS THAT DO DEVELOP.  IN ADDITION...FREQUENT LIGHTNING
AND LOCALLY EXCESSIVE RAINFALL CAN BE EXPECTED FROM STORMS THAT
DEVELOP...BOTH SEVERE AND NON SEVERE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUESTED THIS EVENING.

IN ADDITION...LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCIES...EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT
OFFICIALS...AND OTHER INTERESTED CONCERNS SHOULD MONITOR THIS
SITUATION AND TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION SHOULD SEVERE WEATHER THREATEN
YOUR AREA.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...AND
STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN MIDLAND
CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT http://www.srh.noaa.gov/maf.

44

The office that day

Everything else NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jun 9, 7:26 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Lea	64 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in New Mexico, 2003 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2003

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.