Tornado Warning 16, NWS Little Rock, AR

Issued

May 1, 2003, 8:06 PM CDT (01:06 UTC)

Expired

May 1, 2003, 9:05 PM CDT

In force

59 min

Issued by

NWS Little Rock, AR

Area

Counties, with a storm outline in the text

Counties Polk County, AR, Scott County, AR

The Western Arkansas radar (KSRX), 68 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:05 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this tornado warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

539 
WFUS54 KLZK 020106
TORLIT
ARC113-127-020205-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
805 PM CDT THU MAY 1 2003

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LITTLE ROCK HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
  POLK COUNTY IN WESTERN ARKANSAS
  SCOTT COUNTY IN WESTERN ARKANSAS

* UNTIL 905 PM CDT

* AT 802 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  TORNADO OVER SOUTHWESTERN SCOTT COUNTY...OR ABOUT 12 MILES NORTH OF
  MENA...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

* THE TORNADO IS EXPECTED TO BE NEAR...
RURAL NORTHERN POLK COUNTY AROUND 820 PM CDT
RURAL SOUTHERN SCOTT COUNTY AROUND 820 PM CDT
RURAL NORTHEASTERN POLK COUNTY AROUND 840 PM CDT
RURAL EASTERN POLK COUNTY AROUND 850 PM CDT

&&

A DOPPLER RADAR DETECTED TORNADO MEANS THERE IS STRONG ROTATION
WITHIN A STORM. THE STORM MAY NOT BE PRODUCING A TORNADO AT THE
MOMENT...BUT IS EXPECTED TO DURING THE WARNING PERIOD. FOR YOUR
SAFETY...GO INDOORS NOW TO AN INTERIOR ROOM AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY. THEY
WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST
OFFICE IN LITTLE ROCK.

LAT...LON 3486 9426 3473 9440 3435 9394 3473 9393

$$

44

NWS Little Rock, AR wrote its last area forecast discussion before this tornado warning went out at May 1, 2:45 PM CDT, 5 hours 21 minutes earlier.

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
245 PM CDT THU MAY 1 2003

MODELS DIFFER IN THE SPEED OF THE COLD FRONT...SO WILL GO WITH THE
SLOWER SOLUTION...KEEPING PRECIPITATION A BIT LONGER FOR FRI OVER
THE SOUTH AND EAST ZONES. WEAK AND SLOW FRONT WILL NOT CLEAR
MOISTURE AND PRECIPITATION OUT OF THE STATE UNTIL TUESDAY.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE 70S AND 80S FOR HIGHS AND IN THE 50S AND
60S FOR LOWS.

FCSTID =   32
HRO   56  74  53  75 /  30  10  10  30
LIT   64  81  59  78 /  30  20  10  30
HOT   65  81  61  79 /  30  10  20  30
PBF   65  82  61  78 /  30  20  10  30

.LZK...NONE.

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-021000-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
455 PM CDT THU MAY 1 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER IN MOST OF ARKANSAS THROUGH
TONIGHT. THE BEST CHANCE WILL BE EARLY TONIGHT IN THE WESTERN PART
OF THE STATE. THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE INTO WESTERN ARKANSAS DURING
THE EVENING AND WILL MOVE SLOWLY TO THE EAST. SOME THUNDERSTORMS
MAY BE SEVERE WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND. ISOLATED TORNADOES
ARE POSSIBLE. THE THUNDERSTORMS MAY TEND TO WEAKEN AS THEY REACH
INTO CENTRAL AND EASTERN ARKANSAS...WHERE THE AIR IS LESS UNSTABLE
TO THE EFFECTS OF THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THAT MOVED ACROSS
THOSE AREAS EARLIER TODAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

THE FRONT THAT WILL BRING A CHANCE OF SEVERE WEATHER THURSDAY WILL
STALL ACROSS CENTRAL LOUISIANA BEFORE MOVING BACK TO THE NORTH AS A
WARM FRONT LATE FRIDAY. THIS FRONT IS EXPECTED TO PASS THROUGH THE
STATE ON SATURDAY FOR ANOTHER CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. A
COLD FRONT WILL THEN MOVE THROUGH THE REGION SUNDAY AND MONDAY FOR A
CONTINUING CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE LIKELY IN WESTERN ARKANSAS THIS EVENING
AND IS POSSIBLE IN CENTRAL AND EASTERN ARKANSAS LATER TONIGHT.

29

Tornado Warnings in Arkansas, 2003Every tornado warning in 2003Tornadoes in 2003

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.