Severe Thunderstorm Warning 400, NWS Little Rock, AR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
649 PM CDT FRI AUG 1 2003

UPDATED FORECASTS FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 828. THUNDERSTORMS
ARE MOVING INTO THE NORTHERN COUNTIES OF THE CWFA.

.LZK...NONE.

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ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-021000-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
615 PM CDT FRI AUG 1 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT...ACROSS AN
AREA ALONG AND NORTH OF A LINE FROM MENA...TO LITTLE ROCK...TO
BRINKLEY.

STORMS THAT DEVELOPED IN MISSOURI AND NORTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA DURING
THE AFTERNOON WILL GRADUALLY SLIDE SOUTHEASTWARD INTO ARKANSAS.

THESE STORMS WILL ORGANIZE INTO CONVECTIVE COMPLEXES...WHICH ARE
WELL-ORGANIZED LARGE CLUSTERS OF STORMS. DAMAGING WIND GUSTS ARE
EXPECTED TO BE THE MAIN THREAT...BUT THERE WILL BE A THREAT OF LARGE
HAIL AS WELL. CURRENT DATA INDICATE THE GREATEST SEVERE STORM
POTENTIAL WILL BE ACROSS AREAS ALONG AND NORTH OF A LINE FROM
WALDRON...TO MORRILTON...TO NEWPORT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

CONVECTIVE COMPLEXES MAY STILL AFFECT MUCH OF THE AREA SATURDAY
MORNING...BEFORE DISSIPATING SATURDAY AFTERNOON. STORMS ASSOCIATED
WITH THESE COMPLEXES WILL BE CAPABLE OF STRONG WIND GUSTS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED OVERNIGHT AND EARLY
SATURDAY.

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