Severe Thunderstorm Warning 313, NWS Little Rock, AR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
400 AM CDT WED JUN 11 2003

UNSTABLE WEATHER PATTERN THE NEXT FEW DAYS. FAIRLY REPETITIVE
PATTERN...WITH STORM SYSTEMS MOVING FROM CENTRAL PLAINS INTO AREAS
JUST NORTH OF ARKANSAS. SYSTEMS DRAGGING FRONTS NEAR ARKANSAS AND
MISSOURI BORDER...WITH FRONTS ACTING AS FOCUS FOR SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS.

ONE ROUND OF THUNDER THIS MORNING WILL AFFECT MAINLY NORTHERN AND
CENTRAL SECTIONS OF THE STATE. LOOKS LIKE THUNDER WILL PRETTY MUCH
DRY UP THIS AFTERNOON...ALLOWING FOR HEATING/DESTABILIZATION OF
ATMOSPHERE.

APPEARS THAT ANOTHER ROUND OF THUNDER WILL DEVELOP LATER
TONIGHT...AND WOULD THINK THAT PRECIPITATION WILL STAY PRETTY CLOSE
TO STALLED FRONT. GIVEN THIS...BEST CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION IN
NORTHERN/CENTRAL ARKANSAS WITH ONLY SCATTERED THUNDER FARTHER SOUTH
WHERE ATMOSPHERE MORE CAPPED.

WITH ROUNDS OF THUNDER WILL COME THE POTENTIAL OF SEVERE WEATHER.
NOT LOOKING FOR WIDESPREAD SEVERE STORMS...WITH SPOTTY WIND
DAMAGE/LARGE HAIL EXPECTED. ALSO...PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES GETTING
ABOVE 1.50 INCHES...AND THIS WILL MEAN CHANCE OF LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL AND POSSIBLE FLASH FLOODING.

LOOKS LIKE THIS PATTERN WILL HOLD THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY
NEXT WEEK...WITH CHANCES OF PRECIPITATION MENTIONED THROUGH NEXT
TUESDAY.

FCSTID =   46
HRO   83  68  84  68 /  80  60  60  30
LIT   87  72  89  72 /  70  50  60  30
HOT   88  72  88  72 /  60  50  60  30
PBF   87  73  89  73 /  50  40  50  30

.LZK...NONE.

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-111000-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
500 AM CDT TUE JUN 10 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A WARM FRONT ALONG THE GULF COAST WILL HEAD NORTH TODAY...SPREADING
WARMER...MORE HUMID AND UNSTABLE AIR ACROSS ARKANSAS. NORTH OF THE
FRONT...A FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THIS MORNING
MAINLY NORTH OF LITTLE ROCK. MEANWHILE...A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH
FROM THE NORTHWEST TONIGHT. THE FRONT WILL UTILIZE AN UNSTABLE
ATMOSPHERE TO PRODUCE SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...MAINLY
IN THE NORTHWEST HALF OF THE STATE. SOME OF THE STORMS MAY BECOME
SEVERE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

THE COLD FRONT APPROACHING THE STATE TONIGHT WILL STALL NEAR THE
ARKANSAS AND MISSOURI BORDER WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY. ON
FRIDAY...THE FRONT WILL LIFT TO THE NORTH...WITH A STORM SYSTEM
DRAGGING YET ANOTHER COLD FRONT TOWARD THE REGION OVER THE WEEKEND.
THE WEATHER PATTERN WILL REMAIN UNSETTLED THROUGH AT LEAST
SUNDAY...WITH CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUING.
SEVERE WEATHER WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE...WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL
MAINLY FROM NORTHERN INTO CENTRAL ARKANSAS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED TONIGHT...WITH SEVERE WEATHER
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE NORTHWEST HALF OF ARKANSAS.

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PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1020 PM CDT TUE JUN 10 2003

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0930 PM    8 WNW ARKADELPHIA         AR   WIND DAMAGE
06/10/03   CLARK                          TREE DOWN ON HIGHWAY 8 AT
                                          THE PINEY COMMUNITY.
                                          REPORTED BY LAW ENFORCEMENT

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