Severe Thunderstorm Warning 248, NWS Little Rock, AR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
300 PM CDT SAT MAY 10 2003

HAVE SEEN EXPLOSIVE DEVELOPMENT ALONG THE DRYLINE ACRS OK THIS AFTN.
SEVERAL SUPERCELLS NOTED IN ADVANCE OF DEVELOPING SQUALL LINE.
ATMOSPHERE REMAINS PRIMED OVER AR...BUT A CAP IS STILL EVIDENT ON
THE 18Z RAOB HERE AT KLZK...BUT A BIT WEAKER THAN 12Z DATA INDCD.

TO MAKE THINGS SHORT...EXPECT AN ACTIVE NIGHT ACRS THE FA AS
DRYLINE/SFC CDFNT WORK EWD INTO AR. LOOKING AT ISOLD SUPERCELLS INTO
THE EVENING HOURS OVER NWRN AR...WITH ACTIVITY EVENTUALLY EVOLVING
INTO A SQUALL LINE LATER THIS EVENING FOR THE REST OF THE FA. HAVE
ALREADY HIGHLIGHTED THIS TREND AND SVR WX POT IN THE HWO AND ZONES.

FOLLOWED ALONG WITH THE MESOETA FOR THE SHORT TERM PDS. DECIDED TO
GO WITH LIKELY POPS TNGT AHEAD OF FRONT. BNDRY WORKS QUICKLY ACRS AR
LATER TNGT AND WL BE SE OF THE FA BY MID-MRNG SUNDAY. HAVE INDCD
DECREASING POPS IN THE GRIDS FROM NW TO SE LATER TNGT. LEFT
LINGERING SMALL POPS OVER SERN AR FOR SUNDAY MRNG. DRIER AND LESS
HUMID WX TO FOLLOW FOR SUNDAY AFTN.

IN THE EXTENDED...QUIET WX WILL PERSIST INTO TUE. STALLED OUT FNTL
BNDRY TO THE S WL RETURN SLOLY NWD TUE NIGHT AND WED...RESULTING IN
RETURNING RAIN CHCS. UPPER TROF WL BRING A CONTD CHC OF RAIN THRU
THU. DRIER WX TO FOLLOW LATER IN THE WEEK.  ..44..

.LZK...NONE.

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-111000-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1235 PM CDT SAT MAY 10 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT
OVER MUCH OF ARKANSAS...

...THIS IS A POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS AND LIFE THREATENING SITUATION...

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP IN CENTRAL
OKLAHOMA THIS AFTERNOON. THE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD INTO
ARKANSAS LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND MOVE ACROSS THE STATE TONIGHT. SOME
OF THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BECOME SEVERE...PRODUCING LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS. TORNADOES WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE AS WELL.

PEOPLE IN ARKANSAS NEED TO MONITOR THIS DEVELOPING WEATHER
SITUATION. REVIEW SEVERE WEATHER SAFETY RULES. STAY TUNED TO NOAA
WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE MEDIA OUTLET. LISTEN FOR UPDATES AND
STATEMENTS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...AND BE PREPARED TO
TAKE ACTION IF A WATCH OR WARNING IS ISSUED FOR YOUR AREA.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

A WARM FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO ARKANSAS TUESDAY NIGHT AND
WEDNESDAY THEN ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE STATE.
THERE WILL BE A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM TUESDAY
NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY. SOME SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS COULD OCCUR DURING
THIS TIME PERIOD.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE LIKELY ACROSS ARKANSAS LATE THIS AFTERNOON
AND TONIGHT.

57

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK, AR
1031 PM CDT SAT MAY 10 2003

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0958 PM    VILONIA                   AR   1.00 INCH HAIL
05/10/03   FAULKNER                       REPORTED BY LAW
                                          ENFORCEMENT

0958 PM    VILONIA                   AR   WIND DAMAGE
05/10/03   FAULKNER                       A TREE WAS BLOWN DOWN AND
                                          SOME POWER LINES WERE BLOWN
                                          DOWN. REPORTED BY LAW
                                          ENFORCEMENT

22

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK, AR
1103 PM CDT SAT MAY 10 2003

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

1000 PM    LITTLE ROCK               AR   WIND DAMAGE
05/10/03   PULASKI                        LARGE TREE LIMBS DOWN ON
                                          BROADWAY BETWEEN 18TH AND
                                          19TH STREETS. REPORTED BY
                                          HAM RADIO OPERATOR

22

ARZ005>007-013>016-022>024-031-032-038-110500-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1119 PM CDT SAT MAY 10 2003

TORNADO WATCH 349 HAS BEEN REMOVED FROM THE FOLLOWING AREAS...
BAXTER...CLEBURNE...CONWAY...FAULKNER...FULTON...INDEPENDENCE...
IZARD...POPE...SEARCY...SHARP...STONE...VAN BUREN AND YELL...

TORNADO WATCH 349 REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR...JACKSON...WHITE AND
WOODRUFF COUNTIES...

22

ARZ005>007-013>016-022>024-031-032-038-110700-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1119 PM CDT SAT MAY 10 2003

TORNADO WATCH 349 HAS BEEN REMOVED FROM THE FOLLOWING AREAS...
BAXTER...CLEBURNE...CONWAY...FAULKNER...FULTON...INDEPENDENCE...
IZARD...POPE...SEARCY...SHARP...STONE...VAN BUREN AND YELL...

TORNADO WATCH 349 REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR...JACKSON...WHITE AND
WOODRUFF COUNTIES...

22

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1225 AM CDT SUN MAY 11 2003

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

1023 PM    INGLESIDE                 AR   WIND DAMAGE
05/10/03   JACKSON                        TREES DOWN ON HIGHWAY 224.
                                          REPORTED BY EMERGENCY
                                          MANAGEMENT

1035 PM    ALGOA                     AR   WIND DAMAGE
05/10/03   JACKSON                        TREES DOWN AND GUTTERS OFF
                                          HOUSE. REPORTED BY
                                          EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT

1035 PM    5 NE NEWPORT              AR   WIND DAMAGE
05/10/03   JACKSON                        BARN AND TOOL SHED
                                          DEMOLISHED. CARPORT BLOWN
                                          AWAY. COTTON TRAILER MOVED
                                          200 YARDS. REPORTED BY
                                          EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT

1152 PM    (PBF)PINE BLUFF ARPT      AR   68 MPH TSTM WIND GUST
05/10/03   JEFFERSON                      WIND MEASURED AT AIRPORT.

0008 AM    BENTON                    AR   .75 INCH HAIL
05/11/03   SALINE                         REPORTED BY HAM RADIO
                                          OPERATOR

28

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