Severe Thunderstorm Warning 206, NWS Little Rock, AR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
325 AM CDT THU MAY 8 2003

COLD FRONT THAT HELPED TRIGGER SEVERE WEATHER YESTERDAY AT THIS TIME
IS NEARLY STATIONARY IN CENTRAL ARKANSAS. FRONT WILL LIFT SLOWLY
NORTH TODAY AND WILL BE FOCUS FOR THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS NORTHERN AND
WESTERN ARKANSAS AND POINTS FARTHER NORTH.

WOULD THINK THAT THUNDERSTORMS WOULD BE MOST LIKELY THIS MORNING
WITH FRONT STILL IN THE STATE...AND LESS LIKELY THIS AFTERNOON AS
FRONT HEADS INTO KANSAS AND MISSOURI.

FOR TODAY...THERE IS A CHANCE OF SEVERE WEATHER IN THE NORTH AND
WEST BUT LOOKS MORE ISOLATED THAN WHAT HAS BEEN OCCURRING DURING THE
LAST WEEK OR SO.

THE TREND TOWARD LESS SEVERE WEATHER LOOKS ABOUT RIGHT IN THE COMING
DAYS AS EMPHASIS SHIFTS INTO CENTRAL PLAINS AND MID-MISSISSIPPI AND
OHIO VALLEYS. VIRTUALLY NO CHANCE OF THUNDER IN THE FORECAST ON
FRIDAY...AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS SATURDAY/EARLY SUNDAY AHEAD OF
A COLD FRONT FROM THE WEST. DYNAMICS SURROUNDING FRONT MOSTLY
SWINGING TO THE NORTH...SO WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER NOT LIKELY
IN ARKANSAS.

LOOKS WARM IN THE COMING DAYS WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE 80S/LOWS
IN THE 60S AND LOWER 70S. BEHIND FRONT ON SUNDAY...COOLER/DRIER AIR
WILL SPREAD INTO ARKANSAS FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK.

FCSTID =   46
HRO   82  67  86  69 /  40  20  20  20
LIT   85  70  88  71 /  30  10  10  10
HOT   86  70  89  71 /  30  20  20  10
PBF   86  71  88  72 /  20  10  10  10

.LZK...NONE.

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>064-066>068-
081415-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
500 AM CDT THU MAY 8 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

COLD FRONT THAT HELPED TRIGGER SEVERE WEATHER YESTERDAY AT THIS TIME
IS NEARLY STATIONARY IN CENTRAL ARKANSAS. FRONT WILL LIFT SLOWLY
NORTH TODAY AND WILL BE FOCUS FOR THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS NORTHERN AND
WESTERN ARKANSAS AND POINTS FARTHER NORTH.

WOULD THINK THAT THUNDERSTORMS WOULD BE MOST LIKELY THIS MORNING
WITH FRONT STILL IN THE STATE...AND LESS LIKELY THIS AFTERNOON AS
FRONT HEADS INTO KANSAS AND MISSOURI.

FOR TODAY...THERE IS A CHANCE OF SEVERE WEATHER IN THE NORTH AND
WEST BUT LOOKS MORE ISOLATED THAN WHAT HAS BEEN OCCURRING DURING THE
LAST WEEK OR SO.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

THE TREND TOWARD LESS SEVERE WEATHER LOOKS ABOUT RIGHT IN THE COMING
DAYS AS EMPHASIS SHIFTS INTO CENTRAL PLAINS AND MID-MISSISSIPPI AND
OHIO VALLEYS. VIRTUALLY NO CHANCE OF THUNDER IN THE FORECAST ON
FRIDAY...AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS SATURDAY/EARLY SUNDAY AHEAD OF
A COLD FRONT FROM THE WEST. DYNAMICS SURROUNDING FRONT MOSTLY
SWINGING TO THE NORTH...SO WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER NOT LIKELY
IN ARKANSAS.

LOOKS WARM IN THE COMING DAYS WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE 80S/LOWS
IN THE 60S AND LOWER 70S. BEHIND FRONT ON SUNDAY...COOLER/DRIER AIR
WILL SPREAD INTO ARKANSAS FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER
DETAILS OR UPDATES.

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